Skip to main content

EPR Properties (EPR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $55.44 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

EPR Properties is a net lease REIT focused on experiential real estate with approximately $7.0B total investments as of December 31, 2025, spanning 148 theatre properties, eat & play, ski, attraction, fitness and gaming venues, plus an Education legacy portfolio being wound... Read more

$55.44+0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#7 of 14 REIT - Specialty
Stop $53.09Target $55.67(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$59.06+6.5%9 analysts
$55.67our TP
$55.44price
$59.06mean
$54
$66

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $55.44 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.2
P/E (Fwd)18.2
Mkt Cap$4.3B
EV/EBITDA13.4
Profit Mgn38.5%
ROE11.8%
Rev Growth3.9%
Beta1.01
Dividend6.33%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.15bearish
IV58%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWTenantTopgolf14%
    10-K Item 1A: 'total revenues of approximately $102.3 million or 14.2% were from Topgolf'
  • LOWTenantAMC14%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately $97.4 million or 13.6% were from AMC'
  • LOWTenantRegal12%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately $82.8 million or 11.5% were from Regal'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.5
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $49.78Resistance $56.81

Price Targets

$53
$56
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EPR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $55.44 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $53.09. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EPR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $55.67 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $53.09. Stop-loss: $53.09.

What are the risks of investing in EPR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is EPR overvalued or undervalued?

EPR Properties trades at a P/E of 17.2 (forward 18.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EPR?

16 analysts cover EPR with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $59.

What does EPR Properties do?EPR Properties is a net lease REIT focused on experiential real estate with approximately $7.0B total investments as of...

EPR Properties is a net lease REIT focused on experiential real estate with approximately $7.0B total investments as of December 31, 2025, spanning 148 theatre properties, eat & play, ski, attraction, fitness and gaming venues, plus an Education legacy portfolio being wound down. Revenue is earned from long-term triple-net leases and mortgages primarily with entertainment and education tenants.

Related stocks: GLPI (Gaming and Leisure Properties, ) · RYN (Rayonier Inc. REIT) · SBAC (SBA Communications Corporation) · UNIT (Uniti Group Inc.) · FRMI (Fermi Inc.)