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TIGOMillicom International CellularHold5.7·$93.89-0.36%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Millicom International Cellular delivers elite financial quality — 37% return on equity, 19% net margins, 146% free-cash-flow conversion, and a Rule of 40 score of 73 — with 45% revenue growth and an attractive forward price-to-earnings of 13.7x, but forward earnings estimates are falling 30.3% in 30 days and the stock already sits 19.1% above its analyst-implied intrinsic value.

Thesis pillars

  • Elite Financial Quality MetricsStable
  • Revenue Growth Vs Declining EstimatesStable
  • Price Above Intrinsic Value TargetImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Millicom International Cellular (TIGO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $93.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5.

Millicom International Cellular S.A. engages in the provision cable and mobile services in Latin America. The company offers mobile services, including mobile data and voice, and short message services; and mobile financial services, such as payments, money transfers,... Read more

$93.89-11.0% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#19 of 44 Telecom Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield11.93%
IncomeYield3.20%(5y avg 4.76%)Payout74.92%
Stop $87.32Target $104.99(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$96.01+2.3%8 analysts
$104.99our TP
$93.89price
$96.01mean
$60
$132

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $93.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst cluster(3), earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202681d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.5
P/E (Fwd)12.1
Mkt Cap$15.7B
EV/EBITDA8.7
Profit Mgn9.2%
ROE21.7%
Rev Growth59.4%
Beta0.90
Dividend3.20%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.42bearish
IV59%elevated
Max Pain$135+43.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.4
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(3)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $89.78Resistance $107.13

Price Targets

$87
$105
A.Upside-11.0%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.0% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TIGO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $93.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $104.99 (+11.8%), stop $87.32 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TIGO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $104.99 (-11.0% upside). Target $104.99 (+11.8%), stop $87.32 (−7.5%), A.R:R -1.2:1. Stop-loss: $87.32.

What are the risks of investing in TIGO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 4.9): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is TIGO overvalued or undervalued?

Millicom International Cellular trades at a P/E of 23.5 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TIGO?

13 analysts cover TIGO with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $96.

What does Millicom International Cellular do?Millicom International Cellular S.A. engages in the provision cable and mobile services in Latin America. The company...

Millicom International Cellular S.A. engages in the provision cable and mobile services in Latin America. The company offers mobile services, including mobile data and voice, and short message services; and mobile financial services, such as payments, money transfers, international remittances, savings, real-time loans, and micro-insurance. In addition, the company provides fixed services, including broadband, fixed voice, and pay-TV; and fixed-voice and data telecommunications services, managed services, cloud and security solutions, and value-added services; and tower infrastructure and services. The company serves small, medium, and large businesses, as well as residential consumers and governmental entities. It markets its products and services under the Tigo and Tigo Business brands. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.

Related stocks: AD (Array Digital Infrastructure, I) · TLK (PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tb) · TIMB (TIM S.A.) · LILA (Liberty Latin America Ltd.) · KYIV (Kyivstar Group Ltd.)
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