Skip to main content
AUGOAura Minerals Inc.Buy Wait6.9·$66.37+0.29%
Open full analysis

Aura Minerals Inc. (AUGO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait for pullback to $63.05. BUY gates pass at $66.37, but commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 4.9× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced. and leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5 argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $63.05 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Aura Minerals Inc., a gold and copper production company, focuses on the development and operation of gold and base metal projects in the Americas. It operates through The Minosa Mine, The Apoena Mine, the Aranzazu Mine, The Almas Mine, and The Borborema Mine and the Serra... Read more

$66.37+46.8% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#17 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.44%
IncomeYield3.40%(5y avg 4.92%)Payout166.96%at-risk
Entry $63.05(5% below current)Stop $58.64Target $92.55(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.6:1Setup A.R:R 6.7:1
Analyst target$106.38+60.3%9 analysts
$92.55our TP
$66.37price
$106.38mean
$125

Wait for pullback to $63.05. BUY gates pass at $66.37, but commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 4.9× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced. and leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5 argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $63.05 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.9/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on materials cycle peak fwd=4.9x,ratio=0.08x. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 4.9× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5
Consecutive earnings misses (4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)59.1
P/E (Fwd)4.9
Mkt Cap$5.5B
EV/EBITDA8.2
Profit Mgn7.8%
ROE40.3%
Rev Growth136.5%
Beta0.21
Dividend3.40%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV88%elevated
Max Pain$160+141.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.8
Quality Rank
4.6
Growth Rank
7.4
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=4.9x,ratio=0.08xMomentum 6.4>=5.5A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $52.85Resistance $78.66

Price Targets

$59
$63
$93
A.Upside+39.4%
A.R:R2.6:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)6.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.8%
Max %1.5%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:fwd=4.9x,ratio=0.08x

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AUGO stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $63.05. BUY gates pass at $66.37, but commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 4.9× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced. and leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5 argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $63.05 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.9/10, growth 10.0/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $92.55 (+39.4%), stop $58.64 (−13.2%), Setup A.R:R 6.7:1. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AUGO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $92.55 (+46.8% upside). Target $92.55 (+39.4%), stop $58.64 (−13.2%), Setup A.R:R 6.7:1. Stop-loss: $58.64.

What are the risks of investing in AUGO?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 4.9× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.08× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Is AUGO overvalued or undervalued?

Aura Minerals Inc. trades at a P/E of 59.1 (forward 4.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AUGO?

13 analysts cover AUGO with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $106.

What does Aura Minerals Inc. do?Aura Minerals Inc., a gold and copper production company, focuses on the development and operation of gold and base...

Aura Minerals Inc., a gold and copper production company, focuses on the development and operation of gold and base metal projects in the Americas. It operates through The Minosa Mine, The Apoena Mine, the Aranzazu Mine, The Almas Mine, and The Borborema Mine and the Serra Grande Mine Projects segments. The company primarily explores gold, copper, and silver deposits. The company was formerly known as Aura Gold Inc. and changed its name to Aura Minerals Inc. in July 2007. The company was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Coconut Grove, Florida.

Related stocks: IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · ORLA (Orla Mining Ltd.) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) · SSRM (SSR Mining Inc.)
Home Stocks AUGO

Latest news

Latest News

GuruFocus6d agoCONCERN
Moomoo49d ago
Seeking Alpha14d ago
TipRanks21d ago
MSN22d ago
Newser43d agoEarnings
MSN43d ago
Moomoo15d ago
The Globe and Mail15d ago
TipRanks15d agoLeadership Change
Investing.com South Africa20d ago
Newsline.com6d ago
Newsline.com6d ago
KING5.com41d agoEarnings
MSN41d ago
GuruFocus13d ago
Newsline.com3d ago
Simplywall.st45d ago
Newsline.com4d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance51d ago
Loading more...