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UBERUber Technologies, Inc.Sell5.6·$66.42-3.62%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Uber operates a wide economic moat platform generating 35% return on equity and strong margins, with analysts targeting 32% upside from current levels, but a confirmed death cross and two consecutive earnings misses have created a technical and fundamental overhang that prevents near-term entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Consecutive Earnings MissesStable
  • Wide Economic Moat 35 Pct RoeStable
  • Analyst Upside 32 PctImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

SellQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $66.42 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak growth.

Uber Technologies operates a global technology platform in three segments—Mobility (ridesharing), Delivery (food and grocery), and Freight (logistics)—across 70+ countries and 15,000+ cities with approximately 34,000 employees at year-end 2025. Revenue is earned through service... Read more

$66.42+45.1% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#86 of 125 Software - Application
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.66%
Stop $63.59Target $95.69(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 6.3:1
Analyst target$104.01+56.6%48 analysts
$95.69our TP
$66.42price
$104.01mean
$150

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $66.42 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak growth. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 30, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202612d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.63)
Positive insider activity
Wide economic moat
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.4
P/E (Fwd)15.5
Mkt Cap$140.3B
EV/EBITDA21.0
Profit Mgn15.9%
ROE35.3%
Rev Growth14.5%
Beta1.11
DividendNone
Rating analysts60

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.81neutral
IV58%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-11Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Chief People Officer Nikki Krishnamurthy stepped down effective May 11, 2026; will serve as advisor during transition. Jill Hazelbaker (CMO/SVP) named successor as President & Chief Corporate Affairs Officer, assuming Krishnamurthy's prior responsibilities plus Safety Operations oversight.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
6.4
Capitulation risk (RSI 30, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
6.1
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 6.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Moderate
RSI
30 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $65.56Resistance $77.76

Price Targets

$64
$96
A.Upside+45.1%
A.R:R6.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UBER stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $66.42 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak growth. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 30, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $63.59. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UBER stock price target?

Take-profit target: $95.69 (+45.1% upside). Prior stop was $63.59. Stop-loss: $63.59.

What are the risks of investing in UBER?

Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is UBER overvalued or undervalued?

Uber Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.4 (forward 15.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UBER?

60 analysts cover UBER with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $104.

What does Uber Technologies, Inc. do?Uber Technologies operates a global technology platform in three segments—Mobility (ridesharing), Delivery (food and...

Uber Technologies operates a global technology platform in three segments—Mobility (ridesharing), Delivery (food and grocery), and Freight (logistics)—across 70+ countries and 15,000+ cities with approximately 34,000 employees at year-end 2025. Revenue is earned through service fees on gross bookings from rides, deliveries, and freight shipments, plus advertising and membership fees from 46 million Uber One subscribers.

Related stocks: ADSK (Autodesk, Inc.) · FICO (Fair Isaac Corporation) · CRM (Salesforce, Inc.) · ZM (Zoom Communications, Inc.) · TEAM (Atlassian Corporation)
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