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WECWEC Energy Group, Inc.Sell5.2·$114.28+0.74%
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WEC Energy Group, Inc. (WEC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $114.28 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.5% away).

WEC Energy Group is a regulated utility holding company headquartered in Milwaukee, WI, serving ~1.7 million electric and ~1.5 million gas customers across Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan, and Minnesota through six reportable segments. Electric generation comes primarily from... Read more

$114.28-0.9% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#21 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-5.59%
IncomeYield3.36%(5y avg 3.26%)Payout72.75%
Stop $109.83Target $113.19(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$124.19+8.7%18 analysts
$113.19our TP
$114.28price
$124.19mean
$108
$140

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $114.28 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About WEC Energy Group, Inc.

About WEC Energy Group, Inc.

WEC Energy Group served 1,696,600 electric customers and 1,545,000 natural gas customers at year-end 2025, with retail electric rates in Wisconsin established by the PSCW and retail rates in Michigan authorized by the MPSC. The company's 8,375 MWs of generation capacity drew 30.5% from coal, 24.1% from natural gas combined cycle, and 19.8% via a long-term power purchase agreement with the Point Beach nuclear plant in 2025. WEC also holds an approximately 60% equity interest in ATC, an electric transmission company spanning Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin.

WEC Energy Group's regulated utilities earn revenue under cost-of-service rates reviewed by the PSCW in Wisconsin and MPSC in Michigan, with fuel and purchased power costs recoverable through authorized mechanisms including a 2% deferral variance in Wisconsin. Coal — purchased from mines in Wyoming and Pennsylvania under long-term contracts, with 51% of projected 2026 requirements (8.9 million tons) under fixed-price contracts — accounted for 30.5% of the 2025 electric supply mix. Natural gas for generation is purchased on the spot market and hedged over a 60-month period at up to 75% of estimated use, as authorized by the PSCW. Illinois subsidiary Peoples Gas (PGL) is regulated by the Illinois Commerce Commission (ICC), which in its 2023 final rate order disallowed certain pipeline replacement program capital costs, causing impairment charges at PGL and North Shore Gas. Retail customers accounted for 92.3% of total electric operating revenues in 2025, with the balance from wholesale and resale sales into the MISO energy market.

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WEC Energy Group's capital plan is directly subject to PSCW approval, including already-approved requests for 1,228 MWs of additional natural gas-fired generation and 955 MWs of solar plus 411 MWs of battery storage, plus pending requests for 1,660 MWs of additional natural gas generation and 1,333 MWs of solar. The company intends to use coal only as a backup fuel by end of 2030 and aims to eliminate coal as an energy source by end of 2032. In February 2025, the ICC issued operational directives for PGL's pipeline replacement program, indicating that failure to comply with cast and ductile iron pipe replacement by January 1, 2035 could subject PGL to civil penalties under Illinois statute.

See also: Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

From WEC Energy Group, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — WEC Energy Group, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-17T08:26:48Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.5% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.7
P/E (Fwd)18.9
Mkt Cap$37.0B
EV/EBITDA15.2
Profit Mgn16.2%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth9.0%
Beta0.47
Dividend3.36%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.81neutral
IV62%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $108.59Resistance $115.50

Price Targets

$110
$113
A.Upside-1.0%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WEC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $114.28 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $109.83. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WEC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $113.19 (-0.9% upside). Prior stop was $109.83. Stop-loss: $109.83.

What are the risks of investing in WEC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.5% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -1.0.

Is WEC overvalued or undervalued?

WEC Energy Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.7 (forward 18.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WEC?

25 analysts cover WEC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $124.

What does WEC Energy Group, Inc. do?WEC Energy Group is a regulated utility holding company headquartered in Milwaukee, WI, serving ~1.7 million electric...

WEC Energy Group is a regulated utility holding company headquartered in Milwaukee, WI, serving ~1.7 million electric and ~1.5 million gas customers across Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan, and Minnesota through six reportable segments. Electric generation comes primarily from natural gas (~33% of supply), coal (~31%), and nuclear power purchase agreements (~20%), regulated primarily by the PSCW.

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