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FMC Corporation (FMC) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.53: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

FMC Corporation is a global agricultural sciences company developing and marketing insecticides, herbicides, fungicides, and biological products to farmers across four geographic regions. Its two key franchises are Rynaxypyr active (~$0.8B revenue in 2025) and Cyazypyr active... Read more

$13.53+14.6% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#8 of 8 Agricultural Inputs
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield1.35%
IncomeYield2.36%(5y avg 4.19%)Payout223.08%at-risk
Stop $12.60Target $15.53(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$17.25+27.5%16 analysts
$15.53our TP
$13.53price
$17.25mean
$26

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.53: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — FMC Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: China and India suppliers
Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)6.2
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA18.0
Profit Mgn-72.9%
ROE-78.4%
Rev Growth-4.1%
Beta0.39
Dividend2.36%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.35bullish
IV74%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierChina and India suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We source critical intermediates and finished products from a number of suppliers, largely outside of the U.S. and principally in China and India'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-29Item 5.02LOW
    Director Dirk A. Kempthorne (board member since 2009) passed away. FMC 2026 Incentive Stock Plan approved by shareholders at April 28, 2026 Annual Meeting, replacing the 2023 plan.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -4.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.5
Declining revenue: -4%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.6
Gross Margin
2.4
Moat
2.5
Piotroski F
3.3
Current Ratio
4.9
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
8.8

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.1
Macd
2.5
Rsi
3.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -15.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.66Resistance $17.09

Price Targets

$13
$16
A.Upside+14.8%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FMC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.53: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $12.60. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FMC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.53 (+14.6% upside). Prior stop was $12.60. Stop-loss: $12.60.

What are the risks of investing in FMC?

Concentration risk — Supplier: China and India suppliers; Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0).

Is FMC overvalued or undervalued?

FMC Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FMC?

23 analysts cover FMC with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $17.

What does FMC Corporation do?FMC Corporation is a global agricultural sciences company developing and marketing insecticides, herbicides,...

FMC Corporation is a global agricultural sciences company developing and marketing insecticides, herbicides, fungicides, and biological products to farmers across four geographic regions. Its two key franchises are Rynaxypyr active (~$0.8B revenue in 2025) and Cyazypyr active (~$0.4B); the India commercial business is in divestiture with a strategic review of the entire company announced February 2026.

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