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KMDAKamada Ltd.Buy Wait5.7·$7.09-0.70%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Kamada screens as attractively valued with a favorable modeled asymmetry of 47.3% upside versus 6.9% downside, but the analysis flags two consecutive earnings misses, weak growth, and a leverage penalty for its 4.5x debt-to-equity ratio, prompting a note to consider reducing the position despite a strong underlying Piotroski F-Score.

Thesis pillars

  • Asymmetric Risk RewardStable
  • Consecutive Earnings MissesImproving
  • Leverage Penalty RiskImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Kamada Ltd. (KMDA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 3/5QualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Earnings in 0 days (2026-08-12). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $7.10 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Kamada Ltd. manufactures and sells plasma-derived protein therapeutics. Its products include KAMRAB/KEDRAB indicated as prophylaxis of rabies; CYTOGAM for prophylaxis of Cytomegalovirus disease in kidney, lung, liver, pancreas, heart, and heart/lung transplants; VARIZIG for post... Read more

QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.69%
IncomeYield3.44%Payout71.43%
Entry $7.10(support + ATR (held))Stop $6.77Target $11.05(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 11.2:1
Analyst target$13.00+83.4%4 analysts
$11.05our TP
$7.09price
$13.00mean
$15

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $7.10 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Weak growth; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 2026today· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Analyst upside: 56%
Risks
Weak growth
Negative momentum
Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -137.4%), Material insider selling (27 sells, 0.30% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.4
P/E (Fwd)11.6
Mkt Cap$412M
EV/EBITDA9.0
Profit Mgn11.2%
ROE8.0%
Rev Growth2.8%
Beta0.13
Dividend3.44%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.0
Revenue Growth
3.2

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Dividend Safety
3.8
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MEarnings in 0 daysYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
4.3
Rsi
4.5
Macd
6.4
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.9%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dA.R:R 11.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $6.89Resistance $7.39

Price Targets

$7
$7
$11
A.Upside+55.9%
A.R:R11.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KMDA stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $7.10 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Weak growth; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $11.05 (+55.9%), stop $6.77 (−4.7%), A.R:R 11.2:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KMDA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.05 (+55.9% upside). Target $11.05 (+55.9%), stop $6.77 (−4.7%), A.R:R 11.2:1. Stop-loss: $6.77.

What are the risks of investing in KMDA?

Weak growth; Negative momentum; Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -137.4%), Material insider selling (27 sells, 0.30% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is KMDA overvalued or undervalued?

Kamada Ltd. trades at a P/E of 20.4 (forward 11.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about KMDA?

9 analysts cover KMDA with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Kamada Ltd. do?Kamada Ltd. manufactures and sells plasma-derived protein therapeutics. Its products include KAMRAB/KEDRAB indicated as...

Kamada Ltd. manufactures and sells plasma-derived protein therapeutics. Its products include KAMRAB/KEDRAB indicated as prophylaxis of rabies; CYTOGAM for prophylaxis of Cytomegalovirus disease in kidney, lung, liver, pancreas, heart, and heart/lung transplants; VARIZIG for post exposure prophylaxis of varicella; WINRHO SDF for immune thrombocytopenic purpura and suppression of rhesus isoimmunization; HEPAGAM B for prevention of hepatitis B recurrence liver transplants and post-exposure prophylaxis; GLASSIA for intravenous AATD; KAMRHO (D) IM for prophylaxis of hemolytic disease of newborns; and Echis coloratus and Vipera palaestinae Antiserum to treat snake bite. The company also distributes biopharmaceutical products in Israel, including BRAMITOB to manage chronic pulmonary infection; FOSTER to treat asthma; TRIMBOW for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; PROVOCHOLINE for the diagnosis of bronchial airway hyperactivity; AEROBIKA, an OPEP device; RUPAFIN and RUPAFIN ORAL SOLUTION for allergic rhinitis and Urticaria; SINTREDIUS for rheumatoid arthritis, systemic lupus erythematosus, and mild-moderate juvenile dermatomyositis; IVIG for various immunodeficiency-related conditions; VARITECT for chicken pox and zoster herpes; ZUTECTRA and HEPATECT CP for prevention of hepatitis B; MEGALOTECT CP for CMV virus; RUCONEST for angioedema attack; HEPARIN SODIUM INJECTION for thrombo-embolic disorders and prophylaxis of deep vein thrombosis and thromboembolic events; ALBUMIN and ALBUMIN for blood plasma; Factor VIII for hemophilia type A; and Factor IX for hemophilia type B. In addition, it distributes COAGADEX to treat hereditary factor X deficiency; IXIARO for Japanese encephalitis; VIVOTIF for salmonella typhi; PROCYSBI for nephropathic cystinosis; LAMZEDE for alpha-mannosidosis; RYPLAZIM for hypoplasminogenemia; ELIGARD for prostate cancer; and BEVACIZUMAB KAMADA for various cancers. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Rehovot, Israel.

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