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UBERUber Technologies, Inc.Buy Wait6.1·$65.25
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Uber operates a wide economic moat platform generating 35% return on equity and strong margins, with analysts targeting 32% upside from current levels, but a confirmed death cross and two consecutive earnings misses have created a technical and fundamental overhang that prevents near-term entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Consecutive Earnings Misses→Stable
  • Wide Economic Moat 35 Pct Roe→Stable
  • Analyst Upside 32 Pct→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 13, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

Buy WaitValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Earnings in 2 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $64.89. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross), recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $65.25. Engine's entry $64.89 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum.

Uber Technologies operates a global technology platform in three segments—Mobility (ridesharing), Delivery (food and grocery), and Freight (logistics)—across 70+ countries and 15,000+ cities with approximately 34,000 employees at year-end 2025. Revenue is earned through service... Read more

$65.25+42.2% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#30 of 116 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.44%
Entry $64.89(support + ATR (held))Stop $62.12Target $92.79(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 8.1:1
Analyst consensus$100.86+54.6%46 analysts
$92.79our TP
$65.25price
$100.86mean
$150

Wait for pullback to $64.89. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross), recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $65.25. Engine's entry $64.89 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 28, MACD bearish. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-11-02
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20262d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Margin of safety: 43%
Wide economic moat
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.3
P/E (Fwd)14.8
Mkt Cap$133.3B
EV/EBITDA19.2
Profit Mgn17.3%
ROE37.2%
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta1.26
DividendNone
Rating analysts58

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.28bearish
IV60%elevated
Max Pain$50-23.4% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-11Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Chief People Officer Nikki Krishnamurthy stepped down effective May 11, 2026; will serve as advisor during transition. Jill Hazelbaker (CMO/SVP) named successor as President & Chief Corporate Affairs Officer, assuming Krishnamurthy's prior responsibilities plus Safety Operations oversight.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.1
Capitulation risk (RSI 28, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 2d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 8.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
28 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $64.04Resistance $72.08

Price Targets

$62
$65
$93
A.Upside+42.2%
A.R:R8.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 2 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 1.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (2d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UBER stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $64.89. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross), recent C-suite change — blocks BUY_NOW at $65.25. Engine's entry $64.89 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 28, MACD bearish. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $92.79 (+42.2%), stop $62.12 (−5.0%), A.R:R 8.1:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UBER stock price target?

Take-profit target: $92.79 (+42.2% upside). Target $92.79 (+42.2%), stop $62.12 (−5.0%), A.R:R 8.1:1. Stop-loss: $62.12.

What are the risks of investing in UBER?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is UBER overvalued or undervalued?

Uber Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.3 (forward 14.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about UBER?

58 analysts cover UBER with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $101.

What does Uber Technologies, Inc. do?Uber Technologies operates a global technology platform in three segments—Mobility (ridesharing), Delivery (food and...

Uber Technologies operates a global technology platform in three segments—Mobility (ridesharing), Delivery (food and grocery), and Freight (logistics)—across 70+ countries and 15,000+ cities with approximately 34,000 employees at year-end 2025. Revenue is earned through service fees on gross bookings from rides, deliveries, and freight shipments, plus advertising and membership fees from 46 million Uber One subscribers.

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