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AMXAmerica Movil, S.A.B. de C.V.Sell5.9·$21.84
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A well-valued telecom franchise with excellent cash conversion and positive price momentum has nonetheless missed earnings consensus in three of the last four quarters, and the risk/reward geometry at current levels is unfavorable; the setup calls for patience until execution improves.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Profile→Stable
  • Persistent Earnings Miss Pattern→Stable
  • Limited Upside Unfavorable Risk Reward→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

America Movil, S.A.B. de C.V. (AMX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Earnings in 6 days (2026-10-20). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $21.84: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. provides telecommunications services in Latin America and internationally. It offers wireless and fixed-line voice services, including airtime, local, domestic, and international long-distance services; and network interconnection services. The... Read more

$21.84+20.9% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#4 of 41 Telecom Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield236.66%
IncomeYield2.73%(5y avg 2.55%)Payout36.72%sustainable
Stop $20.72Target $26.40(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst target$29.34+34.3%15 analysts
$26.40our TP
$21.84price
$29.34mean
$35

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $21.84: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 20, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 21%
Risks
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.1
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$64.8B
EV/EBITDA2.4
Profit Mgn9.4%
ROE21.6%
Rev Growth3.1%
Beta0.23
Dividend2.73%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.22bearish
IV112%elevated
Max Pain$16-26.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.3
Earnings Growth
3.6

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3MEarnings in 6 days
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 5.6>=5.5A.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $20.54Resistance $23.25

Price Targets

$21
$26
A.Upside+20.9%
A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-20 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $21.84: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $20.72. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AMX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $26.40 (+20.9% upside). Prior stop was $20.72. Stop-loss: $20.72.

What are the risks of investing in AMX?

Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is AMX overvalued or undervalued?

America Movil, S.A.B. de C.V. trades at a P/E of 13.1 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AMX?

17 analysts cover AMX with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $29.

What does America Movil, S.A.B. de C.V. do?América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. provides telecommunications services in Latin America and internationally. It offers...

América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. provides telecommunications services in Latin America and internationally. It offers wireless and fixed-line voice services, including airtime, local, domestic, and international long-distance services; and network interconnection services. The company provides data services, such as data centers, data administration, and hosting services to residential and corporate clients; value-added services, including internet access, messaging and other wireless entertainment, and corporate services; data transmission, email services, instant messaging, content streaming, and interactive applications; and wireless security services, mobile payment solutions, machine-to-machine services, mobile banking, virtual private network services, and video calls and personal communications services. In addition, it offers residential broadband services; IT solutions to small businesses and large corporations; and cable and satellite television subscriptions. Further, the company sells equipment, accessories, and computers; and offers software development, call center, entertainment content and news, telephone directories, advertising, cybersecurity services, and corporate IT solutions. Additionally, it provides video, audio, and other media content through the internet directly from the content provider to the end user. It sells its products and services under the Telcel, Telmex Infinitum, and A1 brand names through a network of retailers and service centers to retail customers; and through sales force to corporate customers. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.

Related stocks: TIGO (Millicom International Cellular) · TMUS (T-Mobile US, Inc.) · TLK (PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tb) · RCI (Rogers Communication, Inc.) · VIV (Telefonica Brasil S.A.)
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