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BCHBanco De ChileSell4.6·$37.83
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Banco de Chile has best-in-class margins and strong peer-relative quality, but the price is 7.1% above the analyst target, earnings delivery has been inconsistent and dividend safety is poor, so risk outweighs reward at the current price.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Margins→Stable
  • Analyst Target Exceeded→Stable
  • Inconsistent Earnings Record↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Banco De Chile (BCH) Stock Analysis

SellValueShortModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $37.83 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0).

Banco de Chile, together with its subsidiaries, provides commercial banking services in Chile. It operates through four segments: Retail Banking, Wholesale Banking, Treasury, and Subsidiaries. The company offers current account and digital student plans; digital and checking... Read more

$37.83-5.8% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#217 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield5.78%(5y avg 6.45%)Payout85.54%at-risk
Stop $35.87Analyst target $35.62(reached)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst consensus$40.94+8.2%12 analysts with price targets
$37.83price
$40.94mean
$21
$51

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $37.83 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 91d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 30, 2026

Recent Developments — Banco De Chile

Latest item Oct 30, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T12:10:01Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 3, 202791d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0)
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.5
P/E (Fwd)12.2
Mkt Cap$19.1B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn45.1%
ROE21.1%
Rev Growth0.8%
Beta0.13
Dividend5.78%
Analysts with ratings17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV38%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.6
Revenue Growth
2.7

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
2.7
Macd
2.8
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
1.8
Dividend Safety
2.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 91d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.47Resistance $39.87

Price Targets

A.Upside-5.8%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.8% upside)
! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-03 (91d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BCH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $37.83 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $35.87. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BCH stock price target?

Analyst target $35.62 reached (−5.8% from $37.83); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $35.87. Stop-loss: $35.87.

What are the risks of investing in BCH?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is BCH overvalued or undervalued?

Banco De Chile trades at a P/E of 14.5 (forward 12.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BCH?

17 analysts rate BCH, with a consensus score of 3.8/5. 12 analysts publish price targets averaging $41.

What does Banco De Chile do?Banco de Chile, together with its subsidiaries, provides commercial banking services in Chile. It operates through four...

Banco de Chile, together with its subsidiaries, provides commercial banking services in Chile. It operates through four segments: Retail Banking, Wholesale Banking, Treasury, and Subsidiaries. The company offers current account and digital student plans; digital and checking accounts; mortgage loans; credit and debit cards; consumer credit; applications; deposits and savings; financing; autoleasing; online payments; cell phone top-ups; foreign currency; and income accreditation. It also provides insurance products, including journey, health, protection, home, life, and automotive; and investments, such as mutual, investment, and APV funds, stocks, fixed income, and derivative products. In addition, the company offers cash management comprising mass and easy payments, collection, and fund transfers; foreign trade, which includes imports, exports, international network products, Banchile international transport insurance, and customs guarantee insurance; and other services, such as bank connection, financial portability, digital VAT and signature, financial advice, and SME program. It serves individuals, private entities, companies, and small and medium-sized enterprises. The company was founded in 1893 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile.

Related stocks: MBIN (Merchants Bancorp) · MFG (Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. Sp) · TOWN (Towne Bank) · COLB (Columbia Banking System, Inc.) · NWBI (Northwest Bancshares, Inc.)
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