Companhia Paranaense de Energia (ELPC) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the ELPC stock price target?

Take-profit $13.74 (+6.8% upside). Target $13.74 (+6.8%), stop $12.18 (−5.6%), A.R:R 1.2:1.

Q: What are the risks of investing in ELPC?

Thin upside margin: 6.9%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Negative momentum; Momentum score 2.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum; Reward/Risk 1.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum.

Q: Is ELPC overvalued or undervalued?

Companhia Paranaense de Energia trades at a P/E of 17.3 (forward 17.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

Q: What do analysts say about ELPC?

20 analysts cover ELPC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $16.

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $12.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.9%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

$12.86+6.8% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#2 of 38 Utilities - Regulated Electric

Stop $12.18Target $13.74(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.2:1

Analyst target$16.17+25.7%3 analysts

$13.74our TP

$12.86price

$16.17mean

$21

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $12.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.9%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

Attractive valuation

Strong growth profile

Positive insider activity

Risks

Thin upside margin: 6.9%

Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.3

P/E (Fwd)17.5

Mkt Cap$9.3B

EV/EBITDA8.7

Profit Mgn10.3%

ROE11.0%

Rev Growth19.4%

Beta0.33

Dividend4.17%

Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.815%1.17

Quality5.115%0.76

Growth8.715%1.30

Momentum2.710%0.27

Sentiment6.010%0.60

Insider Activity7.310%0.73

Peer Rank6.610%0.66

Technical Setup6.35%0.32

Risk Profile7.35%0.36

Catalyst8.05%0.40

Overall (Σ contributions)6.58

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Macd

1.1

Rsi

5.5

Ma Position

6.0

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate

RSI

41 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.10Resistance $13.70

Price Targets

$12

$14

A.Upside+6.8%

A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Reward/Risk 1.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

1/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is ELPC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $12.86, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.9%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $13.74 (+6.8%), stop $12.18 (−5.6%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ELPC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.74 (+6.8% upside). Target $13.74 (+6.8%), stop $12.18 (−5.6%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Stop-loss: $12.18.

What are the risks of investing in ELPC?

Thin upside margin: 6.9%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

Is ELPC overvalued or undervalued?

Companhia Paranaense de Energia trades at a P/E of 17.3 (forward 17.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ELPC?

20 analysts cover ELPC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $16.

What does Companhia Paranaense de Energia do?Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, study, planning,...

Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, study, planning, construction, production, transformation, transportation, distribution, and commercialization of electricity in Brazil. The company operates through three segments: Generation and Transmission of Electrical Energy; Electrical Energy Distribution; and Commercialization. It produces electricity from hydroelectric and wind power; and constructs, operates, and maintains substations, as well as lines for energy transmission. The company was formerly known as Companhia Paranaense de Energia Elétrica and changed its name to Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL in October 1979. Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Curitiba, Brazil.