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UDR, Inc. (UDR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $37.40 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: top-8 markets (D.C., Boston, OC, SF Bay, Dallas, NY, Seattle, Tampa) (74.5%).

UDR is a self-administered multifamily REIT with 165 apartment communities totaling 55,240 completed homes across 21 U.S. markets as of December 31, 2025, held directly or through joint ventures. Revenue comes from residential rents; the top 8 markets (Metropolitan D.C. 15.7%,... Read more

$37.40-1.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#2 of 16 REIT - Residential
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.26%
IncomeYield4.62%(5y avg 3.82%)Payout117.01%
Stop $36.04Target $37.04(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$40.26+7.7%21 analysts
$37.04our TP
$37.40price
$40.26mean
$36
$44

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $37.40 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: top-8 markets (D.C., Boston, OC, SF Bay, Dallas, NY, Seattle, Tampa) (74.5%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — UDR, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: top-8 markets (D.C., Boston, OC, SF Bay, Dallas, NY, Seattle, Tampa) (74.5%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.5
P/E (Fwd)62.4
Mkt Cap$13.9B
EV/EBITDA18.1
Profit Mgn27.8%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth4.2%
Beta0.72
Dividend4.62%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV32%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographictop-8 markets (D.C., Boston, OC, SF Bay, Dallas, NY, Seattle, Tampa)75%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 74.5% of our total NOI was generated from communities located in Metropolitan D.C. (15.7%), Boston, MA (11.7%), Orange County, CA (10.9%), the San Francisco Bay Area, CA (8.9%), Dallas, TX (8.0%), New York, NY (7.1%), Seattle, WA (6.5%) and Tampa, FL (5.7%)'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.1
Bollinger
2.7
52w Position
7.8
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $34.27Resistance $37.80

Price Targets

$36
$37
A.Upside-1.0%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UDR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $37.40 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: top-8 markets (D.C., Boston, OC, SF Bay, Dallas, NY, Seattle, Tampa) (74.5%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Prior stop was $36.04. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

What is the UDR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $37.04 (-1.0% upside). Prior stop was $36.04. Stop-loss: $36.04.

What are the risks of investing in UDR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: top-8 markets (D.C., Boston, OC, SF Bay, Dallas, NY, Seattle, Tampa) (74.5%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is UDR overvalued or undervalued?

UDR, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.5 (forward 62.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UDR?

28 analysts cover UDR with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $40.

What does UDR, Inc. do?UDR is a self-administered multifamily REIT with 165 apartment communities totaling 55,240 completed homes across 21...

UDR is a self-administered multifamily REIT with 165 apartment communities totaling 55,240 completed homes across 21 U.S. markets as of December 31, 2025, held directly or through joint ventures. Revenue comes from residential rents; the top 8 markets (Metropolitan D.C. 15.7%, Boston MA 11.7%, Orange County CA 10.9%, San Francisco Bay Area CA 8.9%, Dallas TX 8.0%, New York NY 7.1%, Seattle WA 6.5%, Tampa FL 5.7%) generated approximately 74.5% of total 2025 NOI.

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