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CVR Partners, LP (UAN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $126.82, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0.

CVR Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of nitrogen fertilizer in the United States. The company offers ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate products. It serves agricultural and industrial customers. The company was incorporated in 2007... Read more

$126.82+4.2% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#1 of 8 Agricultural Inputs
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.16%
IncomeYield9.72%(5y avg 10.42%)Payout91.73%at-risk
Stop $117.94Target $132.15(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $126.82, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — CVR Partners, LP

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.9 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.0
P/E (Fwd)-20.1
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA7.5
Profit Mgn18.9%
ROE39.6%
Rev Growth26.0%
Beta0.15
Dividend9.72%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.27bullish
IV53%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.5
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $120.24Resistance $134.85

Price Targets

$118
$132
A.Upside+4.2%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UAN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $126.82, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $132.15 (+4.2%), stop $117.94 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UAN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $132.15 (+4.2% upside). Target $132.15 (+4.2%), stop $117.94 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $117.94.

What are the risks of investing in UAN?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Negative momentum.

Is UAN overvalued or undervalued?

CVR Partners, LP trades at a P/E of 11.0 (forward -20.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about UAN?

8 analysts cover UAN with a consensus score of 2.3/5.

What does CVR Partners, LP do?CVR Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of nitrogen fertilizer in the...

CVR Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of nitrogen fertilizer in the United States. The company offers ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate products. It serves agricultural and industrial customers. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Sugar Land, Texas.

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