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Sun Communities, Inc. (SUI) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $127.95 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum.

Sun Communities is a REIT owning and operating 513 manufactured housing (MH), recreational vehicle (RV), and UK holiday park communities across the US, Canada, and UK with 178,650 developed sites as of December 31, 2025. Revenue is generated from site leases, home sales, and... Read more

$127.95+1.0% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#6 of 16 REIT - Residential
Stop $122.77Target $128.75(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$143.06+11.8%18 analysts
$128.75our TP
$127.95price
$143.06mean
$155

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $127.95 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)44.3
Mkt Cap$16.2B
EV/EBITDA19.2
Profit Mgn59.7%
ROE0.3%
Rev Growth8.6%
Beta0.89
Dividend3.35%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.80bearish
IV44%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicFlorida26%
    10-K Item 1A: '125 of our MH, RV, and UK communities, representing 26.4% of developed sites, are located in Florida'
  • MEDIUMGeographicMichigan19%
    10-K Item 1A: '89 communities, representing 19.4% of developed sites, are located in Michigan'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-27Item 4.01HIGH
    Audit Committee approved appointment of Deloitte & Touche LLP as new independent auditor for fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, effective upon filing of Q1 2026 Form 10-Q on March 23, 2026. Prior auditor not named in filing.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-09Item 5.02LOW
    Sun Communities appointed John B. McLaren, current President, as Chief Operating Officer effective March 9, 2026, with expanded responsibilities overseeing the operations team. No departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-10Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Fernando Castro-Caratini appointed interim CFO effective February 4, 2026. Company initiated broad search for permanent CFO. No reason cited for prior CFO departure. Interim successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
1.1
Obv
1.6
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $125.04Resistance $131.18

Price Targets

$123
$129
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.0% upside)
! Momentum score 2.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SUI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $127.95 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $122.77. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SUI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $128.75 (+1.0% upside). Prior stop was $122.77. Stop-loss: $122.77.

What are the risks of investing in SUI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is SUI overvalued or undervalued?

Sun Communities, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 44.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SUI?

21 analysts cover SUI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $143.

What does Sun Communities, Inc. do?Sun Communities is a REIT owning and operating 513 manufactured housing (MH), recreational vehicle (RV), and UK holiday...

Sun Communities is a REIT owning and operating 513 manufactured housing (MH), recreational vehicle (RV), and UK holiday park communities across the US, Canada, and UK with 178,650 developed sites as of December 31, 2025. Revenue is generated from site leases, home sales, and vacation rentals. In 2025, the company divested Safe Harbor Marinas for ~$5.65 billion to focus on its MH/RV/UK core.

Related stocks: MRP (Millrose Properties, Inc.) · AVB (AvalonBay Communities, Inc.) · INVH (Invitation Homes Inc.) · CPT (Camden Property Trust) · EQR (Equity Residential)