A wide economic moat and 34% revenue growth at a forward multiple of 7.3x create a compelling value opportunity, but three consecutive earnings misses — averaging a roughly 24% shortfall in those quarters — and severely depressed momentum mean the thesis requires execution proof before the full risk/reward can be captured.
Thesis pillars
- Deep Value Wide Moat→Stable
- Strong Growth Rule Of 40→Stable
- Earnings Miss Track Record→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Antero Resources Corporation (AR) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $34.77. Consecutive earnings misses (3).
Antero Resources Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the development, production, exploration, and acquisition of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and oil properties in the United States. It operates in three segments: Exploration and... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $34.77. Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-06Recent Developments — Antero Resources Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS ANTERO RESOURCES ($AR) Releases Q1 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative positive
- NEWS Antero Resources (AR): Under-the-Radar Energy Stock Pick from David Einhorn - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Antero Resources’s (NYSE:AR) Q1 CY2026: Strong Sales - StockStory — StockStory positive
- NEWS Stocks Showing Improved Relative Strength: Antero Resources - Investor's Business Daily — Investor's Business Daily positive
- NEWS Antero Resources Corp (AR) Shares Surge 3.9% -- What GF Score of 65 Tells Investors - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
Generated 2026-07-06T04:20:33Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $34.77. Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $33.42. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $44.73 (+26.4% upside). Prior stop was $33.42. Stop-loss: $33.42.
Consecutive earnings misses (3).
Antero Resources Corporation trades at a P/E of 11.4 (forward 7.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
27 analysts cover AR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $50.
What does Antero Resources Corporation do?Antero Resources Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the development, production,...
Antero Resources Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the development, production, exploration, and acquisition of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and oil properties in the United States. It operates in three segments: Exploration and Production; Marketing; and Equity Method Investment in Antero Midstream. As of December 31, 2025, the company had approximately 537,000 net acres in the Appalachian Basin; and approximately 168,000 net acres in the Upper Devonian Shale. Its gathering and compression systems also comprise 731 miles of gas gathering pipelines in the Appalachian Basin. The company was formerly known as Antero Resources Appalachian Corporation and changed its name to Antero Resources Corporation in June 2013. Antero Resources Corporation was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.