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FMC Corporation (FMC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.72: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

FMC Corporation is a global agricultural sciences company selling crop protection chemicals (insecticides, herbicides, fungicides), biologicals, and plant health products in a single business segment with approximately 5,500 employees. It is undergoing a strategic review... Read more

$15.72+0.6% A.UpsideScore 4.0/10#8 of 8 Agricultural Inputs
Stop $14.63Target $15.83(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$17.59+11.9%17 analysts
$15.83our TP
$15.72price
$17.59mean
$13
$26

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.72: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (0.6% upside)
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)6.5
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA13.2
Profit Mgn-64.6%
ROE-66.6%
Rev Growth-11.5%
Beta0.52
Dividend2.18%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV72%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierChina and India
    10-K Item 1A: 'We source critical intermediates and finished products from a number of suppliers, largely outside of the U.S. and principally in China and India.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -11.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -12%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.1
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -14.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.9
Gross Margin
2.8
Piotroski F
3.3
Operating Margin
3.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.0
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
8.8

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Gap
3.0
Support Resistance
6.0
Bollinger
6.6
Extreme gap up (10.2%) - may pull back
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.04Resistance $18.29

Price Targets

$15
$16
A.Upside+0.7%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FMC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.72: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $14.63. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.

What is the FMC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.83 (+0.6% upside). Prior stop was $14.63. Stop-loss: $14.63.

What are the risks of investing in FMC?

Target reached (0.6% upside); Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Is FMC overvalued or undervalued?

FMC Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FMC?

24 analysts cover FMC with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $18.

What does FMC Corporation do?FMC Corporation is a global agricultural sciences company selling crop protection chemicals (insecticides, herbicides,...

FMC Corporation is a global agricultural sciences company selling crop protection chemicals (insecticides, herbicides, fungicides), biologicals, and plant health products in a single business segment with approximately 5,500 employees. It is undergoing a strategic review including potential sale and is divesting its India commercial business in 2026.

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