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TAPMolson Coors Beverage CompanySell5.1·$40.42+2.05%
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Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Brewers

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $40.42: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.36; Below-average business quality.

Molson Coors Beverage manufactures and markets beer and other beverages globally through Americas (U.S., Canada, Latin America) and EMEA&APAC segments, with brands including Coors Light, Miller Lite, Blue Moon, Carling, and Staropramen. No single customer accounted for more than... Read more

$40.42+2.9% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#4 of 8 Beverages - Brewers
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield10.42%
IncomeYield4.85%(5y avg 2.65%)Payout35.90%sustainable
Stop $38.02Target $41.49(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$46.10+14.0%21 analysts
$41.49our TP
$40.42price
$46.10mean
$35
$61

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $40.42: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.36; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (2.9% upside)
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)7.9
Mkt Cap$7.4B
EV/EBITDA5.6
Profit Mgn-18.9%
ROE-18.1%
Rev Growth2.0%
Beta0.42
Dividend4.85%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.36bearish
IV48%normal
Max Pain$80+97.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
5.0
Value Rank
5.7

Unprofitable operations — net margin -18.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Current Ratio
2.1
Roa
3.0
Gross Margin
3.7
Moat
4.6
Operating Margin
5.0
Piotroski F
8.9
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $38.04Resistance $42.67

Price Targets

$38
$41
A.Upside+2.6%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TAP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $40.42: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.36; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Prior stop was $38.02. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TAP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $41.49 (+2.9% upside). Prior stop was $38.02. Stop-loss: $38.02.

What are the risks of investing in TAP?

Target reached (2.9% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is TAP overvalued or undervalued?

Molson Coors Beverage Company trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TAP?

26 analysts cover TAP with a consensus score of 3.2/5. Average price target: $46.

What does Molson Coors Beverage Company do?Molson Coors Beverage manufactures and markets beer and other beverages globally through Americas (U.S., Canada, Latin...

Molson Coors Beverage manufactures and markets beer and other beverages globally through Americas (U.S., Canada, Latin America) and EMEA&APAC segments, with brands including Coors Light, Miller Lite, Blue Moon, Carling, and Staropramen. No single customer accounted for more than 10% of consolidated net sales; the U.K. represents over 55% of EMEA&APAC segment net sales.

Related stocks: FMX (Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A.) · ABEV (Ambev S.A.) · CCU (Compania Cervecerias Unidas, S.) · STZ (Constellation Brands, Inc.) · TAP-A (Molson Coors Beverage Company)
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