STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST, INC. S (STWD) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage
Sell if holding. At $16.90, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.2%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.
Starwood Property Trust is a diversified real estate finance REIT (externally managed by Starwood Capital Group) with four segments: Commercial/Residential Lending, Infrastructure Lending, Property, and Investing & Servicing. It had $22.1B in total indebtedness and completed a... Read more
Sell if holding. At $16.90, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.2%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 26, MACD bearish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST, INC. S
Latest news
- Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Maintains Outperform on Starwood Property Trust, Lowers Price Target to $19.5 — benzinga May 13, 2026 positive
- Reported Earlier, Starwood Property Trust Prices $600M Private Offering Of 6.125% Sustainability Bonds Due 2031 At Par T — benzinga May 12, 2026 positive
- Starwood Property Trust Launches $600M Senior Notes Offering To Fund Green And Social Projects — benzinga May 11, 2026 positive
- Starwood Prop Trust Q1 Sales $512.456M Beat $511.200M Estimate — benzinga May 8, 2026 positive
- Starwood Prop Trust Q1 Adj. EPS $0.39 Misses $0.42 Estimate — benzinga May 8, 2026 negative
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $16.90, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.2%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 26, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $16.32. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $17.71 (+5.2% upside). Prior stop was $16.32. Stop-loss: $16.32.
Thin upside margin: 5.2%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST, INC. S trades at a P/E of 17.9 (forward 8.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
15 analysts cover STWD with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $20.
What does STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST, INC. S do?Starwood Property Trust is a diversified real estate finance REIT (externally managed by Starwood Capital Group) with...
Starwood Property Trust is a diversified real estate finance REIT (externally managed by Starwood Capital Group) with four segments: Commercial/Residential Lending, Infrastructure Lending, Property, and Investing & Servicing. It had $22.1B in total indebtedness and completed a $2.2B acquisition of Fundamental Income Properties in July 2025.