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Ladder Capital Corp (LADR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage

Sell if holding. At $10.38, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.3%.

Ladder Capital Corp operates as an internally-managed real estate investment trust in the United States. It operates through three segments: Loans, Securities, and Real Estate. The Loans segment originates and acquires balance sheet loans that provide interim financing to... Read more

$10.38+3.3% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#9 of 17 REIT - Mortgage
Stop $9.98Target $10.72(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$12.32+18.7%7 analysts
$10.72our TP
$10.38price
$12.32mean
$14

Sell if holding. At $10.38, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.3%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 3.3%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.3
P/E (Fwd)8.6
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn25.4%
ROE3.7%
Rev Growth1.7%
Beta1.03
Dividend8.98%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.25bullish
IV74%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.2
Value Rank
2.7
Growth Rank
3.3
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.61Resistance $10.49

Price Targets

$10
$11
A.Upside+3.3%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 0.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LADR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $10.38, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.3%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Prior stop was $9.98. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LADR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.72 (+3.3% upside). Prior stop was $9.98. Stop-loss: $9.98.

What are the risks of investing in LADR?

Thin upside margin: 3.3%.

Is LADR overvalued or undervalued?

Ladder Capital Corp trades at a P/E of 23.3 (forward 8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LADR?

13 analysts cover LADR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Ladder Capital Corp do?Ladder Capital Corp operates as an internally-managed real estate investment trust in the United States. It operates...

Ladder Capital Corp operates as an internally-managed real estate investment trust in the United States. It operates through three segments: Loans, Securities, and Real Estate. The Loans segment originates and acquires balance sheet loans that provide interim financing to borrowers seeking short-term capital for the acquisition or transition of commercial real estate; originates conduit loans, which are first mortgage loans on commercial real estate properties for sale in commercial mortgage-backed securities securitizations; and invests in note purchase financings, subordinated debt, mezzanine debt, and other structured finance products related to commercial real estate. Its Securities segment invests in CMBS, U.S. Agency securities, corporate bonds, equity securities, and U.S. Treasury securities that are not classified as cash and cash equivalents. The Real Estate segment engages in net leased properties, other diversified real estate, and investments in unconsolidated ventures. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. Ladder Capital Corp was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

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