The stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 5.2x with roughly 33% headroom to the analyst consensus target and has beaten or matched estimates in all four of the last four reported quarters, but quality sits well below the minimum threshold — a Piotroski score of 3 out of 9, no competitive moat — revenue is contracting 4% year over year, a confirmed death-cross technical pattern has triggered a hard block, and 18% short interest signals that the market views the depressed multiple as earned rather than as a value opportunity.
Thesis pillars
- Death Cross Falling Knife Downtrend→Stable
- Deep Discount Offset By Justified Short Interest↓Deteriorating
- Quality Floor Breach Weak Fundamentals→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
FMC Corporation (FMC) Stock Analysis
Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.15: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
FMC Corporation develops, markets, and sells crop protection chemicals — insecticides, herbicides, fungicides — plus biologicals and plant health products in a single global segment, employing approximately 5,500 people across four regions. Revenue comes from proprietary active... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.15: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 73d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-16Recent Developments — FMC Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS RBC Capital Maintains Sector Perform on FMC, Lowers Price Target to $11 — benzinga Aug 3, 2026 negative
- NEWS Citigroup Maintains Neutral on FMC, Lowers Price Target to $12 — benzinga Jul 31, 2026 negative
- NEWS JP Morgan Maintains Neutral on FMC, Lowers Price Target to $12 — benzinga Jul 31, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Morgan Stanley Maintains Equal-Weight on FMC, Lowers Price Target to $12 — benzinga Jul 31, 2026 negative
- NEWS FMC Sees Q4 Adj EPS $1.09-$1.33 vs $1.01 Est; Sees Sales $1.060B-$1.200B vs $1.095B Est — benzinga Jul 29, 2026 negative
Generated 2026-08-16T19:37:00Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMProductRynaxypyr® active10-K Item 1: 'Rynaxypyr® active (chlorantraniliprole), the world's leading insect control technology – with annual revenues of approximately $0.8 billion in 2025'
- LOWProductCyazypyr® active10-K Item 1: 'Cyazypyr® active (cyantraniliprole), which supports a portfolio of products that generated revenues of approximately $0.4 billion in 2025'
- MEDIUMSupplierChina and India intermediates10-K Item 1A: 'We source critical intermediates and finished products from a number of suppliers, largely outside of the U.S. and principally in China and India'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-29Item 5.02LOWBoard director Dirk A. Kempthorne, a member of the FMC board since 2009, passed away. No successor named. The 2026 Incentive Stock Plan was separately approved at the April 28, 2026 Annual Meeting, replacing the 2023 plan.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -17.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.15: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $9.65. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $11.76 (+15.9% upside). Prior stop was $9.65. Stop-loss: $9.65.
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0).
FMC Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
20 analysts cover FMC with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $14.
What does FMC Corporation do?FMC Corporation develops, markets, and sells crop protection chemicals — insecticides, herbicides, fungicides — plus...
FMC Corporation develops, markets, and sells crop protection chemicals — insecticides, herbicides, fungicides — plus biologicals and plant health products in a single global segment, employing approximately 5,500 people across four regions. Revenue comes from proprietary active ingredients; Rynaxypyr® active generated approximately $0.8 billion in 2025, with Cyazypyr® active brands at approximately $0.4 billion. In February 2026, the Board authorized a strategic review including potential sale of the company.