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SUISun Communities, Inc.Hold5.6·$125.85-0.62%
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Sun Communities, Inc. (SUI) Stock Analysis

Hold(was: Buy (Wait for Entry))AI GATE: BLOCKED Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $125.85, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Sun Communities is a self-administered REIT owning 513 MH, RV, and UK holiday park communities with 178,650 developed sites across the U.S., Canada, and UK as of December 31, 2025. Revenue derives from leasing individual sites to residents and guests, with home sales through its... Read more

$125.85+7.5% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#4 of 16 REIT - Residential
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.24%
IncomeYield3.41%(5y avg 2.66%)Payout452.82%
Entry $118.83(R/R-minimum solve)Stop $112.85Target $127.80(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1Setup A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$142.00+12.8%18 analysts
$127.80our TP
$125.85price
$142.00mean
$155

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $125.85, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. News gate: 0 distinct critical events (0 MATERIAL_RISK articles) Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 48d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and SEC filing concern. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202648d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)44.9
Mkt Cap$16.2B
EV/EBITDA19.1
Profit Mgn59.7%
ROE0.3%
Rev Growth8.6%
Beta0.79
Dividend3.41%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.71neutral
IV59%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicFlorida26%
    10-K Item 1A: '125 of our MH, RV, and UK communities, representing 26.4% of developed sites, are located in Florida'
  • MEDIUMGeographicMichigan19%
    10-K Item 1A: '89 communities, representing 19.4% of developed sites, are located in Michigan'
  • LOWGeographicUK12%
    10-K Item 1A: '53 communities, representing 12.1% of developed sites, are located in the UK'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-27Item 4.01HIGH
    Deloitte & Touche LLP appointed as new independent registered public accounting firm for fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, effective upon filing of Q1 2026 10-Q. No disagreement with prior auditor cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-09Item 5.02LOW
    John B. McLaren (current President, 24-year company veteran) appointed Chief Operating Officer effective March 9, 2026, assuming additional operational responsibilities. Clean internal appointment; no vacancy created.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-10Item 5.02HIGH
    Fernando Castro-Caratini appointed interim CFO effective February 4, 2026. Company initiated broad, comprehensive search for permanent CFO. No permanent successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotSEC critical: Momentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 48d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $119.90Resistance $128.61

Price Targets

$113
$119
$128
A.Upside+1.5%
A.R:R0.3:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.5% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (48d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SUI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $125.85, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. News gate: 0 distinct critical events (0 MATERIAL_RISK articles) Target $127.80 (+1.5%), stop $112.85 (−11.5%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SUI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $127.80 (+7.5% upside). Target $127.80 (+1.5%), stop $112.85 (−11.5%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $112.85.

What are the risks of investing in SUI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is SUI overvalued or undervalued?

Sun Communities, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 44.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SUI?

21 analysts cover SUI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $142.

What does Sun Communities, Inc. do?Sun Communities is a self-administered REIT owning 513 MH, RV, and UK holiday park communities with 178,650 developed...

Sun Communities is a self-administered REIT owning 513 MH, RV, and UK holiday park communities with 178,650 developed sites across the U.S., Canada, and UK as of December 31, 2025. Revenue derives from leasing individual sites to residents and guests, with home sales through its SHS subsidiary supporting occupancy.

Related stocks: MRP (Millrose Properties, Inc.) · UDR (UDR, Inc.) · AVB (AvalonBay Communities, Inc.) · AMH (American Homes 4 Rent) · MAA (Mid-America Apartment Communiti)
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