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UDRUDR, Inc.Sell5.7·$38.84+0.58%
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UDR, Inc. (UDR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Residential

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.84 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: top-8 markets (D.C., Boston, OC, SF Bay, Dallas, NY, Seattle, Tampa) (74.5%).

UDR is a self-administered multifamily REIT with 165 apartment communities totaling 55,240 completed homes across 21 U.S. markets as of December 31, 2025, held directly or through joint ventures. Revenue comes from residential rents; the top 8 markets (Metropolitan D.C. 15.7%,... Read more

$38.84-0.3% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#3 of 16 REIT - Residential
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.04%
IncomeYield4.48%(5y avg 3.85%)Payout117.01%
Stop $37.23Target $38.69(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$40.36+3.9%21 analysts
$38.69our TP
$38.84price
$40.36mean
$36
$44

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.84 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: top-8 markets (D.C., Boston, OC, SF Bay, Dallas, NY, Seattle, Tampa) (74.5%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: top-8 markets (D.C., Boston, OC, SF Bay, Dallas, NY, Seattle, Tampa) (74.5%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.3
P/E (Fwd)64.3
Mkt Cap$14.3B
EV/EBITDA18.4
Profit Mgn27.8%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth4.2%
Beta0.71
Dividend4.48%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.33bearish
IV60%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographictop-8 markets (D.C., Boston, OC, SF Bay, Dallas, NY, Seattle, Tampa)75%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 74.5% of our total NOI was generated from communities located in Metropolitan D.C. (15.7%), Boston, MA (11.7%), Orange County, CA (10.9%), the San Francisco Bay Area, CA (8.9%), Dallas, TX (8.0%), New York, NY (7.1%), Seattle, WA (6.5%) and Tampa, FL (5.7%)'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.41Resistance $39.48

Price Targets

$37
$39
A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UDR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.84 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: top-8 markets (D.C., Boston, OC, SF Bay, Dallas, NY, Seattle, Tampa) (74.5%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $37.23. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UDR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.69 (-0.3% upside). Prior stop was $37.23. Stop-loss: $37.23.

What are the risks of investing in UDR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: top-8 markets (D.C., Boston, OC, SF Bay, Dallas, NY, Seattle, Tampa) (74.5%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is UDR overvalued or undervalued?

UDR, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.3 (forward 64.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UDR?

28 analysts cover UDR with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $40.

What does UDR, Inc. do?UDR is a self-administered multifamily REIT with 165 apartment communities totaling 55,240 completed homes across 21...

UDR is a self-administered multifamily REIT with 165 apartment communities totaling 55,240 completed homes across 21 U.S. markets as of December 31, 2025, held directly or through joint ventures. Revenue comes from residential rents; the top 8 markets (Metropolitan D.C. 15.7%, Boston MA 11.7%, Orange County CA 10.9%, San Francisco Bay Area CA 8.9%, Dallas TX 8.0%, New York NY 7.1%, Seattle WA 6.5%, Tampa FL 5.7%) generated approximately 74.5% of total 2025 NOI.

Related stocks: MRP (Millrose Properties, Inc.) · SUI (Sun Communities, Inc.) · AVB (AvalonBay Communities, Inc.) · AMH (American Homes 4 Rent) · ELS (Equity Lifestyle Properties, In)
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