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Pacific Gas & Electric Co. (PCG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $16.35 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6).

PG&E Corporation's primary subsidiary Pacific Gas and Electric is a regulated electric and gas utility serving Northern and Central California, providing electricity to 2.4 million and natural gas to 1.9 million customers. Revenue is earned through CPUC- and FERC-approved rate... Read more

$16.35+24.3% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#3 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-15.96%
IncomeYield1.26%(5y avg 3.32%)Payout11.63%sustainable
Stop $15.49Target $20.39(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst target$22.66+38.6%16 analysts
$20.39our TP
$16.35price
$22.66mean
$28

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $16.35 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Pacific Gas & Electric Co.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.3
P/E (Fwd)8.8
Mkt Cap$34.9B
EV/EBITDA9.6
Profit Mgn11.0%
ROE8.8%
Rev Growth15.0%
Beta0.29
Dividend1.26%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.15bearish
IV53%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.28Resistance $17.30

Price Targets

$15
$20
A.Upside+24.7%
A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 4.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PCG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $16.35 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $15.49. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PCG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.39 (+24.3% upside). Prior stop was $15.49. Stop-loss: $15.49.

What are the risks of investing in PCG?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is PCG overvalued or undervalued?

Pacific Gas & Electric Co. trades at a P/E of 12.3 (forward 8.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PCG?

23 analysts cover PCG with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Pacific Gas & Electric Co. do?PG&E Corporation's primary subsidiary Pacific Gas and Electric is a regulated electric and gas utility serving Northern...

PG&E Corporation's primary subsidiary Pacific Gas and Electric is a regulated electric and gas utility serving Northern and Central California, providing electricity to 2.4 million and natural gas to 1.9 million customers. Revenue is earned through CPUC- and FERC-approved rate tariffs; the company also operates nuclear generation through PSEG Power and manages LIPA's Long Island T&D system.

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