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Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $29.32 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: single-family properties sector.

Invitation Homes is a REIT owning and operating 86,192 single-family homes for lease as of December 31, 2025, primarily in 16 core markets across the Western US, Florida, and Southeast US. Revenue comes from rental income plus property management fees for an additional 15,866... Read more

$29.32-1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#6 of 16 REIT - Residential
Stop $28.11Target $28.75(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$30.86+5.3%22 analysts
$28.75our TP
$29.32price
$30.86mean
$26
$38

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $29.32 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: single-family properties sector. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 78. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: single-family properties sector
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.5
P/E (Fwd)40.0
Mkt Cap$16.8B
EV/EBITDA17.1
Profit Mgn21.6%
ROE6.1%
Rev Growth4.3%
Beta0.82
Dividend4.28%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.13bullish
IV48%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertysingle-family properties sector
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our investments in real estate assets and the investments we manage on behalf of others are and may continue to be concentrated in our markets and in the single-family properties sector'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-05Item 5.02LOW
    Compensation Committee approved annual compensation adjustments for CEO Dallas Tanner (LTI target raised to $11,293,950), CFO Jonathan Olsen ($2,700,000), and other NEOs effective March 1, 2026. Routine annual review.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
52w Position
7.0

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.5
Revenue Growth
3.6
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
78 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $24.79Resistance $29.34

Price Targets

$28
$29
A.Upside-1.9%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INVH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $29.32 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: single-family properties sector. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 78. Prior stop was $28.11. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the INVH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.75 (-1.8% upside). Prior stop was $28.11. Stop-loss: $28.11.

What are the risks of investing in INVH?

Concentration risk — Property Type: single-family properties sector; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is INVH overvalued or undervalued?

Invitation Homes Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.5 (forward 40.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about INVH?

30 analysts cover INVH with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Invitation Homes Inc. do?Invitation Homes is a REIT owning and operating 86,192 single-family homes for lease as of December 31, 2025, primarily...

Invitation Homes is a REIT owning and operating 86,192 single-family homes for lease as of December 31, 2025, primarily in 16 core markets across the Western US, Florida, and Southeast US. Revenue comes from rental income plus property management fees for an additional 15,866 homes managed for third parties.

Related stocks: MRP (Millrose Properties, Inc.) · CPT (Camden Property Trust) · AMH (American Homes 4 Rent) · EQR (Equity Residential) · UDR (UDR, Inc.)