STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST, INC. S (STWD) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the STWD stock price target?

Take-profit $18.11 (-1.2% upside). Target $18.11 (-1.3%), stop $17.82 (−2.9%), A.R:R -0.3:1.

Q: Is STWD overvalued or undervalued?

STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST, INC. S trades at a P/E of 15.7 (forward 9.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

Q: What do analysts say about STWD?

15 analysts cover STWD with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $21.

Momentum Cont setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-01

Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-08). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Starwood Property Trust is an externally managed REIT focused on originating, acquiring, and managing mortgage loans and real estate investments in the US, Europe, and Australia. The company has four segments: Commercial/Residential Lending, Infrastructure Lending, Property... Read more

$18.34-1.2% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#5 of 17 REIT - Mortgage

Stop $17.82Target $18.11(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1

Analyst target$20.57+12.2%7 analysts

$18.11our TP

$18.34price

$20.57mean

$24

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong growth profile

Risks

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Earnings in 7 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.7

P/E (Fwd)9.3

Mkt Cap$6.9B

EV/EBITDA—

Profit Mgn75.1%

ROE6.0%

Rev Growth62.6%

Beta1.09

Dividend10.64%

Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.56bullish

IV42%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value4.615%0.69

Quality5.715%0.85

Growth10.015%1.50

Momentum5.910%0.59

Sentiment6.310%0.63

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.010%0.40

Technical Setup4.05%0.20

Risk Profile6.95%0.35

Catalyst5.85%0.29

Overall (Σ contributions)6.00

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate

RSI

67 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $16.90Resistance $18.48

Price Targets

$18

A.Upside-1.3%

A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.4% upside)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-08 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is STWD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $18.11 (-1.3%), stop $17.82 (−2.9%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STWD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.11 (-1.2% upside). Target $18.11 (-1.3%), stop $17.82 (−2.9%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $17.82.

What are the risks of investing in STWD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Is STWD overvalued or undervalued?

STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST, INC. S trades at a P/E of 15.7 (forward 9.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about STWD?

15 analysts cover STWD with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $21.

What does STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST, INC. S do?Starwood Property Trust is an externally managed REIT focused on originating, acquiring, and managing mortgage loans...