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NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $96.88 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida (FPL regulated service area).

NextEra Energy operates FPL, the largest electric utility in Florida and the U.S. serving 6M+ customer accounts, and NEER, one of the largest U.S. energy infrastructure developers. Combined net capacity is ~80GW including natural gas, wind, solar, nuclear and battery storage.... Read more

$96.88-1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#10 of 38 Utilities - Regulated Electric
Stop $92.20Target $95.68(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$98.48+1.6%22 analysts
$95.68our TP
$96.88price
$98.48mean
$55
$112

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $96.88 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida (FPL regulated service area). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida (FPL regulated service area)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.7% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.9
P/E (Fwd)21.5
Mkt Cap$196.4B
EV/EBITDA21.9
Profit Mgn29.4%
ROE10.3%
Rev Growth7.3%
Beta0.73
Dividend2.65%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.71neutral
IV36%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicFlorida (FPL regulated service area)
    10-K Item 1A: 'FPL has limited, but growing, competition in the Florida market for retail electricity customers and is not subject to an RPS.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-10Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Terrell Kirk Crews II, EVP and Chief Risk Officer, notified NEE of his resignation effective March 20, 2026 to accept a chief financial officer position at another company. No successor named for the CRO role.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.5
Support Resistance
0.9
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $89.90Resistance $97.63

Price Targets

$92
$96
A.Upside-1.2%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NEE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $96.88 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida (FPL regulated service area). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $92.20. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NEE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $95.68 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $92.20. Stop-loss: $92.20.

What are the risks of investing in NEE?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida (FPL regulated service area); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away).

Is NEE overvalued or undervalued?

NextEra Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.9 (forward 21.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NEE?

31 analysts cover NEE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $98.

What does NextEra Energy, Inc. do?NextEra Energy operates FPL, the largest electric utility in Florida and the U.S. serving 6M+ customer accounts, and...

NextEra Energy operates FPL, the largest electric utility in Florida and the U.S. serving 6M+ customer accounts, and NEER, one of the largest U.S. energy infrastructure developers. Combined net capacity is ~80GW including natural gas, wind, solar, nuclear and battery storage. NEE had ~17,400 employees as of Dec 31, 2025.

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