Skip to main content

Equity Lifestyle Properties, In (ELS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.94 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida (45.7%).

Equity LifeStyle Properties is a REIT owning 453 manufactured home, RV community, and marina properties (173,371 sites) across 35 U.S. states and British Columbia. Revenue comes from long-term site leases and short-term RV/marina rentals, with Florida comprising the largest... Read more

$62.94+1.0% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#13 of 16 REIT - Residential
Stop $60.50Target $63.52(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$70.58+12.1%18 analysts
$63.52our TP
$62.94price
$70.58mean
$78

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.94 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida (45.7%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida (45.7%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.1
P/E (Fwd)28.5
Mkt Cap$12.5B
EV/EBITDA20.7
Profit Mgn25.0%
ROE21.9%
Rev Growth1.2%
Beta0.77
Dividend3.49%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.80bearish
IV47%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicFlorida46%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Florida, Northeast, California and Arizona, which comprised 45.7%, 11.1%, 10.2% and 10.9%, respectively, of our total property operating revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-09Item 5.02LOW
    Equity LifeStyle Properties Compensation Committee approved 2026 Executive Bonus Plan on February 3, 2026, setting bonus potential of 290% of salary for CEO Marguerite Nader and 220% for President, CFO, and CLO, contingent on operational and financial targets. Routine annual compensation arrangement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.5
Revenue Growth
2.8

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
1.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $61.94Resistance $66.25

Price Targets

$61
$64
A.Upside+0.9%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.0% upside)
! Momentum score 2.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-20 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ELS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.94 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida (45.7%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $60.50. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

What is the ELS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $63.52 (+1.0% upside). Prior stop was $60.50. Stop-loss: $60.50.

What are the risks of investing in ELS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Florida (45.7%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0.

Is ELS overvalued or undervalued?

Equity Lifestyle Properties, In trades at a P/E of 31.1 (forward 28.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ELS?

21 analysts cover ELS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $71.

What does Equity Lifestyle Properties, In do?Equity LifeStyle Properties is a REIT owning 453 manufactured home, RV community, and marina properties (173,371 sites)...

Equity LifeStyle Properties is a REIT owning 453 manufactured home, RV community, and marina properties (173,371 sites) across 35 U.S. states and British Columbia. Revenue comes from long-term site leases and short-term RV/marina rentals, with Florida comprising the largest market at 45.7% of total property operating revenue in 2025.

Related stocks: MRP (Millrose Properties, Inc.) · UMH (UMH Properties, Inc.) · AVB (AvalonBay Communities, Inc.) · SUI (Sun Communities, Inc.) · INVH (Invitation Homes Inc.)