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SWKSSkyworks Solutions, Inc.Sell4.4·$85.48
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Skyworks Solutions trades with favorable valuation metrics versus semiconductor peers and attracted a recent cluster of bullish analyst attention, but erratic earnings results and a 30% short interest reflect genuine uncertainty about the company's growth trajectory.

Thesis pillars

  • Analyst Cluster Sentiment Boost→Stable
  • Relative Valuation Peer Advantage→Stable
  • Free Cash Flow Resilience→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Nov 7, 2025

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Skyworks Solutions, Inc. (SWKS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellShortHigh Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $85.48 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source suppliers.

Skyworks Solutions designs and manufactures analog and mixed-signal semiconductors for smartphones, automotive, IoT, and aerospace applications, with Apple constituting more than 10% of net revenue in each of fiscal 2023-2025. The company employs approximately 10,000 workers... Read more

$85.48-18.4% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#52 of 53 Semiconductors
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.23%
Stop $79.50Analyst target $69.76(reached)A.R:R -1.3:1
Analyst consensus$77.51-9.3%17 analysts
$85.48price
$77.51mean
$61
$107

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $85.48 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source suppliers. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Score 4.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Skyworks Solutions, Inc.

About Skyworks Solutions, Inc.

Skyworks Solutions designs and produces analog and mixed-signal semiconductors for smartphones, automotive infotainment, IoT, and 5G infrastructure, investing $785.5 million in R&D in fiscal 2025—up from $631.7 million in fiscal 2024 and $606.8 million in fiscal 2023. Apple constituted more than 10% of net revenue in each of fiscal 2023, 2024, and 2025, reflecting the company's concentration in the smartphone front-end market. The company employed approximately 10,000 workers as of October 3, 2025, distributed across Mexico (54%), the United States (24%), and Asia (20%).

Skyworks generates hardware sales revenue from RF front-end modules, filters, power management ICs, amplifiers, and timing devices used by OEMs—including Apple, Samsung, Google, and Motorola—in smartphones, connected home devices, automotive systems, and industrial applications. Products are sold globally through a direct sales force, electronic component distributors, and independent representatives spanning approximately 6,900 customers and 4,900 unique products. The company operates a hybrid manufacturing model combining internal wafer fabs in Osaka, Japan, with assembly and test facilities in Singapore and Mexicali, Mexico, supplemented by third-party foundries. Skyworks competes against Analog Devices, Broadcom, Murata Manufacturing, NXP Semiconductors, Qorvo, Qualcomm, and Texas Instruments. The company also discloses dependence on a limited number of sole-source suppliers for certain components, and has entered certain fixed-price supply agreements based on anticipated future requirements.

Show full overview

The pending Qorvo merger announced October 27, 2025 introduces binary financial exposure: Skyworks faces a $298.7 million termination fee if it accepts a Superior Proposal or changes its board recommendation, or a $100.0 million fee if antitrust or foreign investment regulatory approvals are not obtained by the Outside Date of April 27, 2027 (extendable to October 27, 2027). Closing also requires Skyworks to incur substantial additional indebtedness via a Bridge Commitment Letter; if Qorvo's existing senior notes are assumed, their restrictive covenants—limiting additional debt, dividends, and asset dispositions—would apply to the combined company, potentially constraining operating flexibility post-close.

See also: Technology · Semiconductors

From Skyworks Solutions, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-28
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source suppliers
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)44.3
P/E (Fwd)14.5
Mkt Cap$20.1B
EV/EBITDA14.5
Profit Mgn7.2%
ROE5.1%
Rev Growth-3.1%
Beta1.48
DividendNone
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.93neutral
IV140%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerApple
    10-K Item 1: 'Apple...constituted more than ten percent of our net revenue'
  • HIGHSuppliersole-source suppliers
    10-K Item 1: 'we are currently dependent on a limited number of sole-source suppliers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-19Item 5.02LOW
    Stockholders approved the 2026 Long-Term Incentive Plan at the May 13, 2026 Annual Meeting. Routine equity incentive plan adoption by shareholder vote; no officer departure or change in senior leadership disclosed.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -3.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
1.7
Declining revenue: -3%
GatesA.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $73.76Resistance $89.71

Price Targets

A.Upside-18.4%
A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SWKS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $85.48 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source suppliers. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $79.50. Score 4.4/10, high confidence.

What is the SWKS stock price target?

Analyst target $69.76 reached (−18.4% from $85.48); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $79.50. Stop-loss: $79.50.

What are the risks of investing in SWKS?

Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).

Is SWKS overvalued or undervalued?

Skyworks Solutions, Inc. trades at a P/E of 44.3 (forward 14.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SWKS?

30 analysts cover SWKS with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $78.

What does Skyworks Solutions, Inc. do?Skyworks Solutions designs and manufactures analog and mixed-signal semiconductors for smartphones, automotive, IoT,...

Skyworks Solutions designs and manufactures analog and mixed-signal semiconductors for smartphones, automotive, IoT, and aerospace applications, with Apple constituting more than 10% of net revenue in each of fiscal 2023-2025. The company employs approximately 10,000 workers distributed across Mexico (54%), the United States (24%), and Asia (20%), and invested $785.5 million in R&D during fiscal 2025.

Related stocks: SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · CRUS (Cirrus Logic, Inc.) · CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding ) · MPWR (Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.) · NXPI (NXP Semiconductors N.V.)
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