Skip to main content
APPSDigital Turbine, Inc.Sell5.4·$12.70-4.58%
Open full analysis

Digital Turbine, Inc. (APPS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.70: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.45; Below-average business quality.

Digital Turbine, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates a mobile growth platform for advertisers, publishers, carriers, and device original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). It operates through two segments, On Device Solutions and App Growth Platform. The company's application... Read more

$12.70+4.9% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#87 of 124 Software - Application
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield1.59%
Stop $11.82Target $13.33(resistance)A.R:R -2.8:1
Analyst target$8.75-31.1%2 analysts
$13.33our TP
$12.70price
$8.75mean
$8
$13

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.70: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.45; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-41.5% upside)
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -24.4%), High leverage (D/E 48.8)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.0
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA17.6
Profit Mgn-6.7%
ROE-21.8%
Rev Growth19.6%
Beta2.77
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.45bearish
IV114%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -6.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.7
Operating Margin
3.0
Fcf Quality
3.9
Current Ratio
4.5
Moat
5.0
Gross Margin
5.7
Piotroski F
6.7
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 4%, FCF yield 1.6%)No competitive moat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.4
Growth Rank
6.5
Value Rank
6.6

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.9
Support Resistance
1.7
52w Position
8.7
GatesA.R:R -2.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.21Resistance $13.60

Price Targets

$12
$13
A.Upside+5.0%
A.R:R-2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-41.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -24.4%), High leverage (D/E 48.8)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APPS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.70: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.45; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $11.82. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the APPS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.33 (+4.9% upside). Prior stop was $11.82. Stop-loss: $11.82.

What are the risks of investing in APPS?

Target reached (-41.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -24.4%), High leverage (D/E 48.8).

Is APPS overvalued or undervalued?

Digital Turbine, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about APPS?

8 analysts cover APPS with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Digital Turbine, Inc. do?Digital Turbine, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates a mobile growth platform for advertisers, publishers,...

Digital Turbine, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates a mobile growth platform for advertisers, publishers, carriers, and device original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). It operates through two segments, On Device Solutions and App Growth Platform. The company's application media platform delivers apps to end users through partnerships with wireless carriers and OEMs; and content media platform offers news, weather, sports, and other content, as well as programmatic advertising partner and media content delivery services, and sponsored and editorial content media. It also provides direct campaign management products, such as the DT DSP and DT Offer Wall; ad monetization solutions that allow mobile app publishers and developers to monetize their monthly active users via display, native, and video advertising; brands and agencies, which run mobile brand-awareness campaigns on the direct mobile app inventory; and app developers and other performance-focused advertisers that execute mobile user acquisition campaigns for their apps and products. Its products and solutions are used in the mobile application ecosystem, enabling brand discovery and advertising, user acquisition and engagement, and operational efficiency for advertisers. The company operates in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, China, Mexico, Central America, and South America. Digital Turbine, Inc. is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

Related stocks: YB (Yuanbao Inc.) · YMM (Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.) · PTC (PTC Inc.) · HKD (AMTD Digital Inc.) · KARO (Karooooo Ltd.)
Home Stocks APPS

Latest news

No recent news