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WECWEC Energy Group, Inc.Buy Wait5.5·$115.77+0.92%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

WEC Energy Group benefits from strong price momentum and a consistent earnings beat record, but current pricing has consumed available upside and the reward-to-risk profile is unfavorable at today's levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyStable
  • Price Momentum Golden CrossImproving
  • Asymmetry Gate FailureStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

WEC Energy Group, Inc. (WEC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $111.33. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $115.77. Engine's entry $111.33 (200-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.5% away).

WEC Energy Group provides regulated electric and natural gas utility service in Wisconsin and Michigan through We Energies, WPS, and Wisconsin Gas, and natural gas service in Illinois through Peoples Gas and North Shore Gas, with Wisconsin retail rates established by the PSCW.... Read more

$115.77-3.8% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#13 of 42 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-5.48%
IncomeYield3.29%(5y avg 3.26%)Payout72.75%
Entry $111.33(200-day MA)Stop $107.48Target $117.51(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$123.75+6.9%18 analysts
$117.51our TP
$115.77price
$123.75mean
$108
$140

Wait for pullback to $111.33. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $115.77. Engine's entry $111.33 (200-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.5% away). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About WEC Energy Group, Inc.

About WEC Energy Group, Inc.

WEC Energy Group served 1,696,600 electric customers and 1,545,000 natural gas customers at year-end 2025, with retail electric rates in Wisconsin established by the PSCW and retail rates in Michigan authorized by the MPSC. The company's 8,375 MWs of generation capacity drew 30.5% from coal, 24.1% from natural gas combined cycle, and 19.8% via a long-term power purchase agreement with the Point Beach nuclear plant in 2025. WEC also holds an approximately 60% equity interest in ATC, an electric transmission company spanning Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin.

WEC Energy Group's regulated utilities earn revenue under cost-of-service rates reviewed by the PSCW in Wisconsin and MPSC in Michigan, with fuel and purchased power costs recoverable through authorized mechanisms including a 2% deferral variance in Wisconsin. Coal — purchased from mines in Wyoming and Pennsylvania under long-term contracts, with 51% of projected 2026 requirements (8.9 million tons) under fixed-price contracts — accounted for 30.5% of the 2025 electric supply mix. Natural gas for generation is purchased on the spot market and hedged over a 60-month period at up to 75% of estimated use, as authorized by the PSCW. Illinois subsidiary Peoples Gas (PGL) is regulated by the Illinois Commerce Commission (ICC), which in its 2023 final rate order disallowed certain pipeline replacement program capital costs, causing impairment charges at PGL and North Shore Gas. Retail customers accounted for 92.3% of total electric operating revenues in 2025, with the balance from wholesale and resale sales into the MISO energy market.

Show full overview

WEC Energy Group's capital plan is directly subject to PSCW approval, including already-approved requests for 1,228 MWs of additional natural gas-fired generation and 955 MWs of solar plus 411 MWs of battery storage, plus pending requests for 1,660 MWs of additional natural gas generation and 1,333 MWs of solar. The company intends to use coal only as a backup fuel by end of 2030 and aims to eliminate coal as an energy source by end of 2032. In February 2025, the ICC issued operational directives for PGL's pipeline replacement program, indicating that failure to comply with cast and ductile iron pipe replacement by January 1, 2035 could subject PGL to civil penalties under Illinois statute.

See also: Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

From WEC Energy Group, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.5% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.2
P/E (Fwd)19.3
Mkt Cap$37.7B
EV/EBITDA15.4
Profit Mgn16.2%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth9.0%
Beta0.46
Dividend3.29%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.44bullish
IV37%normal
Max Pain$140+20.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMregulatoryPSCW (Wisconsin)
    10-K Item 1: 'Our retail electric rates in Wisconsin are established by the PSCW'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartyBluewater natural gas storage
    10-K Item 1: 'Bluewater owns natural gas storage facilities in Michigan and provides approximately one-third of the current storage needs for our Wisconsin natural gas utilities'
  • LOWcounterpartyPoint Beach nuclear PPA
    10-K Item 1: '1,033 MWs per year related to a long-term PPA for electricity generated by Point Beach'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-08Item 5.02LOW
    Chairman Gale Klappa completed Board service on May 7, 2026, having reached retirement age per Corporate Governance Guidelines. Compensation Committee approved acceleration of vesting of approximately 1,616 unvested restricted shares in recognition of service. No successor Chairman named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $110.80Resistance $119.91

Price Targets

$107
$111
$118
A.Upside-3.8%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.8% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WEC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $111.33. Recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $115.77. Engine's entry $111.33 (200-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.5% away). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $117.51 (+1.5%), stop $107.48 (−7.7%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WEC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $117.51 (-3.8% upside). Target $117.51 (+1.5%), stop $107.48 (−7.7%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $107.48.

What are the risks of investing in WEC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.5% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0.

Is WEC overvalued or undervalued?

WEC Energy Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.2 (forward 19.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about WEC?

25 analysts cover WEC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $124.

What does WEC Energy Group, Inc. do?WEC Energy Group provides regulated electric and natural gas utility service in Wisconsin and Michigan through We...

WEC Energy Group provides regulated electric and natural gas utility service in Wisconsin and Michigan through We Energies, WPS, and Wisconsin Gas, and natural gas service in Illinois through Peoples Gas and North Shore Gas, with Wisconsin retail rates established by the PSCW. The company served 1,696,600 electric and 1,545,000 natural gas customers at year-end 2025 and owns 8,375 MWs of generation capacity with coal (30.5%) and natural gas as the primary fuels.

Related stocks: ELPC (Companhia Paranaense de Energia) · PCG (Pacific Gas & Electric Co.) · PEG (Public Service Enterprise Group) · NEE (NextEra Energy, Inc.) · DUK (Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin)
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