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UBERUber Technologies, Inc.Sell5.8·$75.50-1.25%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Uber operates a wide economic moat platform generating 35% return on equity and strong margins, with analysts targeting 32% upside from current levels, but a confirmed death cross and two consecutive earnings misses have created a technical and fundamental overhang that prevents near-term entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Consecutive Earnings MissesStable
  • Wide Economic Moat 35 Pct RoeStable
  • Analyst Upside 32 PctImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $75.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Uber Technologies operates a global technology platform in three segments—Mobility (ridesharing), Delivery (food and grocery), and Freight (logistics)—across 70+ countries and 15,000+ cities with approximately 34,000 employees at year-end 2025. Revenue is earned through service... Read more

$75.50+24.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#49 of 122 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.64%
Stop $70.18Target $93.67(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$101.81+34.8%47 analysts
$93.67our TP
$75.50price
$101.81mean
$150

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $75.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and news soft restructuring. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-03
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Analyst upside: 24%
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.5
P/E (Fwd)17.4
Mkt Cap$156.2B
EV/EBITDA22.3
Profit Mgn17.3%
ROE37.2%
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta1.15
DividendNone
Rating analysts58

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.79bearish
IV45%normal
Max Pain$88+16.6% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-11Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Chief People Officer Nikki Krishnamurthy stepped down effective May 11, 2026; will serve as advisor during transition. Jill Hazelbaker (CMO/SVP) named successor as President & Chief Corporate Affairs Officer, assuming Krishnamurthy's prior responsibilities plus Safety Operations oversight.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)NEWS SOFT RESTRUCTURINGExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $71.23Resistance $82.36

Price Targets

$70
$94
A.Upside+24.1%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! NEWS_SOFT:RESTRUCTURING

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UBER stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $75.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $70.18. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UBER stock price target?

Take-profit target: $93.67 (+24.1% upside). Prior stop was $70.18. Stop-loss: $70.18.

What are the risks of investing in UBER?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is UBER overvalued or undervalued?

Uber Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.5 (forward 17.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UBER?

58 analysts cover UBER with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $102.

What does Uber Technologies, Inc. do?Uber Technologies operates a global technology platform in three segments—Mobility (ridesharing), Delivery (food and...

Uber Technologies operates a global technology platform in three segments—Mobility (ridesharing), Delivery (food and grocery), and Freight (logistics)—across 70+ countries and 15,000+ cities with approximately 34,000 employees at year-end 2025. Revenue is earned through service fees on gross bookings from rides, deliveries, and freight shipments, plus advertising and membership fees from 46 million Uber One subscribers.

Related stocks: FICO (Fair Isaac Corporation) · ADSK (Autodesk, Inc.) · CDNS (Cadence Design Systems, Inc.) · ROP (Roper Technologies, Inc.) · ADBE (Adobe Inc.)
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