Skip to main content
ASIXAdvanSix Inc.Sell5.1·$16.83+1.81%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

AdvanSix trades at a cheap multiple with a strong balance-sheet score, but weak free-cash-flow conversion keeps quality below the engine's floor, and a yield-trap warning plus a failed asymmetry gate temper the near-term risk/reward.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Below Engine FloorDeteriorating
  • Attractively Valued Cheap MultipleImproving
  • Yield Trap WarningDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Chemicals

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.83: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

AdvanSix is an integrated specialty chemicals producer operating five U.S. manufacturing facilities that make Nylon 6 resin and caprolactam, ammonium sulfate fertilizer (plant nutrients), and chemical intermediates such as acetone and phenol, serving building/construction,... Read more

$16.83+13.6% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#9 of 14 Chemicals
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-3.17%
IncomeYield3.87%Payout177.78%at-risk
Stop $15.65Target $19.12(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$22.50+33.7%2 analysts
$19.12our TP
$16.83price
$22.50mean
$27

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.83: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About AdvanSix Inc.

About AdvanSix Inc.

AdvanSix operates five vertically integrated U.S. manufacturing facilities in Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Alabama, anchored by its Hopewell, Virginia complex, one of the world's largest single-site producers of both caprolactam and ammonium sulfate. The company generated $1,522 million in sales during 2025 led by plant nutrients (37%), chemical intermediates (25%), nylon resin (20%), and caprolactam (18%), serving building and construction, agriculture, and plastics end markets, with 86% of sales domestic to the United States.

AdvanSix sells to approximately 375 customers, converting benzene- and propylene-derived cumene into phenol, acetone, and AMS at its Frankford, Pennsylvania plant, then further processing phenol at Hopewell, Virginia into caprolactam and, ultimately, Aegis-brand Nylon 6 resin at its Chesterfield, Virginia facility; in 2025, approximately 53% of Hopewell's caprolactam output was shipped to Chesterfield for polymerization. The company positions itself as the world's lowest-cost caprolactam producer by combining vertical integration into phenol, ammonia, and sulfuric acid feedstocks with access to low-cost domestic natural gas, a key input for ammonia production, at a time when many overseas competitors face substantially higher energy costs. Ammonium sulfate, generated at roughly four pounds per pound of caprolactam produced, competes as a nitrogen-and-sulfur fertilizer holding about 6% of the global nitrogen fertilizer market but more than 40% of the global sulfur fertilizer market, benefiting from anti-dumping duties on Chinese ammonium sulfate imports through a 2028 sunset review.

Show full overview

AdvanSix's nylon franchise sits in a soft part of its demand cycle: the 10-K flags continued weak building-and-construction, food-packaging, and automotive-engineering-plastics demand in North America through 2026, even as Chinese Nylon 6 operating rates remain at multi-year highs and continue to push exports into Southeast Asia and other regions. Because nylon resin pricing typically tracks a spread over caprolactam, which itself tracks a spread over benzene-derived phenol and cyclohexane, AdvanSix's margins in that segment depend on regional supply-demand balance holding even as a lower-rate-driven housing recovery remains only a hoped-for catalyst rather than a confirmed one. Plant Nutrients and Chemical Intermediates, which together generated 62% of 2025 sales, provide a structural offset to this nylon-cycle softness that a single-product competitor would not have.

See also: Basic Materials · Chemicals

From AdvanSix Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-14

Recent Developments — AdvanSix Inc.

Generated 2026-08-14T16:42:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 6, 202683d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)6.9
Mkt Cap$446M
EV/EBITDA9.0
Profit Mgn-1.1%
ROE-2.2%
Rev Growth2.7%
Beta1.28
Dividend3.87%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV118%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.3
Operating Margin
0.9
Moat
3.9
Current Ratio
4.8
Piotroski F
6.7
Cash-burning: FCF -1% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.2
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
2.4
Dividend Safety
3.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $14.77Resistance $22.44

Price Targets

$16
$19
A.Upside+13.6%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-06 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASIX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.83: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $15.65. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASIX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.12 (+13.6% upside). Prior stop was $15.65. Stop-loss: $15.65.

What are the risks of investing in ASIX?

Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is ASIX overvalued or undervalued?

AdvanSix Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ASIX?

8 analysts cover ASIX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $23.

What does AdvanSix Inc. do?AdvanSix is an integrated specialty chemicals producer operating five U.S. manufacturing facilities that make Nylon 6...

AdvanSix is an integrated specialty chemicals producer operating five U.S. manufacturing facilities that make Nylon 6 resin and caprolactam, ammonium sulfate fertilizer (plant nutrients), and chemical intermediates such as acetone and phenol, serving building/construction, agriculture, plastics, and packaging end markets. The company generated $1,522 million in sales and $49 million in net income in 2025, with plant nutrients the largest product line at 37% of sales, 86% of sales domestic to the U.S., and its Hopewell, Virginia facility ranking as the world's largest single-site producer of bo

Related stocks: MEOH (Methanex Corporation) · WLKP (Westlake Chemical Partners LP) · REX (REX American Resources Corporat) · LXU (LSB Industries, Inc.) · RYAM (Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc)
Home Stocks ASIX

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga4d agoAnalyst
Benzinga7d ago