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UDR, Inc. (UDR) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $36.00 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: top 8 markets (D.C., Boston, Orange County, SF Bay Area, Dallas, NYC, Seattle, Tampa) (74.5%).

UDR is a self-administered REIT that owns and operates 165 multifamily apartment communities with 55,240 homes across 21 U.S. markets. Revenue from apartment rents, with 74.5% of NOI concentrated in eight coastal and Sun Belt markets.

$36.00+1.4% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#8 of 16 REIT - Residential
Stop $34.38Target $36.47(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$40.52+12.6%21 analysts
$36.47our TP
$36.00price
$40.52mean
$35
$44

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $36.00 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: top 8 markets (D.C., Boston, Orange County, SF Bay Area, Dallas, NYC, Seattle, Tampa) (74.5%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: top 8 markets (D.C., Boston, Orange County, SF Bay Area, Dallas, NYC, Seattle, Tampa) (74.5%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.6
P/E (Fwd)60.3
Mkt Cap$13.6B
EV/EBITDA18.1
Profit Mgn21.6%
ROE9.4%
Rev Growth1.5%
Beta0.72
Dividend4.81%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.42bullish
IV72%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographictop 8 markets (D.C., Boston, Orange County, SF Bay Area, Dallas, NYC, Seattle, Tampa)75%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 74.5% of our total NOI was generated from communities located in Metropolitan D.C. (15.7%), Boston, MA (11.7%), Orange County, CA (10.9%), the San Francisco Bay Area, CA (8.9%), Dallas, TX (8.0%), New York, NY (7.1%), Seattle, WA (6.5%) and Tampa, FL (5.7%)'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.9
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.9
Support Resistance
2.7
Gap
5.0
52w Position
6.7
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $33.58Resistance $36.86

Price Targets

$34
$36
A.Upside+1.3%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.4% upside)
! Reward/Risk 0.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UDR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $36.00 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: top 8 markets (D.C., Boston, Orange County, SF Bay Area, Dallas, NYC, Seattle, Tampa) (74.5%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $34.38. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UDR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.47 (+1.4% upside). Prior stop was $34.38. Stop-loss: $34.38.

What are the risks of investing in UDR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: top 8 markets (D.C., Boston, Orange County, SF Bay Area, Dallas, NYC, Seattle, Tampa) (74.5%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is UDR overvalued or undervalued?

UDR, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.6 (forward 60.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UDR?

28 analysts cover UDR with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $41.

What does UDR, Inc. do?UDR is a self-administered REIT that owns and operates 165 multifamily apartment communities with 55,240 homes across...

UDR is a self-administered REIT that owns and operates 165 multifamily apartment communities with 55,240 homes across 21 U.S. markets. Revenue from apartment rents, with 74.5% of NOI concentrated in eight coastal and Sun Belt markets.

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