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NEENextEra Energy, Inc.Sell5.9·$86.80+0.79%
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NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $86.80 — A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

NextEra Energy operates two primary businesses: FPL, the largest U.S. electric utility by retail megawatt-hour sales serving 12 million people across roughly 6 million customer accounts in Florida under FPSC-regulated rates; and NEER, a competitive clean energy business with... Read more

$86.80+2.8% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#4 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-10.27%
IncomeYield2.89%(5y avg 2.50%)Payout58.95%sustainable
Stop $82.87Target $88.63(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$98.47+13.4%19 analysts
$88.63our TP
$86.80price
$98.47mean
$55
$112

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $86.80 — A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202635d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.6), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.9
P/E (Fwd)19.6
Mkt Cap$179.6B
EV/EBITDA20.7
Profit Mgn29.4%
ROE10.3%
Rev Growth7.3%
Beta0.67
Dividend2.89%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.84bearish
IV42%normal
Max Pain$125+44.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicFlorida
    10-K Item 1: 'FPL is a rate-regulated electric utility engaged primarily in the generation, storage, transmission, distribution and sale of electric energy in Florida.'
  • MEDIUMregulatoryFPSC
    10-K Item 1A: 'FPL operates as an electric utility and is subject to the jurisdiction of the FPSC over a wide range of business activities, including...the retail rates charged to its customers'
  • MEDIUMCommoditynatural gas
    10-K Item 1: 'FPL owned and operated 44 units with generating capacity of 24,314 MW that primarily use natural gas'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $82.96Resistance $90.03

Price Targets

$83
$89
A.Upside+2.1%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.8% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NEE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $86.80 — A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $82.87. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NEE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $88.63 (+2.8% upside). Prior stop was $82.87. Stop-loss: $82.87.

What are the risks of investing in NEE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.6), Negative free cash flow.

Is NEE overvalued or undervalued?

NextEra Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.9 (forward 19.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NEE?

28 analysts cover NEE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $98.

What does NextEra Energy, Inc. do?NextEra Energy operates two primary businesses: FPL, the largest U.S. electric utility by retail megawatt-hour sales...

NextEra Energy operates two primary businesses: FPL, the largest U.S. electric utility by retail megawatt-hour sales serving 12 million people across roughly 6 million customer accounts in Florida under FPSC-regulated rates; and NEER, a competitive clean energy business with approximately 37,505 MW across 44 U.S. states and 4 Canadian provinces. The combined portfolio approaches 80 GW, staffed by approximately 17,400 employees.

Related stocks: PCG (Pacific Gas & Electric Co.) · PEG (Public Service Enterprise Group) · DUK (Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin) · AEE (Ameren Corporation) · AEP (American Electric Power Company)
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