Sunoco LP (SUN) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the SUN stock price target?

Take-profit $67.70 (-1.7% upside). Prior stop was $65.97.

Q: What are the risks of investing in SUN?

Concentration risk — Product: Sales of refined motor fuels (92.0%); Target reached (-13.6% upside); Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0); Target reached (-13.6% upside); Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Q: Is SUN overvalued or undervalued?

Sunoco LP trades at a P/E of 30.0 (forward 37.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about SUN?

12 analysts cover SUN with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $68.

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

$68.85-1.7% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#10 of 15 Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Stop $65.97Target $67.70(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1

Analyst target$68.38-0.7%8 analysts

$67.70our TP

$68.85price

$68.38mean

$63

$75

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $68.85: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Concentration risk — Product: Sales of refined motor fuels (92.0%)

Target reached (-13.6% upside)

Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.0

P/E (Fwd)37.8

Mkt Cap$12.9B

EV/EBITDA14.7

Profit Mgn2.1%

ROE8.7%

Rev Growth63.2%

Beta0.48

Dividend5.48%

Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.78neutral

IV52%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHProductSales of refined motor fuels92%
10-K Item 1A: 'Sales of refined motor fuels accounted for approximately 92% of Sunoco's total revenues and 42% of Sunoco's profit for the year ended December 31, 2025.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value4.115%0.61

Quality2.415%0.36

Growth5.015%0.75

Momentum7.510%0.75

Sentiment7.010%0.70

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank5.710%0.57

Technical Setup3.45%0.17

Risk Profile6.25%0.31

Catalyst6.45%0.32

Overall (Σ contributions)5.04

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin

0.0

Fcf Quality

0.5

Net Margin

1.0

Operating Margin

1.1

Roa

1.9

Roe

2.9

Piotroski F

4.4

Moat

5.0

Current Ratio

5.1

Earnings quality RED FLAG: 6% FCF/NINo competitive moatQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger

0.0

Support Resistance

0.3

52w Position

9.9

GatesA.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate

RSI

66 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $61.92Resistance $69.08

Price Targets

$66

$68

A.Upside-1.7%

A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.6% upside)

! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

! Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-43.1% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -8.7%), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.09% of cap)

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-05 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is SUN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $68.85: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $65.97. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SUN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $67.70 (-1.7% upside). Prior stop was $65.97. Stop-loss: $65.97.

What are the risks of investing in SUN?

Concentration risk — Product: Sales of refined motor fuels (92.0%); Target reached (-13.6% upside); Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is SUN overvalued or undervalued?

Sunoco LP trades at a P/E of 30.0 (forward 37.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SUN?

12 analysts cover SUN with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $68.

What does Sunoco LP do?Sunoco LP is a Delaware master limited partnership engaged in energy infrastructure and motor fuel distribution across...

Sunoco LP is a Delaware master limited partnership engaged in energy infrastructure and motor fuel distribution across 32 countries and territories in North America, the Greater Caribbean, and Europe. It distributes over 15 billion gallons of motor fuel annually and operates over 14,000 miles of pipeline and 160+ terminals. After the October 2025 Parkland acquisition, it also operates international fuel distribution and convenience retail.