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UANCVR Partners, LPBuy Wait6.9·$111.03-0.31%
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CVR Partners, LP (UAN) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs

Wait for pullback to $109.75. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $111.03. Engine's entry $109.75 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Negative momentum.

CVR Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of nitrogen fertilizer in the United States. The company offers ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate products. It serves agricultural and industrial customers. The company was incorporated in 2007... Read more

$111.03+16.7% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#1 of 8 Agricultural Inputs
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield8.13%
IncomeYield11.03%(5y avg 10.42%)Payout91.73%at-risk
Entry $109.75(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $102.36Target $127.01(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1Setup A.R:R 3.6:1

Wait for pullback to $109.75. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $111.03. Engine's entry $109.75 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 3.4 < 4.5 minimum; SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and sector concentration cap sector=basic materials count=3 cap=3. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.7
P/E (Fwd)-17.7
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA6.8
Profit Mgn18.9%
ROE39.6%
Rev Growth26.0%
Beta0.13
Dividend11.03%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.49bullish
IV57%elevated
Max Pain$170+53.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.2
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.8
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 18)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5SECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Basic Materials count=3 cap=3A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
18 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $107.00Resistance $129.60

Price Targets

$102
$110
$127
A.Upside+14.4%
A.R:R0.0:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.6%
Max %3.1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum 3.4 < 4.5 minimum
! SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UAN stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $109.75. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $111.03. Engine's entry $109.75 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 3.4 < 4.5 minimum; SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Target $127.01 (+14.4%), stop $102.36 (−8.5%), Setup A.R:R 3.6:1. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UAN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $127.01 (+16.7% upside). Target $127.01 (+14.4%), stop $102.36 (−8.5%), Setup A.R:R 3.6:1. Stop-loss: $102.36.

What are the risks of investing in UAN?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Negative momentum.

Is UAN overvalued or undervalued?

CVR Partners, LP trades at a P/E of 9.7 (forward -17.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about UAN?

8 analysts cover UAN with a consensus score of 2.3/5.

What does CVR Partners, LP do?CVR Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of nitrogen fertilizer in the...

CVR Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of nitrogen fertilizer in the United States. The company offers ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate products. It serves agricultural and industrial customers. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Sugar Land, Texas.

Related stocks: ICL (ICL Group Ltd.) · SMG (Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The) · MOS (Mosaic Company (The)) · FMC (FMC Corporation)
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