M/I Homes, Inc. (MHO) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
Sell if holding. At $131.34, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.5%; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
The Company commenced homebuilding activities in 1976 marking 2026 as our 50th year in business. Since that time, the Company has sold over 168,200 homes. Unless this Form 10-K otherwise indicates or the context otherwise requires, the terms the "Company," "we," "us" and "our"... Read more
Sell if holding. At $131.34, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.5%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-04Item 5.02MEDIUMExhibit No. | | Description of Exhibit | | 99.1 | | [Press release dated March 4, 2026.](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/799292/000079929226000012/exhibit991pressreleasenorm.htm) | | 104 | | Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).* *Submitted electroni...SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Revenue shrinking — -5.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $131.34, A.R:R 0.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.5%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 62. Prior stop was $122.84. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $136.00 (+3.5% upside). Prior stop was $122.84. Stop-loss: $122.84.
Thin upside margin: 3.5%; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth.
M/I Homes, Inc. trades at a P/E of 9.8 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
7 analysts cover MHO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $160.
What does M/I Homes, Inc. do?The Company commenced homebuilding activities in 1976 marking 2026 as our 50th year in business. Since that time, the...
The Company commenced homebuilding activities in 1976 marking 2026 as our 50th year in business. Since that time, the Company has sold over 168,200 homes. Unless this Form 10-K otherwise indicates or the context otherwise requires, the terms the "Company," "we," "us" and "our" refer to M/I Homes, Inc. and its subsidiaries.