Antero Resources Corporation (AR) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Sell if holding. At $39.60, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas, NGLs and oil.
Antero Resources Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the development, production, exploration, and acquisition of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and oil properties in the United States. It operates in three segments: Exploration and... Read more
Sell if holding. At $39.60, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas, NGLs and oil. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCommoditynatural gas, NGLs and oil10-K Item 1A: 'Natural gas, NGLs and oil price volatility, or a substantial or prolonged period of low natural gas, NGLs and oil prices, may adversely affect our business, financial condition or results of operations'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $39.60, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas, NGLs and oil. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $36.95. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $44.44 (+12.3% upside). Prior stop was $36.95. Stop-loss: $36.95.
Concentration risk — Commodity: natural gas, NGLs and oil; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Antero Resources Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.6 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
30 analysts cover AR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $49.
What does Antero Resources Corporation do?Antero Resources Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the development, production,...
Antero Resources Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the development, production, exploration, and acquisition of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and oil properties in the United States. It operates in three segments: Exploration and Production; Marketing; and Equity Method Investment in Antero Midstream. As of December 31, 2025, the company had approximately 537,000 net acres in the Appalachian Basin; and approximately 168,000 net acres in the Upper Devonian Shale. Its gathering and compression systems also comprise 731 miles of gas gathering pipelines in the Appalachian Basin. The company was formerly known as Antero Resources Appalachian Corporation and changed its name to Antero Resources Corporation in June 2013. Antero Resources Corporation was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.