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Champion Homes, Inc. (SKY) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $75.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.5): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.6/10.

Champion Homes, Inc., formerly known as Skyline Champion Corporation, an Indiana corporation, and its consolidated subsidiaries are referred to herein as "Champion Homes," "us," "we," "our," the "Company," and any other similar terms, unless otherwise indicated in this Annual... Read more

$75.28+10.5% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#8 of 16 Residential Construction
Stop $69.87Target $83.00(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$95.40+26.7%5 analysts
$83.00our TP
$75.28price
$95.40mean
$106

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $75.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.5): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 7.5): -1.5
Weak overall score: 4.6/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.9
P/E (Fwd)20.2
Mkt Cap$4.2B
EV/EBITDA11.6
Profit Mgn8.1%
ROE14.1%
Rev Growth1.8%
Beta1.11
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.12bullish
IV59%elevated
Max Pain$115+52.8% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-03Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On March 2, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Champion Homes, Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.3
Revenue Growth
2.9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.9
Quality Rank
4.4
Growth Rank
8.1
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 1.5<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $71.95Resistance $84.49

Price Targets

$70
$83
A.Upside+10.3%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 1.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-26 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SKY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $75.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.5): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $83.00 (+10.3%), stop $69.87 (−7.7%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

What is the SKY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $83.00 (+10.5% upside). Target $83.00 (+10.3%), stop $69.87 (−7.7%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Stop-loss: $69.87.

What are the risks of investing in SKY?

Leverage penalty (D/E 7.5): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.6/10; Weak growth.

Is SKY overvalued or undervalued?

Champion Homes, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.9 (forward 20.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SKY?

10 analysts cover SKY with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $95.

What does Champion Homes, Inc. do?Champion Homes, Inc., formerly known as Skyline Champion Corporation, an Indiana corporation, and its consolidated...

Champion Homes, Inc., formerly known as Skyline Champion Corporation, an Indiana corporation, and its consolidated subsidiaries are referred to herein as "Champion Homes," "us," "we," "our," the "Company," and any other similar terms, unless otherwise indicated in this Annual Report.

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