T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Communication Services · Telecom Services
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $189.01: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States; Concentration risk — Product: Postpaid customers (81.0%).
T-Mobile US is the second-largest wireless carrier in the US, serving 142.4 million postpaid and prepaid customers under T-Mobile, Metro by T-Mobile, and Mint Mobile brands. Service revenues are split 81% postpaid, 15% prepaid, and 4% wholesale; substantially all revenues are... Read more
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $189.01: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States; Concentration risk — Product: Postpaid customers (81.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.
About T-Mobile US, Inc.
About T-Mobile US, Inc.
T-Mobile US served 142.4 million postpaid and prepaid customers at December 31, 2025, generating service revenues that were 81% postpaid, 15% prepaid, and 4% wholesale and other services, with substantially all revenues earned in the United States including Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. T-Mobile ranked as the second largest wireless provider in the U.S. by total postpaid and prepaid customers, employing approximately 75,000 full-time and part-time employees from headquarters in Bellevue, Washington and Overland Park, Kansas.
T-Mobile generates revenue through postpaid and prepaid service subscriptions, equipment sales, and wholesale network access sold to MVNO and Machine-to-Machine partners. The company's premium Experience More and Experience Beyond plans bundle unlimited talk, text, and data with 5G access, streaming subscriptions, and in-flight Wi-Fi; Essentials and specialty rate plans (Military/Veterans, First Responder, 55+) capture price-sensitive segments. Equipment is sold through T-Mobile and Metro by T-Mobile owned stores, websites and apps, customer care channels, national retailers, and independent dealer networks; qualified customers finance device purchases via 24-month equipment installment plans. T-Mobile also offers 5G broadband fixed wireless services and is building fiber broadband capacity through joint ventures. Spectrum depth at December 31, 2025 totaled 394 MHz average combined low- and mid-band nationally plus 1,059 GHz of mmWave licenses. On August 1, 2025, T-Mobile completed the UScellular Acquisition, adding customers and network assets in certain U.S. markets.
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T-Mobile operates under binding Government Commitments from the 2020 Sprint merger, including extensive 5G network build-out obligations and fixed wireless marketing requirements; the 10-K warns that failure to fulfill these on time could result in substantial fines, penalties, or other legal and administrative actions. FCC spectrum licenses are issued for fixed 10-15 year terms, and while the FCC has generally renewed operating licenses, it retains authority to revoke or deny renewal if not in the public interest. The FCC also retains authority to modify rules governing the use of licensed spectrum, which could affect T-Mobile's network deployment and competitive positioning.
See also: Communication Services · Telecom Services
From T-Mobile US, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — T-Mobile US, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Deutsche Telekom and T-Mobile in early talks for mega merger, sources say - Reuters — Reuters positive
- NEWS T-Mobile Stock Falls on Report of Possible Deutsche Telekom Combination - Barron's — Barron's negative
- NEWS T-Mobile US (TMUS) Stock Rises as Deutsche Telekom Considers Maj - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS T-Mobile stock slides as report revives uncertainty around a potential Deutsche Telekom tie-up - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative negative
- NEWS Deutsche Telekom Shares Fall on Reports of Potential Merger With T-Mobile US - WSJ — WSJ negative
Generated 2026-06-17T08:56:48Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicUnited States10-K Item 1: 'Substantially all of our revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023, were earned in the United States'
- HIGHProductPostpaid customers81%10-K Item 1: '81% Postpaid customers'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Analyst Consensus
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $189.01: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States; Concentration risk — Product: Postpaid customers (81.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Prior stop was $178.61. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $234.73 (+24.1% upside). Prior stop was $178.61. Stop-loss: $178.61.
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States; Concentration risk — Product: Postpaid customers (81.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5.
T-Mobile US, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.1 (forward 13.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
37 analysts cover TMUS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $261.
What does T-Mobile US, Inc. do?T-Mobile US is the second-largest wireless carrier in the US, serving 142.4 million postpaid and prepaid customers...
T-Mobile US is the second-largest wireless carrier in the US, serving 142.4 million postpaid and prepaid customers under T-Mobile, Metro by T-Mobile, and Mint Mobile brands. Service revenues are split 81% postpaid, 15% prepaid, and 4% wholesale; substantially all revenues are earned in the United States. The company also offers 5G fixed wireless broadband and fiber services.