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UBERUber Technologies, Inc.Sell5.3·$74.35+2.33%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Uber operates a wide economic moat platform generating 35% return on equity and strong margins, with analysts targeting 32% upside from current levels, but a confirmed death cross and two consecutive earnings misses have created a technical and fundamental overhang that prevents near-term entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Consecutive Earnings MissesStable
  • Wide Economic Moat 35 Pct RoeStable
  • Analyst Upside 32 PctStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $74.35 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth.

Uber Technologies operates a global technology platform in three segments—Mobility (ridesharing), Delivery (food and grocery), and Freight (logistics)—across 70+ countries and 15,000+ cities with approximately 34,000 employees at year-end 2025. Revenue is earned through service... Read more

$74.35+29.2% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#106 of 124 Software - Application
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.31%
Stop $69.22Target $96.17(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$104.53+40.6%50 analysts
$96.17our TP
$74.35price
$104.53mean
$150

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $74.35 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Wide economic moat
Analyst upside: 29%
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak growth
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.5
P/E (Fwd)16.8
Mkt Cap$151.5B
EV/EBITDA22.6
Profit Mgn15.9%
ROE35.3%
Rev Growth14.5%
Beta1.12
DividendNone
Rating analysts61

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV45%normal
Max Pain$105+41.2% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-11Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Chief People Officer Nikki Krishnamurthy stepped down effective May 11, 2026; will serve as advisor during transition. Jill Hazelbaker (CMO/SVP) named successor as President & Chief Corporate Affairs Officer, assuming Krishnamurthy's prior responsibilities plus Safety Operations oversight.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
6.1

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.9
Support Resistance
3.2
52w Position
4.6
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $67.19Resistance $77.76

Price Targets

$69
$96
A.Upside+29.3%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UBER stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $74.35 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Prior stop was $69.22. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UBER stock price target?

Take-profit target: $96.17 (+29.2% upside). Prior stop was $69.22. Stop-loss: $69.22.

What are the risks of investing in UBER?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is UBER overvalued or undervalued?

Uber Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.5 (forward 16.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UBER?

61 analysts cover UBER with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $105.

What does Uber Technologies, Inc. do?Uber Technologies operates a global technology platform in three segments—Mobility (ridesharing), Delivery (food and...

Uber Technologies operates a global technology platform in three segments—Mobility (ridesharing), Delivery (food and grocery), and Freight (logistics)—across 70+ countries and 15,000+ cities with approximately 34,000 employees at year-end 2025. Revenue is earned through service fees on gross bookings from rides, deliveries, and freight shipments, plus advertising and membership fees from 46 million Uber One subscribers.

Related stocks: ADSK (Autodesk, Inc.) · FICO (Fair Isaac Corporation) · CRM (Salesforce, Inc.) · TEAM (Atlassian Corporation) · ZM (Zoom Communications, Inc.)
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