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NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $90.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida; Concentration risk — Regulatory: FPSC.

NextEra Energy is one of the largest electric power and energy infrastructure companies in North America, with two principal businesses: FPL (the largest electric utility in Florida and the U.S., serving 6M+ customer accounts) and NEER (one of the largest U.S. energy... Read more

$90.01+7.5% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#7 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-9.94%
IncomeYield2.80%(5y avg 2.49%)Payout58.95%sustainable
Stop $84.88Target $96.77(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$98.66+9.6%19 analysts
$96.77our TP
$90.01price
$98.66mean
$55
$112

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $90.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida; Concentration risk — Regulatory: FPSC. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 63d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val4.5Qual5.5Grw7.2Mom4.9Sent6.0Ins5.0Peer4.6Tech8.3Risk7.85.7OVERALL

Recent Developments — NextEra Energy, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida
Concentration risk — Regulatory: FPSC
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.6
P/E (Fwd)20.3
Mkt Cap$185.7B
EV/EBITDA21.2
Profit Mgn29.4%
ROE10.3%
Rev Growth7.3%
Beta0.72
Dividend2.80%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.38bullish
IV38%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicFlorida
    10-K Item 1: 'FPL is the largest electric utility in Florida and the U.S. ... FPL serves approximately 12 million people through more than 6 million customer accounts.'
  • HIGHregulatoryFPSC
    10-K Item 1: 'the FPSC, which has jurisdiction over retail rates, service areas, issuances of securities, and planning, siting and construction of facilities'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-10Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Terrell Kirk Crews II, EVP and Chief Risk Officer, resigned effective March 20, 2026 to accept CFO position at another company. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 63d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
40 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $86.63Resistance $98.75

Price Targets

$85
$97
A.Upside+7.5%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.4% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (63d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NEE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $90.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida; Concentration risk — Regulatory: FPSC. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $96.77 (+7.5%), stop $84.88 (−6.0%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NEE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $96.77 (+7.5% upside). Target $96.77 (+7.5%), stop $84.88 (−6.0%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $84.88.

What are the risks of investing in NEE?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida; Concentration risk — Regulatory: FPSC; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is NEE overvalued or undervalued?

NextEra Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.6 (forward 20.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NEE?

31 analysts cover NEE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $99.

What does NextEra Energy, Inc. do?NextEra Energy is one of the largest electric power and energy infrastructure companies in North America, with two...

NextEra Energy is one of the largest electric power and energy infrastructure companies in North America, with two principal businesses: FPL (the largest electric utility in Florida and the U.S., serving 6M+ customer accounts) and NEER (one of the largest U.S. energy infrastructure developers with ~37,500 MW generating capacity across 44 states). Revenue is primarily rate-regulated through FPL and long-term contracted through NEER.

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