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W.R. Berkley Corporation (WRB) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $66.60 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum.

W.R. Berkley is an insurance holding company among the largest US commercial lines writers, operating 60 decentralized niche businesses across Insurance (88% of $12.7B 2025 net premiums written) and Reinsurance & Monoline Excess (12%). Each business serves a specific market by... Read more

$66.60+1.2% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#15 of 29 Insurance - Property & Casualty
Stop $63.63Target $67.35(resistance)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$67.25+1.0%16 analysts
$67.35our TP
$66.60price
$67.25mean
$51
$78

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $66.60 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 3/7 gates (no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.2
P/E (Fwd)13.9
Mkt Cap$26.1B
EV/EBITDA9.4
Profit Mgn12.6%
ROE
Rev Growth4.0%
Beta0.37
Dividend0.54%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.17bearish
IV41%normal
Max Pain$50-24.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.1
Value Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
6.2

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
4.5
Macd
8.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.78%=HEAVYDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)No SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $65.08Resistance $68.72

Price Targets

$64
$67
A.Upside+1.1%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.1% upside)
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-20 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WRB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $66.60 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Prior stop was $63.63. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WRB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $67.35 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $63.63. Stop-loss: $63.63.

What are the risks of investing in WRB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.

Is WRB overvalued or undervalued?

W.R. Berkley Corporation trades at a P/E of 14.2 (forward 13.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WRB?

26 analysts cover WRB with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $67.

What does W.R. Berkley Corporation do?W.R. Berkley is an insurance holding company among the largest US commercial lines writers, operating 60 decentralized...

W.R. Berkley is an insurance holding company among the largest US commercial lines writers, operating 60 decentralized niche businesses across Insurance (88% of $12.7B 2025 net premiums written) and Reinsurance & Monoline Excess (12%). Each business serves a specific market by geography, product, or industry, backed by centralized capital and reinsurance management.

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