Workday, Inc. (WDAY) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the WDAY stock price target?

Take-profit $164.88 (+36.5% upside). Target $164.88 (+36.5%), stop $112.31 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.4:1.

Q: What are the risks of investing in WDAY?

Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA.

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $120.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Workday provides cloud-based enterprise HCM, Financial Management, Spend Management, and Planning software to 11,500+ organizations worldwide, including 65%+ of the Fortune 500. Revenue is subscription-based with 75M+ users under contract. AI capabilities including agentic... Read more

$120.77+36.5% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#30 of 96 Software - Application

Stop $112.31Target $164.88(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 3.4:1

Analyst target$179.22+48.4%38 analysts

$164.88our TP

$120.77price

$179.22mean

$300

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $120.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 21d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)

Attractive valuation

Strong growth profile

Risks

Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)47.1

P/E (Fwd)9.8

Mkt Cap$31.5B

EV/EBITDA21.8

Profit Mgn7.3%

ROE8.2%

Rev Growth14.5%

Beta1.14

DividendNone

Rating analysts48

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.20bearish

IV75%elevated

Max Pain$65-46.2% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-02-09Item 5.02MEDIUM
Aneel Bhusri (co-founder, Executive Chair) appointed CEO effective February 6, 2026; Carl Eschenbach ceased as CEO and resigned from Board. Bhusri retains Chair role. No reason cited for Eschenbach departure.
SEC filing →
2026-02-04Item 2.05MEDIUM
Workday announced workforce reduction restructuring plan (January 30, 2026). Q4 FY26 GAAP operating margin expected 24-25 pts below non-GAAP; full-year FY26 22-23 pts below non-GAAP due to restructuring charges.
SEC filing →
2026-02-04Item 2.06MEDIUM
Material impairment charges recognized in connection with January 30, 2026 workforce reduction and restructuring plan, contributing to elevated GAAP vs. non-GAAP margin gap in Q4 and full-year FY26.
SEC filing →
2026-03-06Item 5.02LOW
CEO Aneel Bhusri granted equity awards on March 5, 2026: RSU for 437,602 shares vesting over 4 years. Compensatory arrangement only; no departure or new appointment.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.115%1.06

Quality6.015%0.90

Growth8.115%1.21

Momentum5.010%0.50

Sentiment7.410%0.74

Insider Activity3.310%0.33

Peer Rank3.410%0.34

Technical Setup4.35%0.21

Risk Profile4.55%0.23

Catalyst6.55%0.33

Overall (Σ contributions)5.85

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank

4.5

Quality Rank

4.6

Value Rank

4.6

GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 21d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate

RSI

58 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $110.36Resistance $133.04

Price Targets

$112

$165

A.Upside+36.5%

A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

4/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-21 (21d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is WDAY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $120.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $164.88 (+36.5%), stop $112.31 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.4:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WDAY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $164.88 (+36.5% upside). Target $164.88 (+36.5%), stop $112.31 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.4:1. Stop-loss: $112.31.

What are the risks of investing in WDAY?

Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is WDAY overvalued or undervalued?

Workday, Inc. trades at a P/E of 47.1 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about WDAY?

48 analysts cover WDAY with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $179.

What does Workday, Inc. do?Workday provides cloud-based enterprise HCM, Financial Management, Spend Management, and Planning software to 11,500+...