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SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

TIM S.A. trades at an attractive forward price-to-earnings of 10.2x with a Piotroski score of 8 out of 9 and 16% operating margins, but thin upside of only 4.3% and low asymmetry keep new entry unattractive at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Telecom Valuation↑Improving
  • Strong Margin Quality Profile→Stable
  • Rising Obv Accumulation↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

TIM S.A. (TIMB) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellValueQualityModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $18.33 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

TIM S.A. engages in the telecommunications sector in Brazil. It offers landline switched telephone services in local, national, and international long-distance modes, as well as personal mobile and multimedia communication services. The company is based in Rio de Janeiro,... Read more

$18.33+15.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#14 of 42 Telecom Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield50.77%
IncomeYield8.31%(5y avg 5.53%)Payout89.44%at-risk
Stop $17.49Target $21.09(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$24.24+32.2%8 analysts
$21.09our TP
$18.33price
$24.24mean
$29

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $18.33 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 40d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202640d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Outperforming peers
Margin of safety: 30%
Risks
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.5
P/E (Fwd)8.9
Mkt Cap$8.7B
EV/EBITDA1.8
Profit Mgn15.8%
ROE17.3%
Rev Growth5.5%
Beta0.10
Dividend8.31%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.06bullish
IV49%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.5
Revenue Growth
3.9

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume
5.4
Macd
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 40d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $17.32Resistance $19.38

Price Targets

$17
$21
A.Upside+15.1%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (40d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TIMB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $18.33 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Prior stop was $17.49. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TIMB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.09 (+15.1% upside). Prior stop was $17.49. Stop-loss: $17.49.

What are the risks of investing in TIMB?

Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth.

Is TIMB overvalued or undervalued?

TIM S.A. trades at a P/E of 10.5 (forward 8.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TIMB?

20 analysts cover TIMB with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $24.

What does TIM S.A. do?TIM S.A. engages in the telecommunications sector in Brazil. It offers landline switched telephone services in local,...

TIM S.A. engages in the telecommunications sector in Brazil. It offers landline switched telephone services in local, national, and international long-distance modes, as well as personal mobile and multimedia communication services. The company is based in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. TIM S.A. is a subsidiary of TIM Brasil Serviços e Participações S.A.

Related stocks: AD (Array Digital Infrastructure, I) · VIV (Telefonica Brasil S.A.) · GLIBA (Liberty Capital Corporation - S) · KYIV (Kyivstar Group Ltd.) · ATEX (Anterix Inc.)
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