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RYNRayonier Inc. REITHold6.1·$21.32-1.02%
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Rayonier Inc. REIT (RYN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. South timberlands (90.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.1%.

Rayonier is a timberland REIT owning approximately 2.0 million acres in the U.S. South (1.69 million acres) and Pacific Northwest (307,000 acres) as of December 31, 2025, with recurring income from timber harvest across Southern Timber, Pacific Northwest Timber, and Real Estate... Read more

$21.32+6.1% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#2 of 14 REIT - Specialty
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.32%
IncomeYield4.83%(5y avg 3.75%)Payout234.24%
Stop $20.26Target $22.62(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$26.00+22.0%6 analysts
$22.62our TP
$21.32price
$26.00mean
$32

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. South timberlands (90.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.1%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and SEC filing concern. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Rayonier Inc. REIT

About Rayonier Inc. REIT

Rayonier's 2.0 million-acre timberland portfolio — 1.69 million acres in the U.S. South and 307,000 acres in the Pacific Northwest — supports an estimated Southern sustainable yield of 6.4 to 6.7 million tons annually and a Pacific Northwest sustainable yield of 115 to 135 million board feet. Merchantable timber inventory across both regions totaled 74.7 million short green tons at September 30, 2025, with 90% located in the South. The PotlatchDeltic merger-of-equals closed January 30, 2026, with Rayonier issuing approximately 140.9 million common shares.

Rayonier generates income through three segments. Southern Timber and Pacific Northwest Timber harvest softwood and hardwood species — primarily loblolly and slash pine in the South, and Douglas-fir and western hemlock in the Pacific Northwest — and sell to pulp, paper, wood products, and biomass facilities, as well as to Pacific Rim export markets. The Real Estate segment pursues higher and better use (HBU) land sales at premiums to timberland values, with active development projects at Wildlight (north of Jacksonville, Florida) and Heartwood (south of Savannah, Georgia) and a multi-year pipeline in Florida, Georgia, and Washington. Sawtimber pricing in Idaho is indexed under long-term supply agreements on a four-week lag to lumber prices, creating direct exposure to lumber market volatility. In the Pacific Northwest, recent federal executive orders expanding Bureau of Land Management and U.S. Forest Service timber sales could materially increase regional supply, depress timber prices, and adversely affect results of operations.

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Geographic concentration in the U.S. South — which holds 90% of Rayonier's merchantable timber inventory across 1.69 million acres — ties results primarily to Southern pulpwood and sawtimber demand cycles from pulp, paper, wood products, and biomass facilities. In March 2026, Rayonier disclosed a change in certifying accountant via Form 8-K filed March 18, 2026 (date of event March 12, 2026), a development that coincided with the January 30, 2026 PotlatchDeltic merger closing — a transaction that significantly expanded geographic diversity and introduced wood products manufacturing capabilities to the combined company.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

From Rayonier Inc. REIT's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. South timberlands (90.0%)
Thin upside margin: 6.1%
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)46.8
P/E (Fwd)32.7
Mkt Cap$6.5B
EV/EBITDA30.3
Profit Mgn68.6%
ROE1.8%
Rev Growth233.8%
Beta0.92
Dividend4.83%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.19bullish
IV52%elevated
Max Pain$20-6.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicU.S. South timberlands90%
    10-K Item 1: 'South ... 67,161 ... 90 ... Pacific Northwest ... 7,506 ... 10'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-18Item 4.01HIGH
    Change in certifying accountant disclosed; date of earliest event March 12, 2026. Filing body truncated before auditor identities and reason for change were stated. Change coincides with closing of PotlatchDeltic merger on January 30, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.1
Support Resistance
2.4
52w Position
7.3
GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotSEC critical: Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $19.32Resistance $21.95

Price Targets

$20
$23
A.Upside+6.1%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Critical SEC filing

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RYN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $21.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. South timberlands (90.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.1%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $22.62 (+6.1%), stop $20.26 (−5.2%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RYN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.62 (+6.1% upside). Target $22.62 (+6.1%), stop $20.26 (−5.2%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $20.26.

What are the risks of investing in RYN?

Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. South timberlands (90.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.1%; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is RYN overvalued or undervalued?

Rayonier Inc. REIT trades at a P/E of 46.8 (forward 32.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RYN?

10 analysts cover RYN with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $26.

What does Rayonier Inc. REIT do?Rayonier is a timberland REIT owning approximately 2.0 million acres in the U.S. South (1.69 million acres) and Pacific...

Rayonier is a timberland REIT owning approximately 2.0 million acres in the U.S. South (1.69 million acres) and Pacific Northwest (307,000 acres) as of December 31, 2025, with recurring income from timber harvest across Southern Timber, Pacific Northwest Timber, and Real Estate segments. On January 30, 2026, Rayonier completed a merger with PotlatchDeltic Corporation in a merger-of-equals transaction, issuing approximately 140.9 million common shares.

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