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IPIIntrepid Potash, IncSell4.9·$33.60+0.27%
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Intrepid Potash, Inc (IPI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.60: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.89; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Intrepid Potash, Inc. delivers potassium, magnesium, sulfur, salt, and water products. It operates through three segments: Potash, Trio, and Oilfield Solutions. The company offers muriate of potash for various markets, such as in agricultural market as a fertilizer input, in... Read more

$33.60+9.6% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#7 of 9 Agricultural Inputs
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.33%
Stop $31.39Target $36.80(resistance)A.R:R -3.8:1
Analyst target$26.00-22.6%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.60: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.89; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Cyclical trap - fwd PE 62x vs trail 30x (2.0x)
Target reached (-34.2% upside)
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.3
P/E (Fwd)61.7
Mkt Cap$451M
EV/EBITDA5.5
Profit Mgn5.8%
ROE3.0%
Rev Growth6.2%
Beta1.24
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.89bearish
IV60%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.2
Value Rank
2.9
Quality Rank
3.5

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Macd
7.2
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Fcf Quality
0.8
Roe
1.0
Gross Margin
1.2
Roa
1.4
Net Margin
2.9
Operating Margin
3.6
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
7.7
Piotroski F
8.9
Earnings quality RED FLAG: 10% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

Price Target
2.1
Analyst Rating
4.4
Erm Sentiment
5.0
Light analyst coverage (1.0) — signal dampenedBelow analyst target
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R -3.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.36Resistance $37.55

Price Targets

$31
$37
A.Upside+9.5%
A.R:R-3.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 62x vs trail 30x (2.0x)
! Target reached (-34.2% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IPI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.60: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.89; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $31.39. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IPI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.80 (+9.6% upside). Prior stop was $31.39. Stop-loss: $31.39.

What are the risks of investing in IPI?

Cyclical trap - fwd PE 62x vs trail 30x (2.0x); Target reached (-34.2% upside); Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is IPI overvalued or undervalued?

Intrepid Potash, Inc trades at a P/E of 30.3 (forward 61.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IPI?

9 analysts cover IPI with a consensus score of 2.1/5. Average price target: $26.

What does Intrepid Potash, Inc do?Intrepid Potash, Inc. delivers potassium, magnesium, sulfur, salt, and water products. It operates through three...

Intrepid Potash, Inc. delivers potassium, magnesium, sulfur, salt, and water products. It operates through three segments: Potash, Trio, and Oilfield Solutions. The company offers muriate of potash for various markets, such as in agricultural market as a fertilizer input, in animal feed market as a nutrient supplement, in industrial market as a component in drilling and fracturing fluids, as well as input to other industrial processes. It also provides Trio, a specialty fertilizer that delivers potassium, sulfate, and magnesium in a single particle; salt for various markets, including animal feed, industrial applications, pool salt, and the treatment of roads and walkways for ice melting or to manage road conditions; magnesium chloride for use as a road treatment agent for deicing and dedusting; brines for use in oil and gas industry to support well workover and completion activities; and metal recovery salts. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Denver, Colorado.

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