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BHCBausch Health Companies Inc.Hold6.2·$8.14
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Bausch Health is a deeply discounted specialty pharma (forward P/E 1.9x, FCF yield 53.5%) with a strong beat streak and momentum, but the price is 18.3% above the analyst target and revenue depends heavily on a few products.

Thesis pillars

  • Extreme Valuation And Fcf Yield↓Deteriorating
  • Earnings Beat Momentum↑Improving
  • Product Concentration Risk↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Bausch Health Companies Inc. (BHC) Stock Analysis

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.14, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Xifaxan® (85.0%); Concentration risk — Product: Arestin® (95.0%).

Bausch Health develops specialty pharmaceuticals and medical devices across five segments—Salix (GI/hepatology), International, Solta Medical, Diversified, and Bausch + Lomb (eye health)—marketed in approximately 90 countries. Revenues totaled $10,266 million in 2025; Xifaxan®... Read more

QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield53.85%
Stop $7.57Analyst target $6.96(reached)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst consensus$8.00-1.7%5 analysts with price targets
$8.14price
$8.00mean
$7
$10

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.14, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Xifaxan® (85.0%); Concentration risk — Product: Arestin® (95.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 105d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — Bausch Health Companies Inc.

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:34:30Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 17, 2027105d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.78)
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Xifaxan® (85.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: Arestin® (95.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)1.9
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA5.3
Profit Mgn-7.6%
ROE-11040.0%
Rev Growth9.7%
Beta0.28
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.59bearish
IV89%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductXifaxan®85%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales of the Xifaxan® product line currently represent approximately 85% of the Salix segment revenues.'
  • HIGHProductArestin®95%
    10-K Item 1: 'Arestin® ... represents approximately 95% of Dentistry revenues'
  • MEDIUMSupplierlimited number of sources for finished products and raw materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'our dependence on a limited number of sources for certain of our finished products and raw materials'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.9
Support Resistance
2.7
52w Position
8.0
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 105d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
76 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $5.73Resistance $9.04

Price Targets

A.Upside-14.5%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.5% upside)
! News modifier suppressed: positive news (+2) cannot lift HOLD to buy-class with analyst upside -14.5% (lift floor +1.5%)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-17 (105d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BHC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.14, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Xifaxan® (85.0%); Concentration risk — Product: Arestin® (95.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $6.96 reached (−14.5%), stop $7.57 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BHC stock price target?

Analyst target $6.96 reached (−14.5% from $8.14); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $6.96 reached (−14.5%), stop $7.57 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Stop-loss: $7.57.

What are the risks of investing in BHC?

Concentration risk — Product: Xifaxan® (85.0%); Concentration risk — Product: Arestin® (95.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is BHC overvalued or undervalued?

Bausch Health Companies Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 1.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BHC?

8 analysts rate BHC, with a consensus score of 2.4/5. 5 analysts publish price targets averaging $8.

What does Bausch Health Companies Inc. do?Bausch Health develops specialty pharmaceuticals and medical devices across five segments—Salix (GI/hepatology),...

Bausch Health develops specialty pharmaceuticals and medical devices across five segments—Salix (GI/hepatology), International, Solta Medical, Diversified, and Bausch + Lomb (eye health)—marketed in approximately 90 countries. Revenues totaled $10,266 million in 2025; Xifaxan® drives approximately 85% of Salix segment sales. The company holds approximately 88% of publicly traded Bausch + Lomb, which it is pursuing to separate.

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