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WRBW.R. Berkley CorporationSell5.3·$68.37+0.50%
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W.R. Berkley Corporation (WRB) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $68.37 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Insurance segment (88.0%).

W.R. Berkley is an insurance holding company that writes commercial lines property casualty insurance and reinsurance across two segments in the U.S. and internationally. Insurance generated 88% of $12.7 billion in total net premiums written in 2025, spanning 60 businesses from... Read more

$68.37-1.0% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#21 of 29 Insurance - Property & Casualty
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield12.72%
IncomeYield0.59%(5y avg 0.55%)Payout7.63%sustainable
Stop $65.33Target $67.72(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$67.00-2.0%16 analysts
$67.72our TP
$68.37price
$67.00mean
$51
$78

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $68.37 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Insurance segment (88.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About W.R. Berkley Corporation

About W.R. Berkley Corporation

W.R. Berkley wrote $12.7 billion in total net premiums in 2025, with Insurance generating 88% ($11.2 billion) and Reinsurance & Monoline Excess contributing 12% ($1.5 billion), across 60 distinct business units subject to state insurance department regulation in the United States and analogous international oversight. Gross loss and loss expense reserves stood at approximately $22.2 billion at December 31, 2025. Current accident year catastrophe losses net of reinsurance were $336 million in 2025, compared with $298 million in 2024 and $195 million in 2023.

W.R. Berkley earns premium revenue through decentralized specialty units, each positioned close to its niche customer base. The Insurance segment writes across five principal lines: other liability (38.6% of Insurance gross premiums in 2025), short-tail lines (27.3%), auto (12.9%), professional liability (11.4%), and workers' compensation (9.8%), served through retail and wholesale agents, brokers, and managing general agents. The Reinsurance & Monoline Excess segment provides facultative and treaty reinsurance across the U.S., Asia Pacific, Australia, Continental Europe, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. The company purchases reinsurance for catastrophe risks and high-limit policies on an annually renewable basis; competitors in the reinsurance market include Swiss Re, Munich Re, Berkshire Hathaway, and Hannover Re. Social inflation — higher jury awards, more frequent claims, and third-party litigation funding — exposes the company to increasing loss costs on long-tail liability lines. Catastrophe loss exposure is partially mitigated by TRIPRA coverage (up to 80% of covered losses on certified acts of terrorism), subject to a 2026 aggregate deductible of approximately $1,835 million based on 2025 earned premiums.

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W.R. Berkley's insurance subsidiaries operate under state department of insurance supervision in each U.S. state — the primary form of insurance oversight — with federal-level monitoring by the NAIC and the Federal Insurance Office (FIO), which released guidance in June 2023 urging regulators to adopt climate-related risk monitoring. In New York, the NYDFS requires licensed subsidiaries to integrate climate-change financial risks into governance frameworks and enterprise risk management programs. The company's EU-domiciled operations are subject to Solvency II, while UK subsidiaries fall under a diverging UK prudential regime, each potentially requiring additional capital and compliance resources as the two regimes continue to diverge.

See also: Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

From W.R. Berkley Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Jul 20, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Insurance segment (88.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.4
P/E (Fwd)14.1
Mkt Cap$25.3B
EV/EBITDA10.1
Profit Mgn12.6%
ROE20.2%
Rev Growth4.0%
Beta0.31
Dividend0.59%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.06bearish
IV38%normal
Max Pain$80+17.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductInsurance segment88%
    10-K Item 1: 'Percentage of net premiums written:...Insurance| 88.0 | %'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.6
Growth Rank
3.4
Quality Rank
6.0

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.2
Bollinger
2.6
52w Position
7.6
GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $62.87Resistance $69.10

Price Targets

$65
$68
A.Upside-1.0%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-20 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WRB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $68.37 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Insurance segment (88.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Prior stop was $65.33. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WRB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $67.72 (-1.0% upside). Prior stop was $65.33. Stop-loss: $65.33.

What are the risks of investing in WRB?

Concentration risk — Product: Insurance segment (88.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is WRB overvalued or undervalued?

W.R. Berkley Corporation trades at a P/E of 14.4 (forward 14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WRB?

27 analysts cover WRB with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $67.

What does W.R. Berkley Corporation do?W.R. Berkley is an insurance holding company that writes commercial lines property casualty insurance and reinsurance...

W.R. Berkley is an insurance holding company that writes commercial lines property casualty insurance and reinsurance across two segments in the U.S. and internationally. Insurance generated 88% of $12.7 billion in total net premiums written in 2025, spanning 60 businesses from excess and surplus lines and specialty to regional commercial coverage.

Related stocks: PLMR (Palomar Holdings, Inc.) · ORI (Old Republic International Corp) · MCY (Mercury General Corporation) · THG (Hanover Insurance Group Inc) · AIZ (Assurant, Inc.)
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