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TIMBTIM S.A.Hold5.7·$21.83+0.55%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

TIM S.A. trades at an attractive forward price-to-earnings of 10.2x with a Piotroski score of 8 out of 9 and 16% operating margins, but thin upside of only 4.3% and low asymmetry keep new entry unattractive at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Telecom ValuationStable
  • Strong Margin Quality ProfileStable
  • Rising Obv AccumulationStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

TIM S.A. (TIMB) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.83, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.3%; Weak growth.

TIM S.A. engages in the telecommunications sector in Brazil. It offers landline switched telephone services in local, national, and international long-distance modes, as well as personal mobile and multimedia communication services. The company is based in Rio de Janeiro,... Read more

$21.83+5.3% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#11 of 45 Telecom Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield43.77%
IncomeYield6.84%(5y avg 5.36%)Payout87.43%at-risk
Stop $20.71Target $22.99(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$26.43+21.1%8 analysts
$22.99our TP
$21.83price
$26.43mean
$32

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.83, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.3%; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 22d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 27, 202622d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.3%
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.5
P/E (Fwd)10.0
Mkt Cap$10.4B
EV/EBITDA1.9
Profit Mgn16.0%
ROE17.7%
Rev Growth6.5%
Beta0.11
Dividend6.84%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV94%elevated
Max Pain$20-8.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.6
Revenue Growth
4.1
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 22d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $20.53Resistance $22.64

Price Targets

$21
$23
A.Upside+5.3%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (22d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TIMB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.83, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.3%; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $22.99 (+5.3%), stop $20.71 (−5.4%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TIMB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.99 (+5.3% upside). Target $22.99 (+5.3%), stop $20.71 (−5.4%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $20.71.

What are the risks of investing in TIMB?

Thin upside margin: 5.3%; Weak growth.

Is TIMB overvalued or undervalued?

TIM S.A. trades at a P/E of 12.5 (forward 10.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TIMB?

20 analysts cover TIMB with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $26.

What does TIM S.A. do?TIM S.A. engages in the telecommunications sector in Brazil. It offers landline switched telephone services in local,...

TIM S.A. engages in the telecommunications sector in Brazil. It offers landline switched telephone services in local, national, and international long-distance modes, as well as personal mobile and multimedia communication services. The company is based in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. TIM S.A. is a subsidiary of TIM Brasil Serviços e Participações S.A.

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