A well-valued telecom franchise with excellent cash conversion and positive price momentum has nonetheless missed earnings consensus in three of the last four quarters, and the risk/reward geometry at current levels is unfavorable; the setup calls for patience until execution improves.
Thesis pillars
- Attractive Valuation Profile→Stable
- Persistent Earnings Miss Pattern→Stable
- Limited Upside Unfavorable Risk Reward→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
America Movil, S.A.B. de C.V. (AMX) Stock Analysis
Oversold Bounce setup
Communication Services · Telecom Services
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $23.45 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (3).
América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. provides telecommunications services in Latin America and internationally. It offers wireless and fixed-line voice services, including airtime, local, domestic, and international long-distance services; and network interconnection services. The... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $23.45 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: Oversold RSI 22, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 59d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-15Recent Developments — America Movil, S.A.B. de C.V.
Latest news
- NEWS America Movil (AMX) Rises 1.76% as Telecom Stock Approaches Key Resistance Zone - Sector ETF Flow - dars.gov.et — dars.gov.et positive
- NEWS A Bet on Latin America’s Cell Phone Giant - Stock Investor — Stock Investor positive
- NEWS A Bet on Latin America’s Cell Phone Giant - stockinvestor.com — stockinvestor.com positive
- NEWS AMX CFO Garcia Moreno Sells Put Options: $12.8M Trade April 16, 2026 - Meyka — Meyka neutral
- NEWS America Movil (Class L ADR) stock (US02364W1053): Why Google Discover changes matter more now for te - AD HOC NEWS — AD HOC NEWS neutral
Generated 2026-08-15T13:12:17Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $23.45 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: Oversold RSI 22, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $22.37. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $26.49 (+13.0% upside). Prior stop was $22.37. Stop-loss: $22.37.
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak growth.
America Movil, S.A.B. de C.V. trades at a P/E of 13.5 (forward 11.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
17 analysts cover AMX with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $29.
What does America Movil, S.A.B. de C.V. do?América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. provides telecommunications services in Latin America and internationally. It offers...
América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. provides telecommunications services in Latin America and internationally. It offers wireless and fixed-line voice services, including airtime, local, domestic, and international long-distance services; and network interconnection services. The company provides data services, such as data centers, data administration, and hosting services to residential and corporate clients; value-added services, including internet access, messaging and other wireless entertainment, and corporate services; data transmission, email services, instant messaging, content streaming, and interactive applications; and wireless security services, mobile payment solutions, machine-to-machine services, mobile banking, virtual private network services, and video calls and personal communications services. In addition, it offers residential broadband services; IT solutions to small businesses and large corporations; and cable and satellite television subscriptions. Further, the company sells equipment, accessories, and computers; and offers software development, call center, entertainment content and news, telephone directories, advertising, cybersecurity services, and corporate IT solutions. Additionally, it provides video, audio, and other media content through the internet directly from the content provider to the end user. It sells its products and services under the Telcel, Telmex Infinitum, and A1 brand names through a network of retailers and service centers to retail customers; and through sales force to corporate customers. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.