Taylor Morrison Home Corporatio (TMHC) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $60.88 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.6/10.
Taylor Morrison is a national homebuilder operating under the Taylor Morrison and Esplanade brands, serving entry-level, move-up, and resort lifestyle buyers across the US. It generated $7.8 billion in home closings revenue with 12,997 closings in 2025, complemented by financial... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $60.88 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-17Item 5.02LOWDirector David Merritt notified the Company he will retire from the Board at the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. Board approved reduction from nine to eight members. No disagreement cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -26.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $60.88 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Prior stop was $56.72. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $61.09 (+0.3% upside). Prior stop was $56.72. Stop-loss: $56.72.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.6/10; Weak growth.
Taylor Morrison Home Corporatio trades at a P/E of 9.0 (forward 9.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
17 analysts cover TMHC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $70.
What does Taylor Morrison Home Corporatio do?Taylor Morrison is a national homebuilder operating under the Taylor Morrison and Esplanade brands, serving...
Taylor Morrison is a national homebuilder operating under the Taylor Morrison and Esplanade brands, serving entry-level, move-up, and resort lifestyle buyers across the US. It generated $7.8 billion in home closings revenue with 12,997 closings in 2025, complemented by financial services (mortgage, title, insurance via TMHF/Inspired Title) and Build-to-Rent operations (Yardly).