Taylor Morrison Home Corporatio (TMHC) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.61 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.3% away).
Taylor Morrison is a national homebuilder with $7.8B in 2025 home closings revenue and 12,997 closings, serving entry-level, move-up, and resort lifestyle buyers under Taylor Morrison, Esplanade, and Yardly brands across multiple U.S. markets. Ancillary businesses include TMHF... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.61 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.3% away). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 95. Score 4.2/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-09Recent Developments — Taylor Morrison Home Corporatio
Latest news
- NEWS Is Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC) Overvalued After 4.9% Rally? - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS Taylor Morrison Home Corporation 2026 Q1 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NYSE:TMHC) 2026-04-22 - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha neutral
- NEWS Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) Stock Trades Up, Here Is Why - TradingView — TradingView positive
- NEWS Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) Stock Trades Up, Here Is Why - FinancialContent — FinancialContent positive
- NEWS Compared to Estimates, Taylor Morrison (TMHC) Q1 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
Generated 2026-06-09T22:11:40Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-17Item 5.02LOWBoard member David Merritt notified company of intent to retire from the Board effective at the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. Not due to any disagreement. Board size reducing from 9 to 8.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -26.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.61 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.3% away). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 95. Prior stop was $67.94. Score 4.2/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $70.37 (-1.7% upside). Prior stop was $67.94. Stop-loss: $67.94.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.3% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3).
Taylor Morrison Home Corporatio trades at a P/E of 10.6 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
16 analysts cover TMHC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $66.
What does Taylor Morrison Home Corporatio do?Taylor Morrison is a national homebuilder with $7.8B in 2025 home closings revenue and 12,997 closings, serving...
Taylor Morrison is a national homebuilder with $7.8B in 2025 home closings revenue and 12,997 closings, serving entry-level, move-up, and resort lifestyle buyers under Taylor Morrison, Esplanade, and Yardly brands across multiple U.S. markets. Ancillary businesses include TMHF mortgage origination, Inspired Title, and TMIS insurance.