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VMRKVivmark ResidentialSell5.1·$63.00+0.02%
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Vivmark Residential (VMRK) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. At $63.00, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.2%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Vivmark Residential focused on building, buying, and managing high-quality apartment communities across major U.S. metro areas. The company owns or held investments in more than 184,000 rental apartments across premier U.S. markets and over 11,100 apartments under construction.... Read more

$63.00+5.2% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#8 of 15 REIT - Residential
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.85%
IncomeYield3.88%(5y avg 3.41%)Payout96.98%
Stop $60.92Target $66.29(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$73.65+16.9%19 analysts
$66.29our TP
$63.00price
$73.65mean
$80

Sell if holding. At $63.00, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.2%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Vivmark Residential

About Vivmark Residential

Equity Residential's apartment portfolio is primarily concentrated in six coastal U.S. metro markets — Boston, New York, Washington, D.C., Southern California, San Francisco, and Seattle — with a smaller, targeted presence in Denver, Atlanta, Dallas/Fort Worth, and Austin. The company, a Maryland REIT holding an approximate 97.6% interest in ERP Operating Limited Partnership, employed approximately 2,400 people as of its fiscal 2025 10-K and typically leases apartments for twelve months or less.

Equity Residential earns rental revenue from short-term residential leases, generally twelve months or less, which makes its cash flows more sensitive to declining market rents than commercial REITs with longer lease terms, though it also allows faster rent increases when demand is strong. The company also operates a smaller Non-Residential component — retail and public parking garage space, typically leased to small, local businesses on five- to ten-year terms — as an amenity within its residential properties. Growth comes through a mix of acquisitions, ground-up and expansion development, densification of existing sites, and accretive renovations, with development activity concentrated in strategic partnerships and joint ventures with third-party developers across both its Established and Expansion Markets. The company finances operations through a revolving credit facility, unsecured debt indentures, and a commercial paper program, and some properties carry tax-exempt bond financing subject to affordability covenants and deed restrictions that limit achievable rental income.

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Beyond its coastal-market geographic concentration, the company's most consequential recent event sits outside the 10-K's reporting period: on August 17, 2026, it completed its previously announced merger with AvalonBay Communities under the May 20, 2026 merger agreement, with AvalonBay contributing assets into ERP Operating Limited Partnership in exchange for OP Units and the combined company renaming from Equity Residential to Vivmark Residential. Because the fiscal 2025 10-K disclosures described above predate that closing, any comparison of pre-merger Equity Residential's coastal-market concentration to the combined company's post-merger footprint should account for AvalonBay's contributed portfolio, which is not reflected in the figures above.

From Vivmark Residential's most recent 10-K filing, extracted September 6, 2026.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.2%
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.2
P/E (Fwd)42.8
Mkt Cap$48.7B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn33.3%
ROE8.5%
Rev Growth3.3%
Beta0.54
Dividend3.88%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.53bullish
IV38%normal
Max Pain$68+7.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.5
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.7%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.3
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 1.4<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $62.80Resistance $68.62

Price Targets

$61
$66
A.Upside+5.2%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for VMRK.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VMRK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $63.00, A.R:R 1.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.2%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $60.92. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the VMRK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $66.29 (+5.2% upside). Prior stop was $60.92. Stop-loss: $60.92.

What are the risks of investing in VMRK?

Thin upside margin: 5.2%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Weak growth.

Is VMRK overvalued or undervalued?

Vivmark Residential trades at a P/E of 25.2 (forward 42.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VMRK?

27 analysts cover VMRK with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $74.

What does Vivmark Residential do?Vivmark Residential focused on building, buying, and managing high-quality apartment communities across major U.S....

Vivmark Residential focused on building, buying, and managing high-quality apartment communities across major U.S. metro areas. The company owns or held investments in more than 184,000 rental apartments across premier U.S. markets and over 11,100 apartments under construction. Vivmark Residential based in Chicago, Illinois.

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