Braskem sits outside the investable universe by market capitalization at $0.84 billion — below the $1 billion minimum threshold — and carries cash-burning operations with free cash flow negative at 10% of revenue, a 20% revenue decline, and a Piotroski financial health score of only 3 out of 9; despite a sharp 44% upward revision to analyst estimates over the last month, the fundamental setup does not support investment.
Thesis pillars
- Sub Investable Market Cap Barrier↓Deteriorating
- Cash Burning Deteriorating Quality→Stable
- Revenue Contraction Unreliable Earnings→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026
Braskem SA (BAK) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Basic Materials · Chemicals
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Target reached (-15.0% upside); Market cap $384M below $400M minimum.
Braskem S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, sale, import, and export of chemicals, petrochemicals, and fuels in Brazil. The company supplies electricity and other inputs to second-generation producers; sells utilities, such as steam, water,... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Target reached (-15.0% upside); Market cap $384M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Market cap $384M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 17d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-26Recent Developments — Braskem SA
Latest news
- NEWS Braskem Nears Debt Restructuring Agreement — fiscal.ai Oct 26, 2026
- NEWS Braskem Deploys Rockwell Automation's SecureOT Platform to Enhance Industrial Cybersecurity — fiscal.ai Oct 20, 2026
- NEWS Goosehead Insurance, Decent Holding And Other Big Stocks Moving Lower In Tuesday’s Pre-Market Session — benzinga Oct 6, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-10-26T12:08:40Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1.70, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Target reached (-15.0% upside); Market cap $384M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Market cap $384M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Analyst target $1.44 reached (−15.0%), stop $1.58 (−7.6%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $1.44 reached (−15.0% from $1.70); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $1.44 reached (−15.0%), stop $1.58 (−7.6%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Stop-loss: $1.58.
Target reached (-15.0% upside); Market cap $384M below $400M minimum.
Braskem SA trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -1.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Hold.
15 analysts cover BAK with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $2.
What does Braskem SA do?Braskem S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, sale, import, and export of chemicals,...
Braskem S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, sale, import, and export of chemicals, petrochemicals, and fuels in Brazil. The company supplies electricity and other inputs to second-generation producers; sells utilities, such as steam, water, compressed air and industrial gases; industrial services; and engages in the production, supply, and sale of electric energy and gas. It also produces and sells polyethylene, including the production of green PE made from renewable resources, and polypropylene; and polyvinyl chloride and caustic soda. In addition, the company provides thermoplastic resins; and other basic petrochemicals. It has operations in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Copene Petroquímica do Nordeste S.A. and changed its name to Braskem S.A. in 2002. Braskem S.A. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.