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UDRUDR, Inc.Sell5.8·$38.61-0.75%
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UDR, Inc. (UDR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.61 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

UDR, Inc. owns and operates 165 multifamily apartment communities totaling 55,240 apartment homes across 21 U.S. markets, spanning coastal and sunbelt locations. Revenue is generated through residential leases, with Same-Store revenue growth of 2.4% and NOI growth of 2.3% in... Read more

$38.61+0.8% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#2 of 16 REIT - Residential
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.99%
IncomeYield4.45%(5y avg 3.85%)Payout117.01%
Stop $37.03Target $38.93(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$40.55+5.0%21 analysts
$38.93our TP
$38.61price
$40.55mean
$36
$44

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.61 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About UDR, Inc.

About UDR, Inc.

UDR's 55,240-home multifamily portfolio, spread across 165 communities in 21 U.S. markets at December 31, 2025, generated Same-Store revenue growth of 2.4% and Same-Store NOI growth of 2.3% during 2025. Net income attributable to common stockholders reached $372.9 million, up from $84.8 million in 2024, driven largely by higher disposition gains and lower depreciation. The portfolio spans both coastal and sunbelt locations, with an urban/suburban property mix of approximately 32%/68%.

UDR earns revenue primarily through short-term residential leases — the majority with initial terms of 12 months or less — which allows the company to reprice units at each renewal cycle. This structure can accelerate revenue recovery in rising-rent markets but also exposes results to faster rent declines when market conditions soften. UDR reports in two segments: Same-Store Communities (acquired and stabilized before January 1, 2024, with no planned substantial redevelopment) and Non-Mature Communities/Other. The company supplements direct ownership through unconsolidated joint ventures and a Debt and Preferred Equity Program; the company received $204.2 million in distributions from unconsolidated ventures in 2025, including $97.3 million from preferred equity repayments. Capital structure includes both secured and unsecured debt, with the term loan extended to January 31, 2029 during the year. The A/B quality split of approximately 44%/56% distributes exposure across tenant income cohorts.

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Lease maturity risk is moderated by the short-duration structure, but the same brevity means that roughly 22% of leases at a given time can roll within months. The 10-K notes that because the majority of apartment leases have initial terms of 12 months or less, rental revenues are impacted by declines in market rents more quickly than if leases were for longer terms. Additionally, several of UDR's highest-weighted markets — California, New York, and Washington D.C. — operate under active rent stabilization or control frameworks, which could prevent the company from raising rents to offset increases in operating costs.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Residential

From UDR, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.5
P/E (Fwd)69.5
Mkt Cap$14.4B
EV/EBITDA18.5
Profit Mgn27.8%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth4.2%
Beta0.71
Dividend4.45%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.35bullish
IV46%normal
Max Pain$45+16.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.41Resistance $39.72

Price Targets

$37
$39
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UDR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.61 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $37.03. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UDR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.93 (+0.8% upside). Prior stop was $37.03. Stop-loss: $37.03.

What are the risks of investing in UDR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is UDR overvalued or undervalued?

UDR, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.5 (forward 69.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UDR?

28 analysts cover UDR with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $41.

What does UDR, Inc. do?UDR, Inc. owns and operates 165 multifamily apartment communities totaling 55,240 apartment homes across 21 U.S....

UDR, Inc. owns and operates 165 multifamily apartment communities totaling 55,240 apartment homes across 21 U.S. markets, spanning coastal and sunbelt locations. Revenue is generated through residential leases, with Same-Store revenue growth of 2.4% and NOI growth of 2.3% in 2025; the company also holds interests in 12,167 additional apartment homes through unconsolidated joint ventures.

Related stocks: MRP (Millrose Properties, Inc.) · AVB (AvalonBay Communities, Inc.) · AMH (American Homes 4 Rent) · SUI (Sun Communities, Inc.) · MAA (Mid-America Apartment Communiti)
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