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UBERUber Technologies, Inc.Sell6.5·$75.58-0.40%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Uber operates a wide economic moat platform generating 35% return on equity and strong margins, with analysts targeting 32% upside from current levels, but a confirmed death cross and two consecutive earnings misses have created a technical and fundamental overhang that prevents near-term entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Consecutive Earnings MissesImproving
  • Wide Economic Moat 35 Pct RoeStable
  • Analyst Upside 32 PctDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $75.58: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Uber Technologies operates a global technology platform in three segments—Mobility (ridesharing), Delivery (food and grocery), and Freight (logistics)—across 70+ countries and 15,000+ cities with approximately 34,000 employees at year-end 2025. Revenue is earned through service... Read more

$75.58+23.6% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#14 of 124 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.67%
Stop $70.39Target $93.38(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$101.50+34.3%47 analysts
$93.38our TP
$75.58price
$101.50mean
$150

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $75.58: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202681d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Wide economic moat
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.5
P/E (Fwd)17.2
Mkt Cap$155.0B
EV/EBITDA22.1
Profit Mgn17.3%
ROE37.2%
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta1.15
DividendNone
Rating analysts57

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.47bullish
IV45%normal
Max Pain$105+38.9% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-11Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Chief People Officer Nikki Krishnamurthy stepped down effective May 11, 2026; will serve as advisor during transition. Jill Hazelbaker (CMO/SVP) named successor as President & Chief Corporate Affairs Officer, assuming Krishnamurthy's prior responsibilities plus Safety Operations oversight.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.4
Support Resistance
2.5
52w Position
4.8
Gap
5.0
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.9>=5.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $65.41Resistance $78.99

Price Targets

$70
$93
A.Upside+23.6%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UBER stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $75.58: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Prior stop was $70.39. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UBER stock price target?

Take-profit target: $93.38 (+23.6% upside). Prior stop was $70.39. Stop-loss: $70.39.

What are the risks of investing in UBER?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is UBER overvalued or undervalued?

Uber Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.5 (forward 17.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UBER?

57 analysts cover UBER with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $102.

What does Uber Technologies, Inc. do?Uber Technologies operates a global technology platform in three segments—Mobility (ridesharing), Delivery (food and...

Uber Technologies operates a global technology platform in three segments—Mobility (ridesharing), Delivery (food and grocery), and Freight (logistics)—across 70+ countries and 15,000+ cities with approximately 34,000 employees at year-end 2025. Revenue is earned through service fees on gross bookings from rides, deliveries, and freight shipments, plus advertising and membership fees from 46 million Uber One subscribers.

Related stocks: FICO (Fair Isaac Corporation) · ADSK (Autodesk, Inc.) · CRM (Salesforce, Inc.) · QNT (Quantinuum Inc.) · SSNC (SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc)
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