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CCUCompania Cervecerias Unidas, S.Sell5.2·$11.95+0.00%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A forward earnings multiple of 12.9x at a PEG of 0.38 and a perfect Piotroski financial health score of 9 out of 9 offer valuation and quality support, but the stock is already above its analyst price target, the dividend yield is flagged as potentially uncovered, and a death cross places the price below a declining long-term average, making the risk/reward of 0.07-to-1 unattractive at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Dividend Yield Safety ConcernDeteriorating
  • Price Above Target Poor AsymmetryDeteriorating
  • Valuation Discount To GrowthDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Compania Cervecerias Unidas, S. (CCU) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Brewers

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.95: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a diversified beverage company in Chile, Argentina, Bolivia, Colombia, Paraguay, and Uruguay. It operates through three segments: Chile, International Business, and Wine. The company offers wines,... Read more

$11.95-8.8% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#5 of 8 Beverages - Brewers
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield620.66%
IncomeYield2.92%(5y avg 5.40%)Payout57.05%sustainable
Stop $11.15Target $13.74(default +15%)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$12.53+4.8%7 analysts
$13.74our TP
$11.95price
$12.53mean
$8
$15

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.95: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 87d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202687d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-8.8% upside)
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.3
P/E (Fwd)13.2
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn3.5%
ROE7.9%
Rev Growth4.8%
Beta
Dividend2.92%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV126%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.2
Support Resistance
2.1
Gap
5.0
52w Position
5.7

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.0
Quality Rank
3.8
Growth Rank
6.3
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 87d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.92Resistance $12.23

Price Targets

$11
$14
A.Upside-8.8%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (87d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CCU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.95: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Prior stop was $11.15. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CCU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.74 (-8.8% upside). Prior stop was $11.15. Stop-loss: $11.15.

What are the risks of investing in CCU?

Target reached (-8.8% upside); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is CCU overvalued or undervalued?

Compania Cervecerias Unidas, S. trades at a P/E of 19.3 (forward 13.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CCU?

18 analysts cover CCU with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Compania Cervecerias Unidas, S. do?Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a diversified beverage company in Chile,...

Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a diversified beverage company in Chile, Argentina, Bolivia, Colombia, Paraguay, and Uruguay. It operates through three segments: Chile, International Business, and Wine. The company offers wines, soft, isotonic, and sports drinks, nectars, iced tea, pisco, rum, cider, liquors, beers, spirits, cocktails, coolers, and cockail wines; and spring, bottled, mineral, and saborized water. It provides its products under the Cristal, Escudo, Royal Guard, Morenita, Dorada, Andes, Bavaria, Stones, Heineken, Sol, Coors, Austral, Polar Imperial, Patagonia, Kunstmann, Guayacán, D´olbek, Mahina, Volcanes del Sur, Bilz, Pap, Kem, Kem Xtreme, Nobis, Pop, Cachantun, Mas, Mas Woman, Porvenir, Manantial, Red Bull, Rockstar, Perrier, Mistral, Tres Erres, Campanario, Horcón Quemado, Control Valle del Encanto, Espíritu de los Andes, La Serena, Iceberg, Hard Fresh, Ruta, Cocktail, Sabor Andino Sour, Horcón Quemado Sour, Sierra Morena, Cabo Viejo, Kantal, Fehrenberg, Barsol, Puklaro, Pernod Ricard, Fratelli Branca, Sidra 1888, La Pizka, Palermo, Santa Fé, Salta, Córdoba, Isenbeck, Norte, Iguana, Miller Genuine Draft, Amstel, Warsteiner, Grolsch, Blue Moon, Sidra Real, La Victoria, Pehuenia, El Abuelo, Eugenio Bustos, La Celia, Colón, Graffina, Santa Silvia, Villavicencio, Villa del Sur, Levité, Ser, Brío, Altaïr, Cabo de Hornos, Sideral, 1865, Castillo de Molina, Epica, Gato, GatoNegro, Reserva, Gran Reserva, Single Vineyard, Lot series, Misiones de Rengo Varietal, Reserva, Cuvée, Gran Reserva Black, Mision, Sparkling line, Alpaca, Reservado, Siglo de Oro Reserva de Viña Santa Helena, Viñamar, Donnaluna, Manquehuito, Graffigna, Colón, Colón Selecto, Nativa, Nix, Watt's, FullSport, 1888, Imperial, Escudo Silver, Kuntsmann, Miller, and Schneider brands. The company was founded in 1850 and is based in Santiago, Chile. Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Inversiones y Rentas S.A.

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