Skip to main content

Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta, (VTMX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate - Development

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $35.60 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.8% away).

Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, manages, operates industrial buildings and distribution facilities in Mexico. It offers rental income from operating leases, including reimbursable building services and energy... Read more

$35.60+1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#1 of 4 Real Estate - Development
Stop $33.64Target $36.16(resistance)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst target$36.28+1.9%5 analysts
$36.16our TP
$35.60price
$36.28mean
$30
$40

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $35.60 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.8% away). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Margin of safety: 39%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.8% away)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.2
P/E (Fwd)14.2
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA136.3
Profit Mgn85.4%
ROE9.1%
Rev Growth17.6%
Beta0.29
Dividend2.29%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.9
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
3.1
P Ocf
7.2
P/OCF: 14.3x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $33.53Resistance $36.90

Price Targets

$34
$36
A.Upside+1.6%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.3% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 3.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VTMX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $35.60 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.8% away). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $33.64. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VTMX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.16 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $33.64. Stop-loss: $33.64.

What are the risks of investing in VTMX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.8% away); Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is VTMX overvalued or undervalued?

Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta, trades at a P/E of 9.2 (forward 14.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VTMX?

22 analysts cover VTMX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $36.

What does Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta, do?Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, manages, operates...

Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, manages, operates industrial buildings and distribution facilities in Mexico. It offers rental income from operating leases, including reimbursable building services and energy income. The company serves corporations in diverse industries, such as food and beverage, automotive, aerospace, medical, logistics, and plastics. Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.

Related stocks: FOR (Forestar Group Inc) · HHH (Howard Hughes Holdings Inc.) · CCS (Century Communities, Inc.) · CBL (CBL & Associates Properties, In) · NLY (Annaly Capital Management Inc.)