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Ambev S.A. (ABEV) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Brewers

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $3.07 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5.

Ambev S.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and sale of beer, draft beer, soft drinks, malt and food, and other beverages in Brazil, Central America and Caribbean, Latin America South, and Canada. The company offers beer, ready-to-drink... Read more

$3.07+10.1% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#3 of 8 Beverages - Brewers
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield38.08%
IncomeYield5.04%(5y avg 4.92%)Payout80.49%at-risk
Stop $2.86Target $3.38(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$3.33+8.3%10 analysts
$3.38our TP
$3.07price
$3.33mean
$3
$4

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $3.07 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Ambev S.A.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.3
P/E (Fwd)13.6
Mkt Cap$47.8B
EV/EBITDA1.2
Profit Mgn17.7%
ROE17.3%
Rev Growth-0.1%
Beta0.23
Dividend5.04%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -0.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.5
Earnings Growth
2.5
Declining revenue: -0%
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 74d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $2.84Resistance $3.45

Price Targets

$3
$3
A.Upside+10.1%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.8% upside)
! Momentum score 4.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (74d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ABEV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $3.07 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $2.86. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ABEV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $3.38 (+10.1% upside). Prior stop was $2.86. Stop-loss: $2.86.

What are the risks of investing in ABEV?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; Weak growth.

Is ABEV overvalued or undervalued?

Ambev S.A. trades at a P/E of 15.3 (forward 13.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ABEV?

20 analysts cover ABEV with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $3.

What does Ambev S.A. do?Ambev S.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and sale of beer, draft beer, soft...

Ambev S.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and sale of beer, draft beer, soft drinks, malt and food, and other beverages in Brazil, Central America and Caribbean, Latin America South, and Canada. The company offers beer, ready-to-drink cocktails and spritzers, soft drinks, water, teas, and isotonic drinks under the Brahma, Skol, Antarctica, Original, Quilmes, Andes Origen, Patricia, Paceha, Huari, Pilsen, Presidente, Balboa, Guaraná Antarctica, and Beats brands. It sells its products to distributors, supermarkets, and retailers within a broad distribution network. The company was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil. Ambev S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Interbrew International B.V.

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