Companhia Paranaense de Energia (ELPC) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the ELPC stock price target?

Take-profit $14.39 (+21.4% upside). Target $14.39 (+21.2%), stop $11.14 (−6.6%), A.R:R 3.5:1.

Q: Is ELPC overvalued or undervalued?

Companhia Paranaense de Energia trades at a P/E of 16.3 (forward 16.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

Q: What do analysts say about ELPC?

20 analysts cover ELPC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $17.

HoldModerate ConfidenceUpdated 8 hr ago (May 20, 2026, 9:36 AM ET)

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Negative momentum.

$11.87+21.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#5 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric

QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield36.31%

IncomeYield4.44%Payout135.32%at-risk

Stop $11.14Target $14.39(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.5:1

Analyst target$16.93+42.7%3 analysts

$14.39our TP

$11.87price

$16.93mean

$21

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Companhia Paranaense de Energia

Latest news

Companhia Paranaense de Energia - Copel (ELPC) to Release Earnings on Tuesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
Are Utilities Stocks Lagging Companhia Paranaense de Energia - Copel Unsponsored ADR (ELPC) This Year? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
ELPC Companhia posts 58.5 percent Q2 2025 EPS beat, yet shares drop 1.41 percent in today's trading. - Debt Refinancing — Newser positive
ELPC Companhia posts 58.5 percent Q2 2025 EPS beat, yet shares drop 1.41 percent in today's trading. - Liquidity Risk - — Newser positive

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards

Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0

Analyst upside: 21%

Risks

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)

Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.3

P/E (Fwd)16.4

Mkt Cap$8.7B

EV/EBITDA8.3

Profit Mgn9.9%

ROE10.8%

Rev Growth20.0%

Beta0.33

Dividend4.44%

Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value6.915%1.03

Quality4.715%0.70

Growth5.215%0.78

Momentum2.910%0.29

Sentiment7.110%0.71

Insider Activity5.210%0.52

Peer Rank6.510%0.65

Technical Setup7.25%0.36

Risk Profile7.35%0.36

Catalyst6.85%0.34

Overall (Σ contributions)5.75

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Macd

1.6

Ma Position

4.0

Rsi

7.8

Uptrend pullback (RSI 37) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate

RSI

37 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.48Resistance $13.50

Price Targets

$11

$14

A.Upside+21.2%

A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-08-05 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is ELPC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $14.39 (+21.2%), stop $11.14 (−6.6%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ELPC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.39 (+21.4% upside). Target $14.39 (+21.2%), stop $11.14 (−6.6%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Stop-loss: $11.14.

What are the risks of investing in ELPC?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Negative momentum.

Is ELPC overvalued or undervalued?

Companhia Paranaense de Energia trades at a P/E of 16.3 (forward 16.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ELPC?

20 analysts cover ELPC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Companhia Paranaense de Energia do?Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, study, planning,...

Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, study, planning, construction, production, transformation, transportation, distribution, and commercialization of electricity in Brazil. The company operates through three segments: Generation and Transmission of Electrical Energy; Electrical Energy Distribution; and Commercialization. It produces electricity from hydroelectric and wind power; and constructs, operates, and maintains substations, as well as lines for energy transmission. The company was formerly known as Companhia Paranaense de Energia Elétrica and changed its name to Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL in October 1979. Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Curitiba, Brazil.