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Braskem SA (BAK) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellHigh Confidence

Basic Materials · Chemicals

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.75: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Braskem S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, sale, import, and export of chemicals, petrochemicals, and fuels in Brazil. It produces and sells polyethylene (PE), polypropylene, tertiary-butyl ethyl ether, gasoline, benzene, toluene, xylene, ethylene,... Read more

$3.75+13.4% A.UpsideScore 3.5/10#10 of 10 Chemicals
Stop $3.49Target $4.26(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$3.46-7.8%5 analysts
$4.26our TP
$3.75price
$3.46mean
$2
$6

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.75: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 3.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-19.9% upside)
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-4.4
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA15.4
Profit Mgn-14.0%
ROE
Rev Growth-15.9%
Beta0.75
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -15.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -16%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.1
Piotroski F
2.2
Current Ratio
3.0
Moat
5.0
Operating Margin
6.0
Cash-burning: FCF -8% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
2.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MEarnings in 12 days
GatesA.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Momentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $3.23Resistance $4.35

Price Targets

$3
$4
A.Upside+13.6%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-12 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BAK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $3.75: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $3.49. Score 3.5/10, high confidence.

What is the BAK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $4.26 (+13.4% upside). Prior stop was $3.49. Stop-loss: $3.49.

What are the risks of investing in BAK?

Target reached (-19.9% upside); Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).

Is BAK overvalued or undervalued?

Braskem SA trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -4.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BAK?

15 analysts cover BAK with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $3.

What does Braskem SA do?Braskem S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, sale, import, and export of chemicals,...

Braskem S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, sale, import, and export of chemicals, petrochemicals, and fuels in Brazil. It produces and sells polyethylene (PE), polypropylene, tertiary-butyl ethyl ether, gasoline, benzene, toluene, xylene, ethylene, propylene, polyvinyl chloride, caustic soda, butadiene, cumene, naphtha, solvents, and condensate; thermoplastic resins; and basic petrochemicals. The company also supplies electricity and other inputs to second-generation producers; and sale of utilities such as steam, water, compressed air and industrial gases, as well as provides industrial services and natural gas. It also operates in the United States, Mexico, Switzerland, Argentina, Germany, Japan, the Netherlands, Singapore, Chile, Spain, Peru, Italy, Luxembourg, China, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Copene Petroquímica do Nordeste S.A. and changed its name to Braskem S.A. in 2002. Braskem S.A. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil. Braskem S.A. is a subsidiary of NSP Investimentos S.A.

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