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BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (BCRX) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum.

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals is a global biotechnology company commercializing ORLADEYO (berotralstat), an oral once-daily HAE prevention therapy approved in the U.S. and multiple international markets. Following the January 2026 acquisition of Astria Therapeutics, BioCryst also... Read more

$8.80+111.3% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#8 of 29 Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield11.60%
Stop $8.16Target $18.53(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 10.0:1
Analyst target$21.30+142.0%10 analysts
$18.53our TP
$8.80price
$21.30mean
$32

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)13.2
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA8.9
Profit Mgn-51.7%
ROE
Rev Growth7.5%
Beta0.57
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.40bullish
IV69%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
2.1
Macd
3.9
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
4.3
Growth Rank
5.6
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 10.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.79Resistance $9.82

Price Targets

$8
$19
A.Upside+110.6%
A.R:R10.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BCRX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $18.53 (+110.6%), stop $8.16 (−7.8%), A.R:R 10.0:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BCRX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.53 (+111.3% upside). Target $18.53 (+110.6%), stop $8.16 (−7.8%), A.R:R 10.0:1. Stop-loss: $8.16.

What are the risks of investing in BCRX?

Negative momentum.

Is BCRX overvalued or undervalued?

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 13.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BCRX?

16 analysts cover BCRX with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $21.

What does BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?BioCryst Pharmaceuticals is a global biotechnology company commercializing ORLADEYO (berotralstat), an oral once-daily...

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals is a global biotechnology company commercializing ORLADEYO (berotralstat), an oral once-daily HAE prevention therapy approved in the U.S. and multiple international markets. Following the January 2026 acquisition of Astria Therapeutics, BioCryst also holds navenibart (Phase 3 injectable HAE therapy) and early-stage programs in Netherton syndrome and DME. Commercial rights for Europe are held by Neopharmed (sold October 2025) and Japan by Torii.

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