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BCHBanco De ChileSell5.5·$41.16+1.08%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Banco De Chile has reached its price target with no remaining upside, has missed earnings estimates in all four trailing quarters, and carries quality metrics below the minimum floor alongside an 8% revenue decline; strong near-term price momentum provides a temporary technical tailwind but the fundamental and valuation picture does not support a constructive position.

Thesis pillars

  • Four Quarter Earnings Miss StreakStable
  • Price At Target Negative AsymmetryDeteriorating
  • Below Floor Quality Weak PiotroskiStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Banco De Chile (BCH) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Earnings in 4 days (2026-07-31). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $41.16 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

Banco de Chile, together with its subsidiaries, provides commercial banking services in Chile. It operates through four segments: Retail Banking, Wholesale Banking, Treasury, and Subsidiaries. The company offers current account and digital student plans; digital and checking... Read more

$41.16-18.7% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#169 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield5.39%(5y avg 6.91%)Payout91.82%at-risk
Stop $39.06Target $41.16(resistance)A.R:R -2.7:1
Analyst target$38.55-6.3%12 analysts
$41.16our TP
$41.16price
$38.55mean
$21
$47

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $41.16 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27

Recent Developments — Banco De Chile

Latest news

Generated 2026-07-27T16:42:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 31, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)
Consecutive earnings misses (4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.1
P/E (Fwd)13.0
Mkt Cap$20.6B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn45.4%
ROE21.6%
Rev Growth13.6%
Beta0.12
Dividend5.39%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV51%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.1
Dividend Safety
2.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MEarnings in 4 daysYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R -2.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $38.45Resistance $42.00

Price Targets

$39
$41
A.Upside-18.7%
A.R:R-2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BCH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $41.16 — A.R:R is negative (-2.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $39.06. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BCH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $41.16 (-18.7% upside). Prior stop was $39.06. Stop-loss: $39.06.

What are the risks of investing in BCH?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Is BCH overvalued or undervalued?

Banco De Chile trades at a P/E of 17.1 (forward 13.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BCH?

18 analysts cover BCH with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Banco De Chile do?Banco de Chile, together with its subsidiaries, provides commercial banking services in Chile. It operates through four...

Banco de Chile, together with its subsidiaries, provides commercial banking services in Chile. It operates through four segments: Retail Banking, Wholesale Banking, Treasury, and Subsidiaries. The company offers current account and digital student plans; digital and checking accounts; mortgage loans; credit and debit cards; consumer credit; applications; deposits and savings; financing; autoleasing; online payments; cell phone top-ups; foreign currency; and income accreditation. It also provides insurance products, including journey, health, protection, home, life, and automotive; and investments, such as mutual, investment, and APV funds, stocks, fixed income, and derivative products. In addition, the company offers cash management comprising mass and easy payments, collection, and fund transfers; foreign trade, which includes imports, exports, international network products, Banchile international transport insurance, and customs guarantee insurance; and other services, such as bank connection, financial portability, digital VAT and signature, financial advice, and SME program. It serves individuals, private entities, companies, and small and medium-sized enterprises. The company was founded in 1893 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile.

Related stocks: SFBS (ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc.) · AUB (Atlantic Union Bankshares Corpo) · COLB (Columbia Banking System, Inc.) · ZION (Zions Bancorporation N.A.) · ONB (Old National Bancorp)
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