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Equity Lifestyle Properties, In (ELS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.26 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Equity LifeStyle Properties is a self-administered REIT owning 453 manufactured home communities, RV parks and marinas totaling 173,371 sites across 35 U.S. states and British Columbia. Revenue is generated through site rents, membership subscriptions and home sales; Florida... Read more

$62.26+1.6% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#8 of 16 REIT - Residential
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield3.91%
IncomeYield3.55%(5y avg 2.57%)Payout104.38%
Stop $60.12Target $63.23(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$70.25+12.8%18 analysts
$63.23our TP
$62.26price
$70.25mean
$78

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.26 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 63d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val4.3Qual6.9Grw2.1Mom2.5Sent6.7Ins5.1Peer4.3Tech7.7Risk6.94.8OVERALL

Recent Developments — Equity Lifestyle Properties, In

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.6
P/E (Fwd)28.2
Mkt Cap$12.2B
EV/EBITDA20.4
Profit Mgn25.0%
ROE21.9%
Rev Growth1.2%
Beta0.70
Dividend3.55%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicFlorida46%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Florida, Northeast, California and Arizona, which comprised 45.7%, 11.1%, 10.2% and 10.9%, respectively, of our total property operating revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • LOWGeographicArizona11%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Florida, Northeast, California and Arizona, which comprised 45.7%, 11.1%, 10.2% and 10.9%, respectively, of our total property operating revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.5
Revenue Growth
2.8

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.2
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 63d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $61.09Resistance $66.25

Price Targets

$60
$63
A.Upside+1.6%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.5% upside)
! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-20 (63d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ELS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.26 — A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $60.12. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

What is the ELS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $63.23 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $60.12. Stop-loss: $60.12.

What are the risks of investing in ELS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0.

Is ELS overvalued or undervalued?

Equity Lifestyle Properties, In trades at a P/E of 30.6 (forward 28.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ELS?

21 analysts cover ELS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $70.

What does Equity Lifestyle Properties, In do?Equity LifeStyle Properties is a self-administered REIT owning 453 manufactured home communities, RV parks and marinas...

Equity LifeStyle Properties is a self-administered REIT owning 453 manufactured home communities, RV parks and marinas totaling 173,371 sites across 35 U.S. states and British Columbia. Revenue is generated through site rents, membership subscriptions and home sales; Florida represents 46% of total property operating revenues, the largest geographic concentration.

Related stocks: MRP (Millrose Properties, Inc.) · UMH (UMH Properties, Inc.) · UDR (UDR, Inc.) · AMH (American Homes 4 Rent) · SUI (Sun Communities, Inc.)