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MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.Hold6.0·$1530.11-7.39%
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Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1530.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.3%; Expensive valuation.

Monolithic Power Systems designs and sells fabless analog and mixed-signal power management ICs across storage/computing (26%), enterprise data (25%), automotive (21%), and other end markets, with 4,501 employees worldwide. The company generates revenue through distributors,... Read more

$1530.11+4.3% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#12 of 45 Semiconductors
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield0.61%
IncomeYield0.48%(5y avg 0.64%)Payout47.82%sustainable
Stop $1393.86Target $1563.51(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$1797.14+17.5%14 analysts
$1563.51our TP
$1530.11price
$1797.14mean
$2000

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1530.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.3%; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.3%
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)117.7
P/E (Fwd)54.8
Mkt Cap$81.2B
EV/EBITDA93.1
Profit Mgn23.0%
ROE19.6%
Rev Growth26.1%
Beta1.69
Dividend0.48%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.92neutral
IV85%elevated
Max Pain$720-52.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Pe
0.0
Ps
0.0
Forward Pe
2.1
Peg Ratio
4.3
Analyst Target
5.0
Forward P/E: 54.8xPEG: 2.17Expensive valuation
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $1405.00Resistance $1714.09

Price Targets

$1394
$1564
A.Upside+2.2%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MPWR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1530.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.3%; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $1563.51 (+2.2%), stop $1393.86 (−9.8%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MPWR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1563.51 (+4.3% upside). Target $1563.51 (+2.2%), stop $1393.86 (−9.8%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $1393.86.

What are the risks of investing in MPWR?

Thin upside margin: 4.3%; Expensive valuation.

Is MPWR overvalued or undervalued?

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. trades at a P/E of 117.7 (forward 54.8). TrendMatrix value score: 2.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MPWR?

25 analysts cover MPWR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $1797.

What does Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. do?Monolithic Power Systems designs and sells fabless analog and mixed-signal power management ICs across...

Monolithic Power Systems designs and sells fabless analog and mixed-signal power management ICs across storage/computing (26%), enterprise data (25%), automotive (21%), and other end markets, with 4,501 employees worldwide. The company generates revenue through distributors, with 92% of sales to customers in Asia in 2025.

Related stocks: CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding ) · SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · ALAB (Astera Labs, Inc.) · NXPI (NXP Semiconductors N.V.) · ADI (Analog Devices, Inc.)
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