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American Homes 4 Rent (AMH) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $31.71 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

American Homes 4 Rent is an internally managed single-family rental REIT owning 61,479 properties across 24 states, focused on developing built-for-rental homes through its internal AMH Development Program. Revenue is from residential rental income in high-growth Sun Belt and... Read more

$31.71+1.5% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#5 of 16 REIT - Residential
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.65%
IncomeYield4.14%(5y avg 2.31%)Payout100.00%
Stop $30.29Target $32.17(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$35.02+10.4%22 analysts
$32.17our TP
$31.71price
$35.02mean
$29
$40

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $31.71 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — American Homes 4 Rent

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.1 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.9
P/E (Fwd)48.7
Mkt Cap$13.1B
EV/EBITDA17.9
Profit Mgn25.3%
ROE6.9%
Rev Growth2.8%
Beta0.83
Dividend4.14%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.14bearish
IV48%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $29.98Resistance $32.83

Price Targets

$30
$32
A.Upside+1.5%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.6% upside)
! Momentum score 4.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $31.71 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $30.29. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AMH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $32.17 (+1.5% upside). Prior stop was $30.29. Stop-loss: $30.29.

What are the risks of investing in AMH?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is AMH overvalued or undervalued?

American Homes 4 Rent trades at a P/E of 25.9 (forward 48.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AMH?

29 analysts cover AMH with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $35.

What does American Homes 4 Rent do?American Homes 4 Rent is an internally managed single-family rental REIT owning 61,479 properties across 24 states,...

American Homes 4 Rent is an internally managed single-family rental REIT owning 61,479 properties across 24 states, focused on developing built-for-rental homes through its internal AMH Development Program. Revenue is from residential rental income in high-growth Sun Belt and Midwest markets.

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