Skip to main content
IRWDIronwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Buy Wait7.6·$3.50
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Ironwood is a high-quality, fast-growing, deeply discounted drug company with 33% growth and best-in-class margins, trading 49.9% below its analyst target, but it is down 40% from its high with weak momentum and an inconsistent earnings record.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Elite Margins→Stable
  • Deep Value Low Multiple→Stable
  • Strong Growth Lumpy Revenue→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (IRWD) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Earnings in 2 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $3.46. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $3.50. Engine's entry $3.46 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapies for gastrointestinal (GI) and rare diseases in the United States and internationally. It sells linaclotide, a guanylate cyclase type-C (GC-C) agonist for the... Read more

QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield21.07%
Entry $3.46(support + ATR (held))Stop $3.28Target $5.18(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 5.0:1
Analyst consensus$6.10+74.3%4 analysts
$5.18our TP
$3.50price
$6.10mean
$10

Wait for pullback to $3.46. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $3.50. Engine's entry $3.46 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 7.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-11-02
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20262d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.9 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong overall score: 7.6/10
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.5
P/E (Fwd)2.3
Mkt Cap$578M
EV/EBITDA3.8
Profit Mgn33.4%
ROE—
Rev Growth32.6%
Beta0.22
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.03bullish

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 ceiling hits

GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 2d<=7dMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5A.R:R 5.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $3.38Resistance $3.96

Price Targets

$3
$3
$5
A.Upside+48.1%
A.R:R5.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 2 days - binary event risk
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:2d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (2d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IRWD stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $3.46. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $3.50. Engine's entry $3.46 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $5.18 (+48.0%), stop $3.28 (−6.7%), A.R:R 5.0:1. Score 7.6/10, high confidence.

What is the IRWD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.18 (+48.1% upside). Target $5.18 (+48.0%), stop $3.28 (−6.7%), A.R:R 5.0:1. Stop-loss: $3.28.

Is IRWD overvalued or undervalued?

Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of 4.5 (forward 2.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about IRWD?

10 analysts cover IRWD with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $6.

What does Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapies...

Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapies for gastrointestinal (GI) and rare diseases in the United States and internationally. It sells linaclotide, a guanylate cyclase type-C (GC-C) agonist for the treatment of adults suffering from irritable bowel syndrome with constipation or chronic idiopathic constipation, as well as for pediatric patients suffering from functional constipation under the LINZESS and CONSTELLA names. The company is also developing IW-3300, a GC-C agonist for the treatment of visceral pain conditions, including interstitial cystitis/bladder pain syndrome and endometriosis; and Apraglutide, a synthetic peptide long-acting analog of glucagon-like peptide-2 for short bowel syndrome patients dependent on parenteral support, as well as for acute graft versus host disease. It has strategic partnerships with AbbVie Inc., AstraZeneca AB, and Astellas Pharma Inc. for the development and commercialization of linaclotide. The company was formerly known as Microbia, Inc. and changed its name to Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc. in April 2008. Ironwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.

Related stocks: BCRX (BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · INDV (Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · ANIP (ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · LQDA (Liquidia Corporation) · CRON (Cronos Group Inc. Common Share)
Home › Stocks › IRWD

Latest news

Latest News

TradingKey96d ago
TradingKey96d ago
Yahoo Finance5d agoEarnings
TradingView5d agoEarnings
Seeking Alpha68d agoProduct
Aol.com75d agoEarnings
Moomoo110d agoAnalyst
Marketscreener.com110d agoLeadership Change
Yahoo Finance26d ago
Seeking Alpha26d agoProduct
AD HOC NEWS26d agoEarnings
Sharewise.com89d agoEarnings
TipRanks97d ago
TradingKey97d ago
Simply Wall St6d ago
Kalkine69d ago
Ad-hoc-news.de13d ago
TipRanks111d agoLeadership Change
Investing.com Australia111d agoLeadership Change
Investing.com111d agoLeadership Change
Loading more...