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Aura Minerals Inc. (AUGO) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $83.79, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Thin upside margin: 5.3%.

Aura Minerals Inc., a gold and copper production company, focuses on the development and operation of gold and base metal projects in the Americas. It operates through The Minosa Mine, The Apoena Mine, the Aranzazu Mine, The Almas Mine, and The Borborema Mine and the Serra... Read more

$83.79+5.3% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#25 of 32 Gold
Stop $77.94Target $88.25(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$101.44+21.1%10 analysts
$88.25our TP
$83.79price
$101.44mean
$51
$125

Sell if holding. At $83.79, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Thin upside margin: 5.3%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.3%
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)6.0
Mkt Cap$6.8B
EV/EBITDA12.9
Profit Mgn-8.6%
ROE-32.5%
Rev Growth87.5%
Beta0.31
Dividend2.30%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.38bullish
IV83%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.3
Uptrend pullback (RSI 32) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.6
Value Rank
3.2
Growth Rank
6.9
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $78.80Resistance $110.32

Price Targets

$78
$88
A.Upside+5.3%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AUGO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $83.79, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Thin upside margin: 5.3%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $77.94. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AUGO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $88.25 (+5.3% upside). Prior stop was $77.94. Stop-loss: $77.94.

What are the risks of investing in AUGO?

Thin upside margin: 5.3%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is AUGO overvalued or undervalued?

Aura Minerals Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AUGO?

12 analysts cover AUGO with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $101.

What does Aura Minerals Inc. do?Aura Minerals Inc., a gold and copper production company, focuses on the development and operation of gold and base...

Aura Minerals Inc., a gold and copper production company, focuses on the development and operation of gold and base metal projects in the Americas. It operates through The Minosa Mine, The Apoena Mine, the Aranzazu Mine, The Almas Mine, and The Borborema Mine and the Serra Grande Mine Projects segments. The company primarily explores gold, copper, and silver deposits. The company was formerly known as Aura Gold Inc. and changed its name to Aura Minerals Inc. in July 2007. The company was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Coconut Grove, Florida.

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