T-Mobile offers 24.3% analyst-implied upside with a forward price-to-earnings of 13.5x, PEG of 0.75, and rising on-balance volume in a recovery setup, but a confirmed downtrend with a 3.7% declining 200-day moving average slope and an elevated put/call ratio of 4.79 create meaningful near-term risk.
Thesis pillars
- Attractive Value Low Peg↑Improving
- Confirmed Downtrend 200ma↓Deteriorating
- Elevated Put Call Concern↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Communication Services · Telecom Services
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $165.17 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.
T-Mobile US provides wireless communications and broadband services to 142.4 million postpaid and prepaid customers under the T-Mobile, Metro by T-Mobile, Mint Mobile, and Ultra Mobile brands, ranking as the second largest U.S. wireless carrier by total customers. Revenue flows... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $165.17 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.
Passes 8/10 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.35, news boost analyst cluster(4), earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
About T-Mobile US, Inc.
About T-Mobile US, Inc.
T-Mobile US served 142.4 million postpaid and prepaid customers at December 31, 2025, generating service revenues that were 81% postpaid, 15% prepaid, and 4% wholesale and other services, with substantially all revenues earned in the United States including Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. T-Mobile ranked as the second largest wireless provider in the U.S. by total postpaid and prepaid customers, employing approximately 75,000 full-time and part-time employees from headquarters in Bellevue, Washington and Overland Park, Kansas.
T-Mobile generates revenue through postpaid and prepaid service subscriptions, equipment sales, and wholesale network access sold to MVNO and Machine-to-Machine partners. The company's premium Experience More and Experience Beyond plans bundle unlimited talk, text, and data with 5G access, streaming subscriptions, and in-flight Wi-Fi; Essentials and specialty rate plans (Military/Veterans, First Responder, 55+) capture price-sensitive segments. Equipment is sold through T-Mobile and Metro by T-Mobile owned stores, websites and apps, customer care channels, national retailers, and independent dealer networks; qualified customers finance device purchases via 24-month equipment installment plans. T-Mobile also offers 5G broadband fixed wireless services and is building fiber broadband capacity through joint ventures. Spectrum depth at December 31, 2025 totaled 394 MHz average combined low- and mid-band nationally plus 1,059 GHz of mmWave licenses. On August 1, 2025, T-Mobile completed the UScellular Acquisition, adding customers and network assets in certain U.S. markets.
Show full overview
T-Mobile operates under binding Government Commitments from the 2020 Sprint merger, including extensive 5G network build-out obligations and fixed wireless marketing requirements; the 10-K warns that failure to fulfill these on time could result in substantial fines, penalties, or other legal and administrative actions. FCC spectrum licenses are issued for fixed 10-15 year terms, and while the FCC has generally renewed operating licenses, it retains authority to revoke or deny renewal if not in the public interest. The FCC also retains authority to modify rules governing the use of licensed spectrum, which could affect T-Mobile's network deployment and competitive positioning.
See also: Communication Services · Telecom Services
From T-Mobile US, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-25Recent Developments — T-Mobile US, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS DUOL Stock Tumbles On T-Mobile's AI Translation Feature — Retail Calls Selloff ‘Stupid’ - Stocktwits — Stocktwits positive
- NEWS $100 Invested In T-Mobile US 10 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today - Benzinga — Benzinga positive
- NEWS Deutsche Telekom and T-Mobile in early talks for mega merger, sources say - Reuters — Reuters positive
- NEWS T-Mobile Stock Falls on Report of Possible Deutsche Telekom Combination - Barron's — Barron's negative
- NEWS T-Mobile US (TMUS) Stock Rises as Deutsche Telekom Considers Maj - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
Generated 2026-09-25T14:07:22Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $165.17 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $156.31. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $220.39 (+33.4% upside). Prior stop was $156.31. Stop-loss: $156.31.
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Weak growth.
T-Mobile US, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.3 (forward 11.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
37 analysts cover TMUS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $245.
What does T-Mobile US, Inc. do?T-Mobile US provides wireless communications and broadband services to 142.4 million postpaid and prepaid customers...
T-Mobile US provides wireless communications and broadband services to 142.4 million postpaid and prepaid customers under the T-Mobile, Metro by T-Mobile, Mint Mobile, and Ultra Mobile brands, ranking as the second largest U.S. wireless carrier by total customers. Revenue flows from monthly service plans—81% postpaid, 15% prepaid, 4% wholesale—plus device sales, with substantially all revenue earned in the United States.