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Champion Homes, Inc. (SKY) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-26). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $65.64 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Champion Homes, Inc., formerly known as Skyline Champion Corporation, an Indiana corporation, and its consolidated subsidiaries are referred to herein as "Champion Homes," "us," "we," "our," the "Company," and any other similar terms, unless otherwise indicated in this Annual... Read more

$65.64+26.4% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#5 of 16 Residential Construction
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.90%
Stop $63.44Target $83.00(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$95.40+45.3%5 analysts
$83.00our TP
$65.64price
$95.40mean
$106

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $65.64 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 26, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Champion Homes, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 26%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 7.5): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.5
P/E (Fwd)17.7
Mkt Cap$3.7B
EV/EBITDA10.0
Profit Mgn8.1%
ROE14.1%
Rev Growth1.8%
Beta1.07
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.15bullish
IV69%elevated
Max Pain$40-39.1% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-03Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On March 2, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Champion Homes, Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.3
Revenue Growth
2.9

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
5.7
Capitulation risk (RSI 26, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.9
Quality Rank
4.7
Growth Rank
8.1
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dA.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
26 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $65.40Resistance $84.49

Price Targets

$63
$83
A.Upside+26.4%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-26 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SKY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $65.64 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 26, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $63.44. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

What is the SKY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $83.00 (+26.4% upside). Prior stop was $63.44. Stop-loss: $63.44.

What are the risks of investing in SKY?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 7.5): -1.5.

Is SKY overvalued or undervalued?

Champion Homes, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.5 (forward 17.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SKY?

10 analysts cover SKY with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $95.

What does Champion Homes, Inc. do?Champion Homes, Inc., formerly known as Skyline Champion Corporation, an Indiana corporation, and its consolidated...

Champion Homes, Inc., formerly known as Skyline Champion Corporation, an Indiana corporation, and its consolidated subsidiaries are referred to herein as "Champion Homes," "us," "we," "our," the "Company," and any other similar terms, unless otherwise indicated in this Annual Report.

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