Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Sell if holding. At $167.78, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).
Texas Roadhouse operates 816 casual dining restaurants under three concepts (Texas Roadhouse, Bubba's 33, Jaggers) across 49 states, one U.S. territory, and ten countries as of December 30, 2025, with 714 company-owned locations. Revenue comes from restaurant food and beverage... Read more
Sell if holding. At $167.78, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-09Recent Developments — Texas Roadhouse, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS UBS Group AG Purchases 522,509 Shares of Texas Roadhouse, Inc. $TXRH - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS What To Expect From Texas Roadhouse’s (TXRH) Q1 Earnings - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS What To Expect From Texas Roadhouse’s (TXRH) Q1 Earnings - FinancialContent — FinancialContent neutral
- NEWS Horizon Investments LLC Purchases Shares of 15,517 Texas Roadhouse, Inc. $TXRH - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS How The Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) Investment Narrative Is Shifting On Costs Margins And Valuation - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
Generated 2026-06-09T22:21:41Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMGeographicTexas and Florida21%10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 21% of our company restaurants are located in Texas and Florida and, as a result, we are sensitive to economic and other trends and developments in those states.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-05Item 5.02LOWElizabeth K. Ingram (CEO of White Castle System) appointed to Board of Directors on March 5, 2026, as an independent director due to restaurant industry expertise. No initial committee assignments.SEC filing →
- 2026-02-19Item 5.02LOWKeith Humpich (interim CFO) approved for continued $100K/quarter stipend through June 30, 2026 to support transition; Mike Lenihan was appointed permanent CFO on December 3, 2025. Routine compensation arrangement.SEC filing →
- 2026-02-13Item 5.02LOWKathleen M. Widmer retired from Board of Directors effective February 11, 2026, to focus on a new business venture. No disagreement with company on any matter relating to operations, policies, or practices.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $167.78, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $156.04. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $178.16 (+6.2% upside). Prior stop was $156.04. Stop-loss: $156.04.
Thin upside margin: 6.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.7 (forward 21.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
36 analysts cover TXRH with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $198.
What does Texas Roadhouse, Inc. do?Texas Roadhouse operates 816 casual dining restaurants under three concepts (Texas Roadhouse, Bubba's 33, Jaggers)...
Texas Roadhouse operates 816 casual dining restaurants under three concepts (Texas Roadhouse, Bubba's 33, Jaggers) across 49 states, one U.S. territory, and ten countries as of December 30, 2025, with 714 company-owned locations. Revenue comes from restaurant food and beverage sales; approximately 21% of company restaurants are concentrated in Texas (101) and Florida (50).