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AMXAmerica Movil, S.A.B. de C.V.Sell6.1·$24.75
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

America Movil is attractively valued at an 11.8x forward P/E with 183% cash conversion, but leverage, only 8.0% upside to the $26.43 analyst target versus 13.5% downside and an overbought RSI of 79 leave a modest reward-to-risk of 0.59.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Forward Valuation↑Improving
  • Excellent Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Leverage Penalty→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

America Movil, S.A.B. de C.V. (AMX) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. At $24.75, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. provides telecommunications services in Latin America and internationally. It offers wireless and fixed-line voice services, including airtime, local, domestic, and international long-distance services; and network interconnection services. The... Read more

$24.75+6.8% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#5 of 41 Telecom Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield225.85%
IncomeYield2.39%(5y avg 2.56%)Payout36.38%sustainable
Stop $23.45Analyst target $26.43(−10% haircut)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst consensus$29.36+18.6%15 analysts with price targets
$26.43Analyst target
$24.75price
$29.36mean
$21
$35

Sell if holding. At $24.75, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 97d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 21, 2026

Recent Developments — America Movil, S.A.B. de C.V.

Latest item Oct 21, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:39:49Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Feb 9, 202797d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.8%
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.4
P/E (Fwd)12.0
Mkt Cap$73.9B
EV/EBITDA2.3
Profit Mgn9.4%
ROE21.0%
Rev Growth7.6%
Beta0.13
Dividend2.39%
Analysts with ratings17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.58bullish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$35+41.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.8
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.3
Bollinger
2.1
52w Position
7.6
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 97d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
78 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $21.18Resistance $25.30

Price Targets

$23
$26
A.Upside+6.8%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-09 (97d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $24.75, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $23.45. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AMX stock price target?

Analyst target: $26.43 (+6.8% upside). Prior stop was $23.45. Stop-loss: $23.45.

What are the risks of investing in AMX?

Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0.

Is AMX overvalued or undervalued?

America Movil, S.A.B. de C.V. trades at a P/E of 14.4 (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AMX?

17 analysts rate AMX, with a consensus score of 3.9/5. 15 analysts publish price targets averaging $29.

What does America Movil, S.A.B. de C.V. do?América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. provides telecommunications services in Latin America and internationally. It offers...

América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. provides telecommunications services in Latin America and internationally. It offers wireless and fixed-line voice services, including airtime, local, domestic, and international long-distance services; and network interconnection services. The company provides data services, such as data centers, data administration, and hosting services to residential and corporate clients; value-added services, including internet access, messaging and other wireless entertainment, and corporate services; data transmission, email services, instant messaging, content streaming, and interactive applications; and wireless security services, mobile payment solutions, machine-to-machine services, mobile banking, virtual private network services, and video calls and personal communications services. In addition, it offers residential broadband services; IT solutions to small businesses and large corporations; and cable and satellite television subscriptions. Further, the company sells equipment, accessories, and computers; and offers software development, call center, entertainment content and news, telephone directories, advertising, cybersecurity services, and corporate IT solutions. Additionally, it provides video, audio, and other media content through the internet directly from the content provider to the end user. It sells its products and services under the Telcel, Telmex Infinitum, and A1 brand names through a network of retailers and service centers to retail customers; and through sales force to corporate customers. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.

Related stocks: TIGO (Millicom International Cellular) · TMUS (T-Mobile US, Inc.) · TIMB (TIM S.A.) · VIV (Telefonica Brasil S.A.) · VZ (Verizon Communications Inc.)
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