Skip to main content

EPR Properties (EPR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $58.34 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: theatres.

EPR Properties is a net lease REIT specializing in experiential real estate (94% of $7.0B total investments) including theatres, eat & play venues, attractions, ski properties, fitness/wellness and gaming, leased under long-term triple-net arrangements across 43 U.S. states and... Read more

$58.34-0.8% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#13 of 14 REIT - Specialty
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.73%
IncomeYield6.15%(5y avg 6.78%)Payout109.72%
Stop $56.18Target $57.87(resistance)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst target$59.33+1.7%9 analysts
$57.87our TP
$58.34price
$59.33mean
$54
$66

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $58.34 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: theatres. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — EPR Properties

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.3 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: theatres
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.0
P/E (Fwd)19.2
Mkt Cap$4.5B
EV/EBITDA13.6
Profit Mgn37.7%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth3.6%
Beta1.03
Dividend6.15%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C6.71bearish
IV39%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMTenantTopgolf14%
    10-K Item 1A: 'total revenues of approximately $102.3 million or 14.2% were from Topgolf'
  • MEDIUMTenantAMC14%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately $97.4 million or 13.6% were from AMC'
  • MEDIUMTenantRegal12%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately $82.8 million or 11.5% were from Regal'
  • HIGHPropertytheatres
    10-K Item 1: 'A significant portion of our Experiential portfolio consists of modern megaplex theatres...Due to our asset concentration and historical challenges, we intend to reduce our investments in theatres'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.0
Revenue Growth
3.4
GatesA.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $54.78Resistance $59.05

Price Targets

$56
$58
A.Upside-0.8%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EPR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $58.34 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: theatres. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $56.18. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

What is the EPR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $57.87 (-0.8% upside). Prior stop was $56.18. Stop-loss: $56.18.

What are the risks of investing in EPR?

Concentration risk — Property Type: theatres; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is EPR overvalued or undervalued?

EPR Properties trades at a P/E of 18.0 (forward 19.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EPR?

16 analysts cover EPR with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $59.

What does EPR Properties do?EPR Properties is a net lease REIT specializing in experiential real estate (94% of $7.0B total investments) including...

EPR Properties is a net lease REIT specializing in experiential real estate (94% of $7.0B total investments) including theatres, eat & play venues, attractions, ski properties, fitness/wellness and gaming, leased under long-term triple-net arrangements across 43 U.S. states and Canada. Revenue is significantly tenant-concentrated: Topgolf (14.2%), AMC (13.6%) and Regal (11.5%) together represent 39.3% of total revenue.

Related stocks: GLPI (Gaming and Leisure Properties, ) · UNIT (Uniti Group Inc.) · FRMI (Fermi Inc.) · RYN (Rayonier Inc. REIT) · OUT (OUTFRONT Media Inc.)