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Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $28.66 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Invitation Homes is a REIT and the leading owner and operator of single-family homes for lease, wholly owning 86,192 homes and jointly owning 8,006 more across 16 core markets primarily in the Western US, Florida, and Southeast US. Revenue is primarily rental income from leases;... Read more

$28.66+0.6% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#7 of 16 REIT - Residential
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.98%
IncomeYield4.17%(5y avg 2.92%)Payout124.21%
Stop $27.48Target $28.82(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$31.41+9.6%22 analysts
$28.82our TP
$28.66price
$31.41mean
$26
$38

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $28.66 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst cluster(5), earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Invitation Homes Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.90)
Recent Analyst Cluster(5) detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.3
P/E (Fwd)42.2
Mkt Cap$17.1B
EV/EBITDA17.3
Profit Mgn21.0%
ROE6.2%
Rev Growth9.2%
Beta0.86
Dividend4.17%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.48bullish
IV35%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicWestern United States, Florida, and Southeast United States
    10-K Item 1: 'We operate in markets with strong demand drivers, high barriers to entry, and high rent growth potential, primarily in the Western United States, Florida, and the Southeast United States'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-08Item 5.02LOW
    Stockholders approved the 2026 Omnibus Incentive Plan at the May 7, 2026 Annual Meeting authorizing 18,793,516 shares. Routine compensatory arrangement; no executive departures.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-05Item 5.02LOW
    Compensation Committee approved annual compensation adjustments for named executive officers on March 1, 2026, including increased LTI targets for CEO Dallas Tanner ($11,293,950) and CFO Jonathan Olsen ($2,700,000). Routine annual review.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.3
Revenue Growth
4.8
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(5)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $26.48Resistance $29.41

Price Targets

$27
$29
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INVH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $28.66 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $27.48. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the INVH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.82 (+0.6% upside). Prior stop was $27.48. Stop-loss: $27.48.

What are the risks of investing in INVH?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is INVH overvalued or undervalued?

Invitation Homes Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.3 (forward 42.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about INVH?

31 analysts cover INVH with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Invitation Homes Inc. do?Invitation Homes is a REIT and the leading owner and operator of single-family homes for lease, wholly owning 86,192...

Invitation Homes is a REIT and the leading owner and operator of single-family homes for lease, wholly owning 86,192 homes and jointly owning 8,006 more across 16 core markets primarily in the Western US, Florida, and Southeast US. Revenue is primarily rental income from leases; the company also provides third-party property and asset management for 15,866 additional homes. On January 14, 2026, it acquired ResiBuilt Homes to add internal build-to-rent development capabilities.

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