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Millicom International Cellular (TIGO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $80.94 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Millicom International Cellular S.A. engages in the provision cable and mobile services in Latin America. The company offers mobile services, including mobile data and voice, and short message services; and mobile financial services, such as payments, money transfers,... Read more

$80.94+3.2% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#7 of 40 Telecom Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield13.31%
IncomeYield3.72%(5y avg 4.76%)Payout40.75%sustainable
Stop $75.27Target $83.55(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$79.67-1.6%7 analysts
$83.55our TP
$80.94price
$79.67mean
$51
$89

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $80.94 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Millicom International Cellular

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.8 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.8): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.0
P/E (Fwd)16.2
Mkt Cap$13.5B
EV/EBITDA8.7
Profit Mgn19.1%
ROE37.4%
Rev Growth45.1%
Beta0.90
Dividend3.72%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.35bullish
IV48%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $70.20Resistance $85.26

Price Targets

$75
$84
A.Upside+3.2%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TIGO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $80.94 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $75.27. Score 6.0/10, high confidence.

What is the TIGO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $83.55 (+3.2% upside). Prior stop was $75.27. Stop-loss: $75.27.

What are the risks of investing in TIGO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.8): -1.5.

Is TIGO overvalued or undervalued?

Millicom International Cellular trades at a P/E of 11.0 (forward 16.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TIGO?

14 analysts cover TIGO with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $80.

What does Millicom International Cellular do?Millicom International Cellular S.A. engages in the provision cable and mobile services in Latin America. The company...

Millicom International Cellular S.A. engages in the provision cable and mobile services in Latin America. The company offers mobile services, including mobile data and voice, and short message services; and mobile financial services, such as payments, money transfers, international remittances, savings, real-time loans, and micro-insurance. In addition, the company provides fixed services, including broadband, fixed voice, and pay-TV; and fixed-voice and data telecommunications services, managed services, cloud and security solutions, and value-added services; and tower infrastructure and services. The company serves small, medium, and large businesses, as well as residential consumers and governmental entities. It markets its products and services under the Tigo and Tigo Business brands. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.

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