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Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta, (VTMX) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · Real Estate - Development

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $34.16 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, manages, operates industrial buildings and distribution facilities in Mexico. It offers rental income from operating leases, including reimbursable building services and energy... Read more

$34.16+5.4% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#1 of 4 Real Estate - Development
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.47%
IncomeYield2.44%Payout21.32%
Stop $31.77Target $35.99(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$36.02+5.5%4 analysts
$35.99our TP
$34.16price
$36.02mean
$29
$41

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $34.16 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 66d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta,

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Margin of safety: 40%
Wide economic moat
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.9
P/E (Fwd)13.8
Mkt Cap$2.9B
EV/EBITDA127.9
Profit Mgn112.0%
ROE12.2%
Rev Growth14.3%
Beta0.29
Dividend2.44%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
7.6
Uptrend pullback (RSI 39) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 66d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.01Resistance $36.72

Price Targets

$32
$36
A.Upside+5.4%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.4% upside)
! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (66d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VTMX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $34.16 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $31.77. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VTMX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.99 (+5.4% upside). Prior stop was $31.77. Stop-loss: $31.77.

What are the risks of investing in VTMX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is VTMX overvalued or undervalued?

Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta, trades at a P/E of 8.9 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VTMX?

22 analysts cover VTMX with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $36.

What does Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta, do?Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, manages, operates...

Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, manages, operates industrial buildings and distribution facilities in Mexico. It offers rental income from operating leases, including reimbursable building services and energy income. The company serves corporations in diverse industries, such as food and beverage, automotive, aerospace, medical, logistics, and plastics. Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.

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