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Rogers Communication, Inc. (RCI) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~61% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Rogers Communications Inc. operates as a communications, sports, and entertainment company in Canada. It operates through Wireless, Cable, and Media segments. The company offers mobile internet access, wireless voice and enhanced voice, device financing, device protection,... Read more

$36.37+3.7% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#1 of 40 Telecom Services
Stop $34.41Target $37.71(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$41.41+13.8%4 analysts
$37.71our TP
$36.37price
$41.41mean
$51

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~61% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and news soft restructuring. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.75)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~61% (cyclical peak)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)3.8
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$19.6B
EV/EBITDA7.3
Profit Mgn31.7%
ROE40.7%
Rev Growth10.2%
Beta0.82
Dividend4.04%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV40%normal
Max Pain$25-31.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVENEWS SOFT RESTRUCTURINGMomentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $31.97Resistance $38.48

Price Targets

$34
$38
A.Upside+3.7%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 10x vs trail 4x (2.6x)
! Target reached (-3.2% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RCI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~61% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $37.71 (+3.7%), stop $34.41 (−5.7%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RCI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $37.71 (+3.7% upside). Target $37.71 (+3.7%), stop $34.41 (−5.7%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $34.41.

What are the risks of investing in RCI?

Earnings expected to decline ~61% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0.

Is RCI overvalued or undervalued?

Rogers Communication, Inc. trades at a P/E of 3.8 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RCI?

24 analysts cover RCI with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Rogers Communication, Inc. do?Rogers Communications Inc. operates as a communications, sports, and entertainment company in Canada. It operates...

Rogers Communications Inc. operates as a communications, sports, and entertainment company in Canada. It operates through Wireless, Cable, and Media segments. The company offers mobile internet access, wireless voice and enhanced voice, device financing, device protection, global voice and data roaming, wireless home phone, bridging landline, machine-to-machine and Internet of Things solutions, and advanced wireless solutions for businesses, as well as device shipping and pickup services; satellite-to-mobile service; and wireless solutions under the Rogers, Fido, and chatr brands. It also provides Internet access, Internet protocol-based (IP) television, applications, online viewing, phone, home monitoring, and advanced home WiFi services to consumer and businesses. In addition, the company offers local and network TV; on-demand television; cloud-based digital video recorders; voice-activated remote controls, restart, and integrated apps; linear and time-shifted programming; digital specialty channels; and 4K television programming. Further, it provides residential and small business local telephony services; voicemail, call waiting, and long distance; video and audio programming; voice, data networking, IP, and Ethernet services; private networking, Internet, IP voice, and cloud solutions; optical wave and multi-protocol label switching services; information technology and network technologies; cable access network services; telecommunications technical consulting services; and season games through television, smartphones, tablets, personal computers, and other streaming devices. Additionally, the company owns Toronto Blue Jays and the Rogers Centre event venue; and operates Sportsnet ONE, Sportsnet 360, Sportsnet World, Citytv, OMNI, FX (Canada), FXX (Canada), and HGTV television networks, as well as AM and FM radio stations. It also offers Rogers and the Rogers Red World Elite Mastercard. The company was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

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